I enjoyed Jbara and thought he was serviceable in his role, but I do feel that Bologna gave a more memorable performance than him. Bologna brought the house down completely with "Expressing Yourself." And the image of his standing onstage alone at the end of the show sticks out in my mind as one of the most brilliant stage pictures in that show (and my Lord, are there a billion!) I'd be rather upset if Jbara took home a Tony for that performance. He has more to offer.
Sieber and Swenson are both terrific. Sieber gives the standout comedic performance in his show, and Swenson gives one of the two standout performances in his show. That might have some effect.
This really is a toss up. I'm trying to think like a Tony-voter. I am almost positive the Billys have it, so I feel like many voters will want to award another actor from another show in the featured category, leaving Swenson, Sieber, and Kudisch. Then, there's the possibility of SHREK not winning anything, which seems likely. Voters might give Sieber the sympathy vote. Or they might vote an all BILLY ticket, which means most likely Jbara has it.
Both supporting races are EXTREMELY exciting this year. I hope that all four musical acting winners are from four different shows. I'd love to see Bologna take it, but I'd say Sieber is my choice.
Ripley
Billys
Olivo
Sieber
I'd love that.