Tony Awards 2018 Winner Predictions Thread — Page 6

BroadwayConcierge said: "https://www.forbes.com/sites/leeseymour/2018/06/04/2018-tony-award-predictions-harry-potter-spongebob-and-more/&refURL=&referrer=

I actually agree with all of these, except for Best Book of a Musical and Best Direction of a Musical (both of which I believe will go to The Band’s Visit).

I’m also still hoping that Harry Hadden-Patonpulls through for a Best Actor win, but it’s looking more and morelike Ethan Slater’s these days."

yes to all of these... except scenic design of a musical. i feel like OOTI has that one on lock?

robskynyc said: "yes to all of these... except scenic design of a musical. i feel like OOTI has that one on lock?"

I wouldn't call that one a lock. I think OOTI, SpongeBob, and My Fair Lady all have a solid shot at set design. All three knocked it out of the park.

THE TONY AWARDS PREVIEW

https://broadwaydirect.com/2018-tony-awards-preview/?utm_medium=email&utm_source=marketingcloud&utm_campaign=287

My predictions:

BEST PLAY
The Children
Farinelli and the King
Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Junk
Latin History for Morons

BEST MUSICAL
The Band’s Visit
Frozen
Mean Girls
SpongeBob SquarePants

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
Angels in America
The Iceman Cometh
Lobby Hero
Three Tall Women
Travesties

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Carousel
My Fair Lady
Once on This Island

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR IN A PLAY
Andrew Garfield, Angels in America
Tom Hollander, Travesties
Jamie Parker, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Mark Rylance, Farinelli and the King
Denzel Washington, The Iceman Cometh

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Glenda Jackson, Three Tall Women
Condola Rashad, Saint Joan
Lauren Ridloff, Children of a Lesser God
Amy Schumer, Meteor Shower

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Harry Hadden-Paton, My Fair Lady
Joshua Henry, Carousel
Tony Shalhoub, The Band’s Visit
Ethan Slater, SpongeBob SquarePants

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Lauren Ambrose, My Fair Lady
Hailey Kilgore, Once on This Island
LaChanze, Summer: The Donna Summer Musical
Katrina Lenk, The Band’s Visit
Taylor Louderman, Mean Girls
Jessie Mueller, Carousel

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Anthony Boyle, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Michael Cera, Lobby Hero
Brian Tyree Henry, Lobby Hero
Nathan Lane, Angels in America
David Morse, The Iceman Cometh

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Susan Brown, Angels in America
Noma Dumezweni, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Deborah Findlay, The Children
Denise Gough, Angels in America
Laurie Metcalf, Three Tall Women

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Norbert Leo Butz, My Fair Lady
Alexander Gemignani, Carousel
Grey Henson, Mean Girls
Gavin Lee, SpongeBob SquarePants
Ari’el Stachel, The Band’s Visit

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Ariana DeBose, Summer: The Donna Summer Musical
Renée Fleming, Carousel
Lindsay Mendez, Carousel
Ashley Park, Mean Girls
Diana Rigg, My Fair Lady

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
The Band’s Visit, Itamar Moses
Frozen, Jennifer Lee
Mean Girls, Tina Fey
SpongeBob SquarePants, Kyle Jarrow

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Angels in America, Adrian Sutton
The Band’s Visit, David Yazbek
Frozen, Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez
Mean Girls, Jeff Richmond and Nell Benjamin
SpongeBob SquarePants, Yolanda Adams, Steven Tyler & Joe Perry, Sara Bareilles, Jonathan Coulton, Alex Ebert, The Flaming Lips, Lady Antebellum, Cyndi Lauper & Rob Hyman, John Legend, Panic! at the Disco, Plain White T's, They Might Be Giants, T.I., Domani and Lil'C

BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY
Miriam Buether, Three Tall Women
Jonathan Fensom, Farinelli and the King
Christine Jones, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Santo Loquasto, The Iceman Cometh
Ian MacNeil and Edward Pierce, Angels in America

BEST SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Dane Laffrey, Once on This Island
Scott Pask, The Band’s Visit
Scott Pask, Finn Ross, and Adam Young, Mean Girls
Michael Yeargan, My Fair Lady
David Zinn, SpongeBob SquarePants

BEST COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY
Jonathan Fensom, Farinelli and the King
Nicky Gillibrand, Angels in America
Katrina Lindsay, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Ann Roth, Three Tall Women
Ann Roth, The Iceman Cometh

BEST COSTUME DESIGN OFA MUSICAL
Gregg Barnes, Mean Girls
Clint Ramos, Once on This Island
Ann Roth, Carousel
David Zinn, SpongeBob SquarePants
Catherine Zuber, My Fair Lady

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY
Neil Austin, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Paule Constable, Angels in America
Peggy Eisenhauer and Jules Fisher, The Iceman Cometh
Paul Russell, Farinelli and the King
Ben Stanton, Junk

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Kevin Adams, SpongeBob SquarePants
Peggy Eisenhauer and Jules Fisher, Once on This Island
Donald Holder, My Fair Lady
Brian MacDevitt, Carousel
Tyler Micoleau, The Band’s Visit

BEST SOUND DESIGN OF A PLAY
Adam Cork, Travesties
Ian Dickinson, Angels in America
Gareth Fry, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Tom Gibbons, 1984
Dan Moses Schreier, The Iceman Cometh

BEST SOUND DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Mike Dobson and Walter Trarbach, SpongeBob SquarePants
Kai Harada, The Band’s Visit
Peter Hylenski, Once on This Island
Scott Lehrer, Carousel
Brian Ronan, Mean Girls

BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAY
Marianne Elliott, Angels in America
Joe Mantello, Three Tall Women
Patrick Marber, Travesties
John Tiffany, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
George C. Wolfe, The Iceman Cometh

BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL
Michael Arden, Once on This Island
David Cromer, The Band’s Visit
Tina Landau, SpongeBob SquarePants
Casey Nicholaw, Mean Girls
Bartlett Sher, My Fair Lady

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Christopher Gattelli, My Fair Lady
Christopher Gattelli, SpongeBob SquarePants
Steven Hoggett, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Casey Nicholaw, Mean Girls
Justin Peck, Carousel

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
John Clancy, Mean Girls
Tom Kitt, SpongeBob SquarePants
Annmarie Milazzo and Michael Starobin, Once on This Island
Jamshied Sharifi, The Band’s Visit
Jonathan Tunick, Carousel

I’ve been having a feeling since Once on This Island opened that it’s going to win Best Revival. The NY Times Survey coming out and revealing how close it is pretty much makes me think OoTI will take it. It’s being championed as the little show that could even though it’s a commercial show and My Fair Lady is being done by Lincoln Center, which is a non-profit, though a powerful one. I think although both have similarly rave reviews, a lot of MFL’s reviews kept comparing it to Sher’s other revivals (not against other shows this season which means it’s held to a different standard). I also think what Sher and Lincoln Center has done at the Vivian Beaumont is being taken for granted and people just expect greatness from them, which hurts it when it comes to the “wow” and surprise factor, which I think is Once on This Island’s secret weapon.

Plus, MFL is considered one of the greatest written musicals ever and people have much higher expectations and preconceived ideas about how it should be done and not everybody agrees with the direction in tone that this production took. Meanwhile, Once on This Island wasn’t considered a classic of musical theatre but was a sleeper fan fave for two decades and this production took everybody by surprise in its conception and what it had to do for the Circle in the Square stage. People had lower expectations for this production going in and this amazing production was able to really amaze people not knowing what to expect.

I also think Once on this Island fits in more with what modern Broadway audiences want while many theater goers these days aren’t used to a show that is totally and unapologetically George Bernard Shaw and Lerner/Loewe. Once on this Island is an emotional show full of riffing and emotional songs performed with bombast and belting.

That’s why I think Once on This Island is actually the favorite for Best Revival.

Updated On: 6/8/18 at 10:13 PM

I don't follow plays close enough but here are my guesses for musicals

Best Musical: The Band's Visit
Best Revival of a Musical: My Fair Lady
Leading Actor in a Musical: Ethan Slater, Spongebob Squarepants
Leading Actress in a Musical: Katrina Lenk, The Band's Visit
Featured Actor in a Musical: Norbert Leo Butz, My Fair Lady
Featured Actress in a Musical: Lindsay Mendez, Carousel
Direction of a Musical: David Cromer, The Band's Visit
Book of a Musical: Tina Fey, Mean Girls
Choreography: Justin Peck, Carousel
Original Score: David Yazbek, The Band's Visit
Scenic Design of a Musical: Michael Yeargan, My Fair Lady
Costume Design of a Musical: Clint Ramos, Once on this Island
Lighting Design of a Musical: Peggy Eisenhauer & Jules Fisher, Once on this Island
Sound Design of a Musical: Peter Hylenski, Once on this Island
Orchestrations: Jonathan Tunick, Carousel

I can't help but wonder why there's so much love for Spongebob and Mean Girls, yet so much hatred for Frozen when all are based on movies/tv. How can Frozen win Oscars, Golden Globes, and Grammys and get a total Tony snub as so many are predicting? That makes zero sense to me. They deserve best score and book, and they have a freaking shelf full of awards to prove it. Take Disney out of the equation and they walk out with both awards. Don't get me wrong, I LOVE Tina Fey and want that show to do well, but there is no way Mean Girls or Spongebob are better than Frozen when you look at the stories. Do either really have a better score than Frozen if everyone ditches their Disney biases? I haven't seen TBV yet so I can't speak to that one, maybe it really is better. But again, we are talking about some major accolades backing up Frozen's merit. Sure they already had some songs done because of the movie, but these are the same people. It's their original work, it's not like new people came in and built off someone else's work years after the movie happened. If Bobby Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez don't win score something is seriously wrong in my opinion.

Great Dame said: "I can't help but wonder why there's so much love for Spongebob and Mean Girls, yet so much hatred for Frozen when all are based on movies/tv. How can Frozen win Oscars, Golden Globes, and Grammys and get a total Tony snub as so many are predicting? That makes zero sense to me. They deserve best score and book, and they have a freaking shelf full of awards to prove it. Take Disney out of the equation and they walk out with both awards. Don't get me wrong, I LOVE Tina Fey and want that show to do well, but there is no way Mean Girls or Spongebobarebetter than Frozen when you look at the stories. Do either really have a better score than Frozen if everyone ditches their Disney biases? I haven't seen TBV yet so I can't speak to that one, maybe it really is better. But again, we are talking about some major accolades backing up Frozen's merit. Sure they already had some songs done because of the movie, but these are the same people. It's their original work, it's not like new people came in and built off someone else's work years after the movie happened. If Bobby Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez don't win score something is seriously wrong in my opinion."

It is better. Miles and miles better. David Yazbeck will win the Tony for Best Score tomorrow. Case closed.

Updated On: 6/9/18 at 08:58 PM

ScottyDoesn'tKnow2 said: "The Wind Risesis not my favorite Miyazaki film or Studio Ghibli film in general, but that was the movie most of the hardcore animated film fans thought was the superior Best Animated Feature nominee (that orErnest & Celestine)that year and won more actual critics' awardsbut it couldn't beat Frozen-mania at the time and was at a disadvantaged for being a Japanese film going against the Disney machine in Hollywood industry awards"

Well I'll definitely check that film out as it must be good! I'm not a Disney nut, there are plenty on here but I really am not. I just think Frozen itself is an excellent story. I totally admit TBV could justifiably be better... but Mean Girls and Spongebob are not better in my opinion. I also think Frozen the Musical is really good on its own. It has everything the movie had, and I personally loved much of the new material. If TBV sweeps them I won't complain, but I'm standing by my statement that the other two are not better. Can you tell I'm getting my whining out today so I don't do it tomorrow? I don't want to crap on anyone's parade tomorrow, but I do think there's been a pretty big snub for Frozen this year. Mean Girls got a nomination over Frozen on costumes? I don't get that at all. I sound like I hate Mean Girls, I really don't haha! I just think the standard for Disney tends to be way higher than others.

Great Dame said: "I do think there's been a pretty big snub for Frozen this year. Mean Girls got a nomination over Frozen on costumes? I don't get that at all. I sound like I hate Mean Girls, I really don't haha! I just think the standard for Disney tends to be way higher than others."

I can’t say I loved the Frozen musical, but I do agree that it should’ve been nominated for costumes, and also for lighting. I was very surprised that it was left out of both of those categories.

I also really loved Mean Girls... clearly in the minority on these boards! Though I’m still 100% Team Band’s Visit in the new musicals. That score is stunning. (Team OOTI overall, for what it’s worth.)