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#26

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/20/08 at 7:19pm

I forgot to add Max Von Sydow to my supporting actor snubs. He gave a terrific performance.

As good as Julie Christie is in "Away From Her," is it wrong for me to be secretly pulling for Laura Linney?

"I seem to have wandered into the BRAIN load-out thread... "
-best12bars

"Sorry I am a Theatre major not a English Major"
-skibumb5290

#27

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/20/08 at 8:00pm

after just seeing Michael Clayton I am so surprised and angry that it got a best picture nod over Into the Wild. I saw nothing special there, nothing overly interesting, and nothing overly great. Save for Tom Wilkinson I thought the acting was subpar and that Tilda Swinton was nothing special.

That being said, I really really believe Into the Wild is much more deserving in the Best Picture Category. And how it was not nominated for cinematography or song is just beyond me.

#28

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/20/08 at 10:14pm

INTO THE WILD should have been nominated for more (especially for "Guaranteed") but I do think that CLAYTON is an overall better crafted film.

"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy." -Charlie Manson

#29

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/20/08 at 10:18pm

really? why do you say that? I don't think the director elicited any great performances (again except for Tom Wilkinson who i believe is exceptional in everything) and I do understand that Michael Clayton is a "director's" film, but for me, even in craftmanship, it was mediocre...

#30

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/20/08 at 10:23pm

Hm...I'm sorry you didn't like it.

I just felt that it was incredibly original and strong. Every element is in place and couldn't be better. A throwback to films of the 70's. Watch it again - it took me 2 viewings to really, really get everything.

"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy." -Charlie Manson

#31

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/20/08 at 11:12pm

Agreed, munk. Hollywood rarely turns out good legal dramas, let alone ones that also work as thrillers. Michael Clayton is as shrewd and sharp as they come.

#32

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/21/08 at 1:47am

Best Picture:
Will: NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: JUNO
Dark Horse: THERE WILL BE BLOOD

Best Director:
BWill: Coens Brothers, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: Julian Schnabel, DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY
Dark Horse: Schnabel, DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY

Best Actor:
Will: Daniel Day-Lewis, THERE WILL BE BLOOD
Should: Johnny Depp, SWEENEY TODD
Dark Horse: None

Best Actress:
Will: Julie Christie, AWAY FROM HER
Should: Ellen Page, JUNO
Dark Horse: Marion Cotillard, LA VIE EN ROSE

Best Supporting Actor:
Will: Javier Bardem, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: Javier Bardem, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Dark Horse: None

Best Supporting Actress:
Will: Tilda Swinton, MICHAEL CLAYTON
Should: Amy Ryan, GONE BABY GONE
Dark Horse: Wild card, all of them have a chance of getting the award except for Ryan who won't win her much-deserved Oscar.

Best Original Screenplay:
Will: Diablo Cody, JUNO
Should: Diablo Cody, JUNO or Tamara Jenkins, THE SAVAGES
Dark Horse: Tony Gilroy, MICHAEL CLAYTON

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will: Coen Brothers, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: Ronald Harwood, DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY
Dark Horse: Christopher Hamptom, ATONEMENT

Best Animated Film:
Will: RATATOUILLE
Should: RATATOUILLE
Dark Horse: None

Best Cinematography:
Will: NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY
Dark Horse: ASSASSINATION OF JESSE JAMES

Best Art Direction:
Will: ATONEMENT
Should: SWEENEY TODD
Dark Horse: THERE WILL BE BLOOD

Best Editing:
Will: NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY
Dark Horse: THERE WILL BE BLOOD

Best Visual Effects:
Will: TRANSFORMERS
Should: Meh
Dark Horse: Meh

Best Costume Design:
Will: ATONEMENT
Should: SWEENEY TODD
Dark Horse: SWEENEY TODD

Best Make-up:
Will: LA VIE EN ROSE
Should: SWEENEY TODD, yes I know it isn't nominated
Dark Horse: Anything but NORBIT

Best Sound Mixing:
Will: NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM
Dark Horse: THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM

Sound Editing:
Will: NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM
Dark Horse: THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM

Best Original Score:
Will: ATONEMENT
Should: ATONEMENT
Dark Horse: Can't tell

Best Original Song:
Will: "Falling Slowly," ONCE
Should: "Happy Working Song," ENCHANTED
Dark Horse: "That's How You Know," ENCHANTED

"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"

#33

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/22/08 at 1:33pm

Ray, I'd love to see Amy Ryan get the Oscar! She was phenomenal; her portrayal of a Southie woman was spot on. I saw it with my friend who has lived in Boston her whole life, and she could not believe that Amy Ryan isn't from Boston.

"I seem to have wandered into the BRAIN load-out thread... "
-best12bars

"Sorry I am a Theatre major not a English Major"
-skibumb5290

Updated On: 2/22/08 at 01:33 PM

#34

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/22/08 at 2:12pm

My short list:

Best Picture:
Will Win: No Country for Old Men
Should Win: Atonement

Best Director:
Will Win: The Coen Brothers for No Country for Old Men
Should Win: The Coen Brothers for No Country for Old Men

Best Actor:
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis for There Will Be Blood
Should Win: Johnny Depp for Sweeney Todd

Best Actress
Will Win: Julie Christie for Away From Her
Should Win: Julie Christie for Away From Her or Marion Catillard for La Vie En Rose

Best Supporting Actor
Will Win: Javier Bardem for No Country for Old Men
Should Win: Hal Holbrook for Into the Wild or Tom Wilkenson for Michael Clayton

Best Supporting Actress
Will Win: Cate Blanchett for I'm Not There
Should Win: Tilda Swinton for Michael Clayton

Best Original Screenplay
Will Win: Juno
Should Win: Juno

Best Adapted Screenplay
Will Win: No Country for Old Men
Should Win: Atonement

"Love the Art in Yourself. Not Yourself in the Art." -- Stanislavski

Updated On: 2/22/08 at 02:12 PM

#35

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/22/08 at 7:48pm

Ugh. No Atonement.

"I seem to have wandered into the BRAIN load-out thread... "
-best12bars

"Sorry I am a Theatre major not a English Major"
-skibumb5290

#36

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/22/08 at 8:13pm

BEST PICTURE
Will win: No Country for Old Men
Should win: No Country for Old Men
Dark horse: Michael Clayton

BEST DIRECTOR
Will Win: Coen Bros.
Should Win: Coen Bros.
Dark Horse: Julian Schnabel

BEST ACTOR
Will win: Daniel Day-Lewis
Should Win: Johnny Depp
Dark Horse: George Clooney

BEST ACTRESS
Will win: Julie Christie
Should win: Ellen Page
Dark Horse: Ellen Page

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Javier Bardem
Should win: Javier Bardem
Dark Horse: Casey Afflack

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will win: Tilda Swinton
Should win: Cate Blanchett
Dark Horse: Ruby Dee

ORGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will win: Diablo Cody
Should win: Diablo Cody
Dark Horse: Tony Gilroy

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will win: Coen Bros.
Should win: Coen Bros.
Dark Horse: PT Anderson

ANIMATED FILM
Will win: Ratatouille
Should win: Ratatouille
Dark Horse: Persepolis

Yes, but sometimes people have a third deeper layer thats the same as the first. Like pie. Dr. Horrible

Updated On: 2/23/08 at 08:13 PM

#37

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/22/08 at 8:41pm

Broadwayman, I adore your avatar and sig! That's one of my favorite "Office" quotes!

"I seem to have wandered into the BRAIN load-out thread... "
-best12bars

"Sorry I am a Theatre major not a English Major"
-skibumb5290

#38

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/22/08 at 9:26pm

Thanx actr97j, The office is my favorite show

Yes, but sometimes people have a third deeper layer thats the same as the first. Like pie. Dr. Horrible

#39

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/22/08 at 9:51pm

I can't wait for it to come back! I hope it does soon.

"I seem to have wandered into the BRAIN load-out thread... "
-best12bars

"Sorry I am a Theatre major not a English Major"
-skibumb5290

#40

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/23/08 at 12:00am

I'm suprised i survived without Dwight Shrute for 3 monthes.

Yes, but sometimes people have a third deeper layer thats the same as the first. Like pie. Dr. Horrible

#41

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/23/08 at 9:44am

My final predictions below (NOT my choices, but my predictions):

Best Picture:
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN

Best Director:
Coen Brothers, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN

Best Actor:
Daniel Day-Lewis, THERE WILL BE BLOOD

Best Actress:
Julie Christie, AWAY FROM HER

Best Supporting Actor:
Javier Bardem, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN

Best Supporting Actress:
Cate Blanchett, I'M NOT THERE

Best Original Screenplay:
Diablo Cody, JUNO

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Coen Brothers, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN

Best Animated Film:
RATATOUILLE

Best Cinematography:
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN

Best Art Direction:
THERE WILL BE BLOOD

Best Editing:
THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM

Best Visual Effects:
TRANSFORMERS

Best Costume Design:
SWEENEY TODD

Best Make-up:
LA VIE EN ROSE

Best Sound Mixing:
TRANSFORMERS

Sound Editing:
TRANSFORMERS

Best Original Score:
ATONEMENT

Best Original Song:
"Falling Slowly," ONCE

Best Foreign Language Film:
THE COUNTERFEITERS (Austria)

Animated Short:
PETER & THE WOLF

Live Acton Short:
THE TONTO WOMAN

Documentary Short:
FREEHELD

Documentary Feature:
NO END IN SIGHT

"Jaws is the Citizen Kane of movies."

blocked: logan2, Diamonds3, Hamilton22

#42

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/23/08 at 11:45am

Best Picture:
Will: NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: JUNO
Dark Horse: ATONEMENT

Best Director:
Will: Coens Brothers, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: Julian Schnabel, DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY
Dark Horse: Schnabel, DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY

Best Actor:
Will: Daniel Day-Lewis, THERE WILL BE BLOOD
Should: Johnny Depp, SWEENEY TODD
Dark Horse: George Clooney, MICHAEL CLAYTON

Best Actress:
Will: Julie Christie, AWAY FROM HER
Should: Ellen Page, JUNO
Dark Horse: Marion Cotillard, LA VIE EN ROSE

Best Supporting Actor:
Will: Javier Bardem, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: Javier Bardem, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Dark Horse: Jaavier Bradem, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN

Best Supporting Actress:
Will: Cate Blanchett, I'M NOT THERE
Should: Amy Ryan, GONE BABY GONE
Dark Horse: Ruby Dee, AMERICAN GANGSTER

Best Original Screenplay:
Will: Diablo Cody, JUNO
Should: Diablo Cody, JUNO
Dark Horse: Brad Bird, RATATOUILLE

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will: Coen Brothers, NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: Ronald Harwood, DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY
Dark Horse: Christopher Hamptom, ATONEMENT

Best Animated Film:
Will: RATATOUILLE
Should: RATATOUILLE
Dark Horse: PERSEPOLIS

Best Cinematography:
Will: NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY
Dark Horse:

Best Art Direction:
Will: SWEENEY TODD
Should: SWEENEY TODD
Dark Horse: THERE WILL BE BLOOD

Best Visual Effects:
Will: TRANSFORMERS
Should: Meh
Dark Horse: PIRATES OF THE CARRIBEAN 3

Best Costume Design:
Will: ATONEMENT
Should: SWEENEY TODD
Dark Horse: ELIZABETH: THE GOLDEN AGE

Best Make-up:
Will: LA VIE EN ROSE
Should: LA VIE EN ROSE
Dark Horse: PIRATES OF THE CARRIBEAN 3

Best Sound Mixing:
Will: NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM
Dark Horse: THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM

Sound Editing:
Will: NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
Should: THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM
Dark Horse: THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM

Best Original Score:
Will: ATONEMENT
Should: ATONEMENT
Dark Horse: ATONEMENT

Best Original Song:
Will: "Falling Slowly," ONCE
Should: "That's How You Know," ENCHANTED
Dark Horse: "That's How You Know," ENCHANTED

"I saw Pavarotti play Rodolfo on stage and with his girth I thought he was about to eat the whole table at the Cafe Momus." - Dollypop

#43

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/23/08 at 12:15pm

I'd been a big supporter of Julie's all along, but now that I've seen La Vie en Rose, I can't help but sway my vote to Marion. I think she might just be the big upset of the evening.

"Y'all have a GRAND day now"

#44

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/23/08 at 12:22pm

I do too, Princeton78. Marion could easily win Best Actress, and I wouldn't be surprised. I do think Julie has the edge for total votes, but it CAN'T be by much.

Supporting Actress is the real "wonky" one, IMO. Votes could split all over the place and it's anyone's award. I think Blanchett will get it, but Dee, Swinton or Ryan could easily walk away with it. And if they ALL split the votes, that girl from "Atonement" could even win it!

"Jaws is the Citizen Kane of movies."

blocked: logan2, Diamonds3, Hamilton22

#45

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/23/08 at 3:33pm

Exactly, B12B.
The Supporting Actress category has no real locks at all. It could easily go 3 different ways. But since Leading and Supporting Actor seem to be "take it to the bank and bet on it" locks, the Leading Actress category seems ripe for a huge upset, and frankly, though I enjoyed Christie, I'd jump out of my seat if Page or Cotillard were to win.
Also of note, the screen writing, directing and Best Picture awards also all seem to be locks, again, leaving Best Actress as the only category where an upset could occur, and we rarely have an Oscar night without at least one WTF moment.

"Y'all have a GRAND day now"

#46

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/23/08 at 3:37pm

I loved Juno and all the performances in it. However, I don't consider any of them oscar-worthy. Not even Page's. I'm more impressed when the role is a stretch.

If Page is such a strong actress, we'll see plenty more of her. She's got her whole life ahead of her.

P.S. I'm watching Little Miss Sunshine again right now, and I actually think Abigail Breslin's performance was more oscar worthy than Ellen Page's.

<-----I'M TOTES ROLLING MY EYES

Updated On: 2/23/08 at 03:37 PM

#47

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/23/08 at 3:50pm

I'd jump out of my seat if Laura Linney won Best Actress!

"I seem to have wandered into the BRAIN load-out thread... "
-best12bars

"Sorry I am a Theatre major not a English Major"
-skibumb5290

#48

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions

Posted: 2/23/08 at 3:50pm

I adored Page's performance in JUNO but it isn't nearly her best performance to date, she should have been nominated (and perhaps won, can't remember which year she would have classified for) for the chilling, haunting performance she gave in HARD CANDY opposite the highly underrated Patrick Wilson.
Either way, it's her I'm gonna be rooting tomorrow night even if she has no chance of taking the award home.
I think Christie has the slight edge over Cotillard at this point, just slight though.

#49

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions WINNERS

Posted: 2/25/08 at 12:14am

PREDICTION WINNERS:

1. best12bars (14)
2. munkustrap178 (13)
3. broadway86 (12)
4. brave sir robin2 (11)
TheActr
cubanpab
ray-andallthatjazz86
roscoe
5. broadwayman17 (

6. bschneid76 (6)

"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy." -Charlie Manson

#50

re: Your Final Oscar Predictions WINNERS

Posted: 2/25/08 at 12:19am

COngrats to Best12Bars and all those who thought that Marion Cotillard would win!

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