What will be the next big hit to go?
What will be the next big hit to go?
WishingOnlyWounds2
Broadway Legend Joined: 9/25/08
#1What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 12:02am
I know there have been threads like this before but with all the recent announcements of closings, what do you think will be next?
I think either...
Spamalot
Young Frankenstein
Spring Awakening
2008: Feb. 18- Rent, Feb. 19- Curtains, April 18- Xanadu, April 22- Wicked, April 26- Legally Blonde, May 31- Wicked, June 13- The Little Mermaid, June 28- Wicked and Young Frankenstein, July 2- The Little Mermaid, July 6- A Chorus Line and Legally Blonde, August 16- Xanadu, September 13- Legally Blonde and 13, September 28- Xanadu and Spring Awakening, Oct. 12-GYPSY and [title of show], Oct. 19- Hairspray & Legally Blonde, Nov. 9- Wicked and 13, Dec. 14-13, Dec. 26- Billy Elliot, 2009: Jan 1- Shrek, Jan 2- 13 and Wicked, Jan 4- 13, Feb 17- In The Heights, Feb 19- Billy Elliot, Feb 22- Sweeney Todd (tour), March 28- Mary Poppins, April 4- Mamma Mia!, April 15- Jersey Boys (on tour), April 25- next to normal & 9 to 5
May 1- Billy Elliot, May 3- Spelling Bee (tour), May 8- Chicago, May 21- Wicked, June 6- Everyday Rapture, June 23- The Wiz, June 25- Hair July 15- Shrek, August 9- Wicked, September 7- Rock of Ages, October 11- Next To Normal, October 23- The Marvelous Wonderettes, November 7- Ragtime November 29- Dreamgirls, December 25- Billy Elliot, December 30- Finian's Rainbow, 2010: January 9- Bye Bye Birdie, January 16- Memphis February 17- The Phantom of The Opera, February 18- God of Carnage, March 7- Billy Elliot, March 31- American Idiot
iheartnewyork999
Swing Joined: 5/12/08
#2re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 12:07amMy money is on either Spring Awakening or Young Frankenstein. It'll be one behind the other. Even though Spring Awakening will have a hard time getting through the winter months, so it might announce a closing date first. Then again, I have no idea how Young Frankenstein is doing right now, so who am I to judge.
#2re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 12:09amHopefully none of them but I don't know how long Avenue Q can last.
A little swash, a bit of buckle - you'll love it more than bread.
WishingOnlyWounds2
Broadway Legend Joined: 9/25/08
#3re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 12:11am
ahh, Avenue Q. I knew I was forgetting one.
2008: Feb. 18- Rent, Feb. 19- Curtains, April 18- Xanadu, April 22- Wicked, April 26- Legally Blonde, May 31- Wicked, June 13- The Little Mermaid, June 28- Wicked and Young Frankenstein, July 2- The Little Mermaid, July 6- A Chorus Line and Legally Blonde, August 16- Xanadu, September 13- Legally Blonde and 13, September 28- Xanadu and Spring Awakening, Oct. 12-GYPSY and [title of show], Oct. 19- Hairspray & Legally Blonde, Nov. 9- Wicked and 13, Dec. 14-13, Dec. 26- Billy Elliot, 2009: Jan 1- Shrek, Jan 2- 13 and Wicked, Jan 4- 13, Feb 17- In The Heights, Feb 19- Billy Elliot, Feb 22- Sweeney Todd (tour), March 28- Mary Poppins, April 4- Mamma Mia!, April 15- Jersey Boys (on tour), April 25- next to normal & 9 to 5
May 1- Billy Elliot, May 3- Spelling Bee (tour), May 8- Chicago, May 21- Wicked, June 6- Everyday Rapture, June 23- The Wiz, June 25- Hair July 15- Shrek, August 9- Wicked, September 7- Rock of Ages, October 11- Next To Normal, October 23- The Marvelous Wonderettes, November 7- Ragtime November 29- Dreamgirls, December 25- Billy Elliot, December 30- Finian's Rainbow, 2010: January 9- Bye Bye Birdie, January 16- Memphis February 17- The Phantom of The Opera, February 18- God of Carnage, March 7- Billy Elliot, March 31- American Idiot
#4re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 12:11amMust we do this every time a show posts a closing notice?
Rant, Wickud, Rant, Wickud, Rant! We're not gonna pay Rant! 'Cause everythink is Wickud!
"Leave Walt Disney Theatricals new sparkling production of The Little Mermaid on Broadway alone!!!"
lakezurich will be played by Paul Groves in the BWW musical
"Leave Walt Disney Theatricals new sparkling production of The Little Mermaid on Broadway alone!!!"
lakezurich will be played by Paul Groves in the BWW musical
WishingOnlyWounds2
Broadway Legend Joined: 9/25/08
#5re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 12:14amEvery closing? There would be 5 by now. I know of one. Which already has pages of shows already scheduled to close.
2008: Feb. 18- Rent, Feb. 19- Curtains, April 18- Xanadu, April 22- Wicked, April 26- Legally Blonde, May 31- Wicked, June 13- The Little Mermaid, June 28- Wicked and Young Frankenstein, July 2- The Little Mermaid, July 6- A Chorus Line and Legally Blonde, August 16- Xanadu, September 13- Legally Blonde and 13, September 28- Xanadu and Spring Awakening, Oct. 12-GYPSY and [title of show], Oct. 19- Hairspray & Legally Blonde, Nov. 9- Wicked and 13, Dec. 14-13, Dec. 26- Billy Elliot, 2009: Jan 1- Shrek, Jan 2- 13 and Wicked, Jan 4- 13, Feb 17- In The Heights, Feb 19- Billy Elliot, Feb 22- Sweeney Todd (tour), March 28- Mary Poppins, April 4- Mamma Mia!, April 15- Jersey Boys (on tour), April 25- next to normal & 9 to 5
May 1- Billy Elliot, May 3- Spelling Bee (tour), May 8- Chicago, May 21- Wicked, June 6- Everyday Rapture, June 23- The Wiz, June 25- Hair July 15- Shrek, August 9- Wicked, September 7- Rock of Ages, October 11- Next To Normal, October 23- The Marvelous Wonderettes, November 7- Ragtime November 29- Dreamgirls, December 25- Billy Elliot, December 30- Finian's Rainbow, 2010: January 9- Bye Bye Birdie, January 16- Memphis February 17- The Phantom of The Opera, February 18- God of Carnage, March 7- Billy Elliot, March 31- American Idiot
#6re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 12:36am
No. there are a ton of these threads.
I predict (and hope): WICKED
hpeabody930
Featured Actor Joined: 9/8/08
#7re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 12:53am
For some reason, I just really don't think it'll be Spring Awakening. I know very likely in the next few months I will be eating my words, but it just doesn't seem like it's the next thing to close.
I'm feeling Avenue Q, Spamalot, or even dare I say August: Osage County. Its receipts the past few weeks have not been too great, and I would assume that it is a much more expensive show to run than Spring Awakening.
WishingOnlyWounds2
Broadway Legend Joined: 9/25/08
#8re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 12:58am
"WICKED"
I just laughed out loud.
2008: Feb. 18- Rent, Feb. 19- Curtains, April 18- Xanadu, April 22- Wicked, April 26- Legally Blonde, May 31- Wicked, June 13- The Little Mermaid, June 28- Wicked and Young Frankenstein, July 2- The Little Mermaid, July 6- A Chorus Line and Legally Blonde, August 16- Xanadu, September 13- Legally Blonde and 13, September 28- Xanadu and Spring Awakening, Oct. 12-GYPSY and [title of show], Oct. 19- Hairspray & Legally Blonde, Nov. 9- Wicked and 13, Dec. 14-13, Dec. 26- Billy Elliot, 2009: Jan 1- Shrek, Jan 2- 13 and Wicked, Jan 4- 13, Feb 17- In The Heights, Feb 19- Billy Elliot, Feb 22- Sweeney Todd (tour), March 28- Mary Poppins, April 4- Mamma Mia!, April 15- Jersey Boys (on tour), April 25- next to normal & 9 to 5
May 1- Billy Elliot, May 3- Spelling Bee (tour), May 8- Chicago, May 21- Wicked, June 6- Everyday Rapture, June 23- The Wiz, June 25- Hair July 15- Shrek, August 9- Wicked, September 7- Rock of Ages, October 11- Next To Normal, October 23- The Marvelous Wonderettes, November 7- Ragtime November 29- Dreamgirls, December 25- Billy Elliot, December 30- Finian's Rainbow, 2010: January 9- Bye Bye Birdie, January 16- Memphis February 17- The Phantom of The Opera, February 18- God of Carnage, March 7- Billy Elliot, March 31- American Idiot
WiCkEDrOcKS
Broadway Legend Joined: 6/13/04
#10re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 1:03am
And I laugh at the notion that it will be AUGUST or AVENUE Q
what's your point?
you keep on laughing, sweetheart. WICKED may stay strong but I think it's the material that counts... not the popularity.
hpeabody930
Featured Actor Joined: 9/8/08
#11re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 1:08am
Not the popularity that counts?? Are you high? I wish that it worked that way, unfortunately it's not. I hope to Quetzolcoatl that it's not Avenue Q or August, but in this society it is TOTALLY the popularity that counts.
Case in point:
[title of show]
Grey Gardens
any Sondheim you can name
the list goes on and on..
#12re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 1:12am
You misunderstood. Or I didn't phrase it correctly
I was saying that I WISH it was "Wicked" because I value content over popularity. I wasn't referring to how it really works, you jackass.
hpeabody930
Featured Actor Joined: 9/8/08
#13re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 1:59am
No you didn't phrase it correct. But we digress.
Believe me, I would happily cut off my arm to see Wicked go bye, bye. August and Avenue Q were two of the greatest theatrical experiences of my life I truly hope that thet aren't next, but the number don't lie..
HITcards
Understudy Joined: 6/19/08
#14re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 2:07am
I think Ave. Q will fight through the winter. They're still selling to 70%, which wouldn't be bad if the Golden wasn't so small and the avg. ticket was $60. They'll close in January, so that during "For Now" they can replace George Bush with Avenue Q. It'll be really sad, but still timing looks right.
August probably could make it through the fall. 60% is pretty good for a straight play.
Spamalot will probably go soon, selling to 55% in a 1440 seat theatre, just isn't going to hack it. Similarly, it'll be interesting to see how long Disney lets Mary Poppins go on for, only 58% capacity.
In the meantime, Young Frankenstein will be a victim of that dreaded Jan. 4 date. I've heard the Hilton is already booked for another show in the spring.
#15re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 8:00am
Hey Old Queen.. (I mean Old Queenie)
So I guess you are a theater snob?
Can't you enjoy different things? You seen to think that if it is not "what you like" you diss others. Bad Queen. Bad Old Queen.
Some of us like musicals like "wicked" & heavy drama like "argonotika" -- what is wrong with that?
"Whenever I get gloomy with the state of the world, I think about the arrivals gate at Heathrow Airport. General opinion's starting to make out that we live in a world of hatred and greed, but I don't see that. It seems to me that love is everywhere. Often it's not particularly dignified or newsworthy, but it's always there - fathers and sons, mothers and daughters, husbands and wives, boyfriends, girlfriends, old friends. When the planes hit the Twin Towers, as far as I know none of the phone calls from the people on board were messages of hate or revenge - they were all messages of love. If you look for it, I've got a sneaky feeling you'll find that love actually is all around."
#16re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 3:42pm
"I predict (and hope): WICKED"
"You misunderstood. Or I didn't phrase it correctly
I was saying that I WISH it was "Wicked" because I value content over popularity."
I guess we all misunderstood since you clearly said 'predict'. And Wicked isn't going anywhere anytime soon. It's still making over a million each week. I predict Avenue Q.
www.tinydancer5.tumblr.com
#17re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 3:45pmI hope nothing but if I have to choose one I pick YF. I would die a little inside if SA closed.
<------ Me and my friends with patti Lupone at my friends afterparty for her concert with audra mcdonald during the summer of 2007.
"I am sorry but it is an unjust world and virtue is only triumphant in theatricle performances" The Mikado
"I am sorry but it is an unjust world and virtue is only triumphant in theatricle performances" The Mikado
Broadwaynerd101
Broadway Legend Joined: 9/6/08
#19re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 4:09pm
Young Frankenstein.
That house is too big to keep a mediocre show going.
"It's the little things; the details, that distinguish the Barbra Streisands from the Rosalyn Kinds."~Gilmore Girls~
geekgirl06
Featured Actor Joined: 11/9/06
#20re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 4:26pm
They need to close Phantom on the sole fact that it just needs to go away. Stop hogging B-Way!
But honestly, I think Mary Poppins is the next to go. And 13, but that's not exactly a hit.
Dancing through life...
For the next ten minutes
WishingOnlyWounds2
Broadway Legend Joined: 9/25/08
#21re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 4:53pmDisney owns the New Amsterdam and the whole principle cast is changing in a week, they won't close it just yet.
2008: Feb. 18- Rent, Feb. 19- Curtains, April 18- Xanadu, April 22- Wicked, April 26- Legally Blonde, May 31- Wicked, June 13- The Little Mermaid, June 28- Wicked and Young Frankenstein, July 2- The Little Mermaid, July 6- A Chorus Line and Legally Blonde, August 16- Xanadu, September 13- Legally Blonde and 13, September 28- Xanadu and Spring Awakening, Oct. 12-GYPSY and [title of show], Oct. 19- Hairspray & Legally Blonde, Nov. 9- Wicked and 13, Dec. 14-13, Dec. 26- Billy Elliot, 2009: Jan 1- Shrek, Jan 2- 13 and Wicked, Jan 4- 13, Feb 17- In The Heights, Feb 19- Billy Elliot, Feb 22- Sweeney Todd (tour), March 28- Mary Poppins, April 4- Mamma Mia!, April 15- Jersey Boys (on tour), April 25- next to normal & 9 to 5
May 1- Billy Elliot, May 3- Spelling Bee (tour), May 8- Chicago, May 21- Wicked, June 6- Everyday Rapture, June 23- The Wiz, June 25- Hair July 15- Shrek, August 9- Wicked, September 7- Rock of Ages, October 11- Next To Normal, October 23- The Marvelous Wonderettes, November 7- Ragtime November 29- Dreamgirls, December 25- Billy Elliot, December 30- Finian's Rainbow, 2010: January 9- Bye Bye Birdie, January 16- Memphis February 17- The Phantom of The Opera, February 18- God of Carnage, March 7- Billy Elliot, March 31- American Idiot
geekgirl06
Featured Actor Joined: 11/9/06
#22re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 5:02pmGood point. All right, I give MP a year. In that case, Spamalot hands down.
Dancing through life...
For the next ten minutes
WiCkEDrOcKS
Broadway Legend Joined: 6/13/04
#23re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 5:06pmI'm realizing now how many theaters will be empty in the coming months. Because the economy sucks, no shows want to take the gamble and move to Broadway while at the same time shows that are currently running are seeing steep decreases in sales and are closing their doors. Hmmm...
broadwayboy101
Broadway Star Joined: 3/20/08
#24re: What will be the next big hit to go?
Posted: 10/3/08 at 5:09pmThe Claymates might keep Spamalot open for awhile yet. My vote's on Spring Awakening, although I could see Disney making an announcement that they're closing Mary Poppins to put in some new Disney-movie-turned-stage-show.
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