jagfkb's Tony Award Winner Predictions

[jagfkb]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 11:03am

Best Play
God of Carnage
Author: Yasmina Reza
Producers: Robert Fox, David Pugh & Dafydd Rogers, Stuart Thompson, Scott Rudin, Jon B. Platt, The Weinstein Company, The Shubert Organization

SPOILER:
Reasons to Be Pretty
Author: Neil LaBute
Producers: Jeffrey Richards, Jerry Frankel, MCC Theater, Gary Goddard Entertainment, Ted Snowdon, Doug Nevin/Erica Lynn Schwartz, Ronald Frankel/Bat-Barry Productions, Kathleen Seidel, Kelpie Arts, LLC, Jam Theatricals, Rachel Helson/Heather Provost

Best Musical
Billy Elliot, The Musical
Producers: Universal Pictures Stage Productions, Working Title Films, Old Vic Productions, Weinstein Live Entertainment

SPOILER:
Next to Normal
Producers: David Stone, James L. Nederlander, Barbara Whitman, Patrick Catullo, Second Stage Theatre, Carole Rothman, Ellen Richard
OR
Shrek The Musical
Producers: Dreamworks Theatricals, Neal Street Productions

Best Book of a Musical
Next to Normal
Brian Yorkey

SPOILER:
[Title of Show]
Hunter Bell

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre
Next to Normal
Music: Tom Kitt
Lyrics: Brian Yorkey

SPOILER:
9 to 5: The Musical
Music & Lyrics: Dolly Parton


Best Revival of a Play
The Norman Conquests
Producers: Sonia Friedman Productions, Steven Baruch, Marc Routh, Richard Frankel, Tom Viertel, Dede Harris, Tulchin/Bartner/Lauren Doll, Jamie deRoy, Eric Falkenstein, Harriet Newman Leve, Probo Productions, Douglas G. Smith, Michael Filerman/Jennifer Manocherian, Richard Winkler, Dan Frishwasser, Pam Laudenslager/Remmel T. Dickinson, Jane Dubin/True Love Productions, Barbara Manocherian/Jennifer Isaacson, The Old Vic Theatre Company

SPOILER:
Mary Stuart
New Version: Peter Oswald
Producers: Arielle Tepper Madover, Debra Black, Neal Street Productions/Matthew Byam Shaw, Scott Delman, Barbara Whitman, Jean Doumanian/Ruth Hendel, David Binder/CarlWend Productions/Spring Sirkin, Daryl Roth/James L. Nederlander/Chase Mishkin, The Donmar Warehouse

Best Revival of a Musical
Hair
Producers: The Public Theater, Oskar Eustis, Andrew D. Hamingson, Jeffrey Richards, Jerry Frankel, Gary Goddard Entertainment, Kathleen K. Johnson, Nederlander Productions, Inc., Fran Kirmser Productions/Jed Bernstein, Marc Frankel, Broadway Across America, Barbara Manocherian/Wencarlar Productions, JK Productions/Terry Schnuck, Andy Sandberg, Jam Theatricals, The Weinstein Company/Norton Herrick, Jujamcyn Theaters, Joey Parnes, Elizabeth Ireland McCann

SPOILER:
West Side Story
Producers: Kevin McCollum, James L. Nederlander, Jeffrey Seller, Terry Allen Kramer, Sander Jacobs, Roy Furman/Jill Furman Willis, Freddy DeMann, Robyn Goodman/Walt Grossman, Hal Luftig, Roy Miller, The Weinstein Company, Broadway Across America

Best Special Theatrical Event
Liza's at The Palace
Producers: John Scher and Metropolitan Talent Presents, LLC; Jubilee Time Productions, LLC

SPOILER (if any):
Slava's Snowshow
Producers: David J. Foster, Jared Geller, Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Judith Marinoff Cohn, John Pinckard

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play
Geoffrey Rush, Exit the King

SPOILER:
Thomas Sadoski, Reasons to Be Pretty

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play
Janet McTeer, Mary Stuart
OR
Harriet Walter, Mary Stuart

SPOILER:
Hope Davis, God of Carnage
OR
Marcia Gay Harden, God of Carnage

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical
David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, and Kiril Kulish ? Billy Elliot, The Musical

SPOILER:
Gavin Creel, Hair

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical
Alice Ripley, Next to Normal

SPOILER:
Josefina Scaglione, West Side Story

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play
Paul Ritter, The Norman Conquests

SPOILER:
Stephen Mangan, The Norman Conquests

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play
Jessica Hynes, The Norman Conquests

SPOILER:
Angela Lansbury, Blithe Spirit

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical
Will Swenson, Hair

SPOILER:
Christopher Sieber, Shrek The Musical


Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical
Jennifer Damiano, Next to Normal

SPOILER:
Karen Olivo, West Side Story

Best Scenic Design of a Play
Derek McLane, 33 Variations

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Ian MacNeil, Billy Elliot, The Musical

Best Costume Design of a Play
Martin Pakledinaz, Blithe Spirit

Best Costume Design of a Musical
Tim Hatley, Shrek The Musical

Best Lighting Design of a Play
Brian MacDevitt, Joe Turner's Come and Gone

Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Kevin Adams, Next to Normal

Best Sound Design of a Play
Russell Goldsmith, Exit the King

Best Sound Design of a Musical
Paul Arditti, Billy Elliot, The Musical

Best Direction of a Play
Matthew Warchus, The Norman Conquests

Best Direction of a Musical
Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot, The Musical

SPOILER:
Michael Greif, Next to Normal
OR
Diane Paulus, Hair

Best Choreography
Peter Darling, Billy Elliot, The Musical

Best Orchestrations
Michael Starobin and Tom Kitt, Next to Normal

[HeyMrMusic]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 11:59am

Those are some bold predictions. I think Billy Elliot will win more than you predict. Only 6 wins out of 15 nominations? Billy's sweep will be bigger than that, at least eight or so if not a clean sweep.

~Steven

[MTVMANN]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 12:03pm

I think it would be so cool for the Billy Elliot boys to win!

They would be the first of the "wacky" Tony Award nominees to win right?
By "wacky" I am refering to all "The Sound of Music" kids being nominated under a single nomination and Alice Ripley and Emily Skinner sharing a single nomination. Are there more?

[adamgreer]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 12:05pm

I don't think the Billy sweep will be nearly as big as some people do.

6 wins seems about right.

[Ole Chum]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 12:07pm

Damiano over Olivo and Gwynne? Never gonna happen.

Its between Hadyn and Karen, my guess it goes to Karen.

[Drunk Chita Rivera]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 3:21pm

Are you serious about your predictions for Featured Actress? Karen or Hadyn will take it. Damiano hasn't got a shot in hell.

[CSonBroadway]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 3:28pm

They need to give more than just Billy some Tonys. Respect the other good shows too.

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 3:30pm

Sadly, as we've seen in previous years, the Tonys don't need to do anything. The voters do whatever they damn well please...which this year will involve BILLY ELLIOT sweeping.

[CSonBroadway]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 3:31pm

It just isn't going to be interesting if they take every single award. And in my opinion, they don't deserve to sweep. They deserve to get some. However, I think 9 to 5 should win Best Score.

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 3:33pm

I agree, CS, but when was the last time the Tonys were interesting? Haha. They're always very predictable and this year will be no different.

HAIR and BILLY will get the most awards of the evening, which truly doesn't bother me very much at all. Both fantastic productions.
Updated On: 5/5/09 at 03:33 PM

[JazzSquare55]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 3:35pm

BILLY will not sweep, sorry to burst your bubble Rocks.

6 to 9 awards. no more, no less.

[WithoutATrace]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 3:47pm

out of the 13 wins that BILLY could potentially get, I hope it wins at least 10.

[jagfkb]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 3:49pm

To be honest, I would WANT every show to win equally for certain things (Like Shrek for costume, 9 to 5 for set (In my opinion, the biggest upset this year), title of show for book), but I think this is what it will probably come down to.

[EnWashingtonHeights]

Posted: 5/5/09 at 4:44pm

"Are you serious about your predictions for Featured Actress? Karen or Hadyn will take it. Damiano hasn't got a shot in hell."

DCR have you seen N2N?
You seem to be throwing it aside all the time.
I Think Damiano has an ok chance if Karen wasn't in the runnings I would be rooting for her. But unfortunately for Damiano Karen has it. Karen winning BFA and N2N winning for Best Musical are the only 2 things I really care about this season. Nothing this season was (for me) as good as In The Heights. (Though all I've seen this season was N2N, BE, and WSS)