Can Tony still use the special idol? I thought this last tribal was it for any of the idols. If so, he made a HUGE mistake if he truly wanted to take Trish to the final 3. He could have given her the regular idol and told her to play it regardless the vote and then he could play his idol after the vote and the two of them could have pretty much decided whether they wanted to send Kass or Woo home.
At any rate, I do think Kass has been strategic and for the most part, it has worked for her. She started making risky moves early on and thinking much more long-term than most of the others. Her personality rankles, but she's definitely aware of it and uses it in her strategy. The way she drove a wedge between Tony and Woo was impressive. She reminds me a LOT of Richard Hatch. She knows she can't win challenges and she knows she can't get a free ride like Woo or Trish and she simply isn't wired for the social skills of someone like Cirie.
Personally, I think Kass been more strategically successful than Spencer, who became an early target, failed several times in recruiting to his alliance as they got picked off, and is still around by winning immunity at the right time. Unless Spencer wins the next immunity, I can't imagine he'll be in the final. All his allies are on the jury. And honestly, I've found Spencer's smugness to be as off-putting as Kass. If I were on the jury, I would probably vote for Kass over Spencer, but it would be a pretty tough call.
Woo could win simply for not be Kass or Tony. It's not unprecedented. Tony has been a less vile Russell Hantz, but no less delusional. He's been playing to get to the final, but I'm not convinced he can sway the jury for the win. He would have to 1) rely on Spencer not winning immunity, 2) play up Kass's abrasive personality because he won't be successful poking holes in her strategy, 3) find a convincing way to justify all his lying which he has been unable to do thus far every time he's caught lying or admits lying, and 4) throw Woo under the bus for riding his coattails. Based on everything we've seen thus far, I can't imagine Tony being very convincing in the final jury.
But...Survivor is strange. Tony could win simply for not being Kass and not being Woo. It will all rest on the final immunity challenge. If Spencer wins it, it will probably be a slam dunk. I'm not really enthusiastic about any of them since Tasha was voted off.
"What can you expect from a bunch of seitan worshippers?" - Reginald Tresilian
Updated On: 5/15/14 at 05:14 PM