You never do know. Every year there are one or two "WTF?" nominations, nods that just come out of nowhere.
Last year's "WTF?" nods were (in my opinion) the Featured Actress nod for PASSING STRANGE, LITTLE MERMAID's nod for Best Lighting Design over PASSING STRANGE, etc.
The year before, one of them was Marian Seldes in DEUCE being passed over for Swoozie Kurtz from HEARTBREAK HOUSE (a production that had premiered the previous October).
(and besides, I enjoy being wrong on some things: if everything was right, it'd be boring.)
"Y'know, I think Bertolt Brecht was rolling in his grave."
-Nellie McKay on the 2006 Broadway production of The Threepenny Opera, in which she played Polly Peachum
BEST MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Next to Normal" "Nine to Five" "Shrek"
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL "Guys and Dolls" "Hair" "Pal Joey" "West Side Story"
BEST SPECIAL THEATRICAL EVENT "Slava's Snowshow" "Liza's at the Palace" "You're Welcome America"
BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE David Alvarez/Trent Kowalik/Kiril Kulish - "Billy Elliot" James Barbour - "A Tale of Two Cities" Gavin Creel - "Hair" Brian D'Arcy James - "Shrek" J. Robert Spencer - "Next to Normal"
BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE Stephanie J. Block - "Nine to Five" Stockard Channing - "Pal Joey" Megan Hilty - "Nine to Five" Allison Janney - "Nine to Five" Alice Ripley - "Next to Normal"
BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE Christopher Seiber - "Shrek" Gregory Jbara - "Billy Elliot" Marc Kudish - "Nine to Five" Will Swenson - "Hair" Aaron Tveit - "Next to Normal"
BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE Jennifer Damiano - "Next to Normal" Hayden Gwyne - "Billy Elliot" Kathy Fitzgerald - "9 to 5" Karen Olivo - "West Side Story" Martha Plimpton - "Pal Joey"
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Next to Normal" "Nine to Five" "[Title of Show]"
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE OF A MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Next to Normal" "Nine to Five" "Shrek"
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS "Billy Elliot" "Hair" "Next to Normal" "9 to 5"
BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL Stephen Daldry - "Billy Elliot" Michael Greif - "Next to Normal" Joe Mantello - "Nine to Five" Diane Paulus - "Hair"
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY Karole Armitage - "Hair" Andy Blankenbuehler - "Nine to Five" Peter Darling - "Billy Elliot" Josh Prince - "Shrek"
BEST SCENIC DESIGN - MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Next to Normal" "Nine to Five" "Shrek"
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN - MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Next to Normal" "Nine to 5" "A Tale of Two Cities"
BEST COSTUME DESIGN - MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Hair" "Shrek" "A Tale of Two Cities"
BEST SOUND DESIGN - MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" (I'd say this is the biggest lock for a win of any category-- truly a BRILLIANT sound design) "Hair" "Nine to Five" "Shrek"
I know I didn't predict anything for plays... but oh, how I wish Kristin Scott Thomas is recognized. Her work in THE SEAGULL kept her from publicizing herself enough to land an Oscar nod, and I would hate to see a year of tremendous perfomances go unrewarded for her.
BEST MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Next to Normal 9 to 5 Shrek The Musical
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL Guys and Dolls Hair Pal Joey West Side Story
BEST PLAY The American Plan Dividing the Estate God of Carnage reasons to be pretty
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY Joe Turner's Come and Gone Mary Stuart The Norman Conquests Waiting For Godot
BEST SPECIAL THEATRICAL EVENT Cirque Dreams: Jungle Fantasy Liza's At the Palace Soul of Shaolin You're Welcome America
BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE David Alvarez/Trent Kowalik/Kiril Kulish - Billy Elliot The Musical James Barbour - A Tale of Two Cities Gavin Creel - Hair Brian D'Arcy James - Shrek The Musical J. Robert Spencer - Next to Normal
BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE Stockard Channing - Pal Joey Megan Hilty - 9 to 5 Allison Janney - 9 to 5 Alice Ripley - Next to Normal Josefina Scaglione - West Side Story
BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE Gregory Jbara - Billy Elliot The Musical Marc Kudisch - 9 to 5 Christopher Sieber - Shrek The Musical Will Swenson - Hair Aaron Tveit - Next to Normal
BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE Jennifer Damiano - Next to Normal Hayden Gwynne - Billy Elliot Karen Olivo - West Side Story Martha Plimpton - Pal Joey Carole Shelley - Billy Elliot The Musical
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Next to Normal 9 to 5 [title of show]
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE OF A MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Next to Normal 9 to 5 Shrek The Musical
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS A Tale of Two Cities Billy Elliot The Musical Next to Normal Rock of Ages
BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL Stephen Daldry - Billy Elliot The Musical Michael Greif - Next to Normal Arthur Laurents - West Side Story (I pray to god this isn't the case, but the more I think about it, the more I think it's gonna happen) Diane Paulus - Hair
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY Karole Armitage - Hair Andy Blankenbuehler - 9 to 5 Peter Darling - Billy Elliot The Musical Randy Skinner - Irving Berlin's White Christmas
BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY - LEADING ROLE James Gandolfini - God of Carnage Bill Irwin - Waiting For Godot Daniel Radcliffe - Equus Geoffrey Rush - Exit the King Thomas Sadoski - reasons to be pretty
BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY - LEADING ROLE Jane Fonda - 33 Variations Carla Gugino - Desire Under The Elms Marcia Gay Harden - God of Carnage Janet McTeer - Mary Stuart Harriet Walter - Mary Stuart
BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY - FEATURED ROLE Mackenzie Crook - The Seagull Brian Dehenny - Desire Under the Elms John Goodman - Waiting for Godot Paul Ritter - The Norman Conquests Roger Robinson - Joe Turner's Come and Gone
BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY - FEATURED ROLE Hallie Foote - Dividing the Estate Angela Lansbury - Blithe Spirit Andrea Martin - Exit the King Carey Mulligan - The Seagull Amanda Root - The Norman Conquests
BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY Phyllida Lloyd - Mary Stuart Anthony Page - Waiting for Godot Bartlett Sher - Joe Turner's Come and Gone Matthew Warchus - The Norman Conquests
BEST SCENIC DESIGN - MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Hair 9 to 5 Shrek The Musical
BEST SCENIC DESIGN - PLAY 33 Variations Desire Under the Elms Exit The King The Norman Conquests
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN - MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Hair Next to Normal Rock of Ages
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN - PLAY Desire Under the Elms Equus Mary Stuart The Seagull
BEST COSTUME DESIGN - MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Hair 9 to 5 Shrek The Musical
BEST COSTUME DESIGN - PLAY Blithe Spirit Exit The King Mary Stuart Waiting For Godot
BEST SOUND DESIGN - MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Hair Rock of Ages Shrek The Musical
BEST SOUND DESIGN - PLAY 33 Variations Equus Exit The King Mary Stuart
"If there was a Mount Rushmore for Broadway scores, "West Side Story" would be front and center. It snaps, it crackles it pops! It surges with a roar, its energy and sheer life undiminished by the years" - NYPost reviewer Elisabeth Vincentelli
Im only giving predictions on the major musical awards.
Best Musical: Billy Elliot Next to Normal [Title of Show] Shrek the Musical
Best Musical Revival: Guys & Dolls Hair Pal Joey West Side Story
Best Lead Actor in a Musical David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, Kiril Kulish; Billy Elliot: The Musical James Barbour, Tale of Two Cities Gavin Creel, Hair Brian D'Arcy James, Shrek the Musical J. Robert Spencer, Next to Normal
Best Lead Actress in a Musical Sutton Foster, Shrek the Musical Stephanie J. Block, 9 to 5 Allison Janney, 9 to 5 Alice Ripley, Next to Normal Josefina Scaglione, West Side Story
Best Featured Actor in a Musical Gregory Jbara, Billy Elliot: The Musical Marc Kudisch, 9 to 5 Christopher Sieber, Shrek the Musical Will Swenson, Hair Aaron Tveit, Next to Normal
Best Featured Actress in a Musical: Jennifer Damiano, Next to Normal Haydn Gwynne, Billy Elliot: The Musical Karen Olivo, West Side Story Martha Plimpton, Pal Joey Heidi Blickenstaff, [Title of Show]
Best Score: 9 to 5 Billy Elliot: The Musical Next to Normal Shrek the Musical
Best Book: Billy Elliot: The Musical Next to Normal Shrek the Musical [Title of show]
<------ Me and my friends with patti Lupone at my friends afterparty for her concert with audra mcdonald during the summer of 2007.
"I am sorry but it is an unjust world and virtue is only triumphant in theatricle performances" The Mikado
I'm convinced Best Musical is going to be: 9 to 5 Billy Elliot Next to Normal Rock of Ages
I'm a professional. Whenever something goes wrong on stage, I know how to handle it so no one ever remembers. I flash my %#$&.
"Jayne just sat there while Gina flailed around the stage like an idiot."
BEST MUSICAL 9 TO 5 BILLY ELLIOT NEXT TO NORMAL ROCK OF AGES
BEST PLAY 33 VARIATIONS DIVIDING THE ESTATE GOD OF CARNAGE REASONS TO BE PRETTY Alternate: IRENA'S VOW
BEST REVIVAL-PLAY EXIT THE KING JOE TURNER'S COME AND GONE THE NORMAN CONQUESTS WAITING FOR GODOT Alternate: MARY STUART
BEST LEAD ACTOR-PLAY James Gandolfini, GOD OF CARNAGE Bill Irwin, WAITING FOR GODOT Daniel Radcliffe, EQUUS Geoffrey Rush, EXIT THE KING Thomas Sadoski, REASONS TO BE PRETTY Should: Rupert Everett, BLITHE SPIRIT
BEST LEAD ACTOR-MUSICAL David Alvarez, Trent Kowalic, Kiril Kulish, BILLY ELLIOT James Barbour, TALE OF TWO CITIES Gavin Creel, HAIR Brian d'Arcy James, SHREK J. Robert Spencer, NEXT TO NORMAL
BEST LEAD ACTRESS-PLAY Tovah Feldush, IRENA'S VOW Carla Gugino, DESIRE UNDER THE ELMS Marcia Gay Harden, GOD OF CARNAGE Kristin Scott Thomas, THE SEAGULL Harriet Walter, MARY STUART Should: A bunch, but specifically Jayne Atkinson for BLITHE SPIRIT.
BEST LEAD ACTRESS-MUSICAL Stockard Channing, PAL JOEY Kate Jennings Grant, GUYS & DOLLS Alison Janney, 9 TO 5 Alice Ripley, NEXT TO NORMAL Josefina Scaglione, WEST SIDE STORY Alternate: Megan Hilty, 9 TO 5
BEST BOOK BILLY ELLIOT NEXT TO NORMAL SHREK [TITLE OF SHOW]
BEST SCORE 9 TO 5 BILLY ELLIOT NEXT TO NORMAL [TITLE OF SHOW]
"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"
"The JOY to see CS predict ROA as a nominee for the Best Musical Tony? Priceless. "
That's because the 4th slot is obviously not going to title of show. Oh, and ROA is not getting more nominations than 9 to 5, there is just no way.
I'm a professional. Whenever something goes wrong on stage, I know how to handle it so no one ever remembers. I flash my %#$&.
"Jayne just sat there while Gina flailed around the stage like an idiot."
BEST MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Next to Normal 9 to 5 Shrek The Musical
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL Guys and Dolls Hair Pal Joey West Side Story
BEST PLAY 33 Variations Dividing the Estate God of Carnage reasons to be pretty
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY Joe Turner's Come and Gone Exit the King The Norman Conquests Waiting For Godot
BEST SPECIAL THEATRICAL EVENT Cirque Dreams: Jungle Fantasy Liza's At the Palace Soul of Shaolin You're Welcome America
BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE David Alvarez/Trent Kowalik/Kiril Kulish - Billy Elliot The Musical James Barbour - A Tale of Two Cities Gavin Creel - Hair Brian D'Arcy James - Shrek The Musical J. Robert Spencer - Next to Normal
BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE Stockard Channing - Pal Joey Sutton Foster - Shrek Allison Janney - 9 to 5 Alice Ripley - Next to Normal Josefina Scaglione - West Side Story
BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE Gregory Jbara - Billy Elliot The Musical Marc Kudisch - 9 to 5 Christopher Sieber - Shrek The Musical Will Swenson - Hair Daniel Breaker - Shrek The Musical
BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE Kathy Fitzgerald - 9 to 5 Hayden Gwynne - Billy Elliot Karen Olivo - West Side Story Martha Plimpton - Pal Joey Carole Shelley - Billy Elliot
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Next to Normal Shrek The Musical [title of show]
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE OF A MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Next to Normal 9 to 5 Shrek The Musical
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS Shrek the Musical Billy Elliot The Musical Next to Normal 13
BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL Stephen Daldry - Billy Elliot The Musical Michael Greif - Next to Normal Jason Moore - Shrek the Musical Diane Paulus - Hair
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY Karole Armitage - Hair Josh Prince - Shrek The Musical Peter Darling - Billy Elliot The Musical Randy Skinner - Irving Berlin's White Christmas
BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY - LEADING ROLE John Lithgow - All My Sons Bill Irwin - Waiting For Godot Raul Esparza - Speed the Plow Geoffrey Rush - Exit the King Thomas Sadoski - reasons to be pretty
BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY - LEADING ROLE Jane Fonda - 33 Variations Carla Gugino - Desire Under The Elms Marcia Gay Harden - God of Carnage Janet McTeer - Mary Stuart Kristin Scott Thomas - The Seagull
BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY - FEATURED ROLE Mackenzie Crook - The Seagull Steven Pasquale - reasons to be pretty John Goodman - Waiting for Godot Paul Ritter - The Norman Conquests Roger Robinson - Joe Turner's Come and Gone
BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY - FEATURED ROLE Hallie Foote - Dividing the Estate Angela Lansbury - Blithe Spirit Andrea Martin - Exit the King Zoe Kazan - The Seagull Elizabeth Moss - Speed the Plow
BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY Anthony Page - Waiting for Godot Bartlett Sher - Joe Turner's Come and Gone Matthew Warchus - The Norman Conquests Matthew Warchus - God of Carnage
BEST SCENIC DESIGN - MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Hair 9 to 5 Shrek The Musical
BEST SCENIC DESIGN - PLAY 33 Variations Desire Under the Elms The Seagull The Norman Conquests
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN - MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Hair Next to Normal Shrek The Musical
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN - PLAY Desire Under the Elms Equus Mary Stuart The Seagull
BEST COSTUME DESIGN - MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Hair 9 to 5 Shrek The Musical
BEST COSTUME DESIGN - PLAY Blithe Spirit Exit The King Mary Stuart Waiting For Godot
BEST SOUND DESIGN - MUSICAL Billy Elliot The Musical Hair Rock of Ages Shrek The Musical
BEST SOUND DESIGN - PLAY 33 Variations Equus Exit The King Mary Stuart
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
BEST MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Next to Normal" "Nine to Five" "Shrek"
BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL "Guys and Dolls" "Hair" "Pal Joey" "West Side Story"
BEST PLAY "Irena's Vow" "God of Carnage" "reasons to be pretty" "33 Variations"
BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY "Exit the King" "Mary Stuart" "The Norman Conquests" "Joe Turner's Come and Gone"
BEST SPECIAL THEATRICAL EVENT "Cirque Dreams: Jungle Fantasy" "Liza's at the Palace" "You're Welcome America" "Soul of Shaolin"
BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE David Alvarez/Trent Kowalik/Kiril Kulish - "Billy Elliot" James Barbour - "A Tale of Two Cities" Gavin Creel - "Hair" Brian D'Arcy James - "Shrek" J. Robert Spencer - "Next to Normal"
BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE Stephanie J. Block - "Nine to Five" Sutton Foster - "Shrek" Megan Hilty - "Nine to Five" Allison Janney - "Nine to Five" Alice Ripley - "Next to Normal"
BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE Christopher Siber - "Shrek" Gregory Jbara - "Billy Elliot" Marc Kudish - "Nine to Five" Will Swenson - "Hair" Aaron Tveit - "Next to Normal"
BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE Jennifer Damiano - "Next to Normal" Hayden Gwyne - "Billy Elliot" Kathy Fitzgerald - "9 to 5" Karen Olivo - "West Side Story" Martha Plimpton - "Pal Joey"
BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Next to Normal" "Nine to Five" "[Title of Show]"
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE OF A MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Next to Normal" "Nine to Five" "Shrek"
BEST ORCHESTRATIONS "Billy Elliot" "Hair" "Next to Normal" "9 to 5"
BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL Stephen Daldry - "Billy Elliot" Michael Greif - "Next to Normal" Joe Mantello - "Nine to Five" Diane Paulus - "Hair"
BEST CHOREOGRAPHY Karole Armitage - "Hair" Andy Blankenbuehler - "Nine to Five" Peter Darling - "Billy Elliot" Sergiio Trujillo - "Next to Normal"
BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY - LEADING ROLE Raul Esparza - "Speed-the-Plow" James Gandolfini - "God of Carnage" John Lithgow - "All My Sons" Stephen Mangan - "The Norman Conquests" Geoffrey Rush - "Exit the King"
BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY - LEADING ROLE Jane Fonda - "33 Variations" Marcia Gay Harden - "God of Carnage" Janet McTeer - "Mary Stuart" Kristin Scott Thomas - "The Seagull" Tovah Feldshuh- "Irena's Vow"
BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY - FEATURED ROLE Mackenzie Crook - "The Seagull" Brian Dennehy - "Desire Under the Elms" John Goodman - "Waiting for Godot" John Benjamin Hickey - "Mary Stuart" Patrick Wilson - "All My Sons"
BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY - FEATURED ROLE Andrea Martin - "Exit the King" Angela Lansbury - "Blithe Spirit" Carey Mulligan - "The Seagull" Piper Perabo - "reasons to be pretty" Mercedes Ruehl - "The American Plan"
BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY Anthony Page - "Waiting for Godot" Ian Rickson - "The Seagull" Bartlett Sher - "Joe Turner's Come and Gone" Matthew Warchus - "The Norman Conquests"
BEST SCENIC DESIGN - MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Next to Normal" "Nine to Five" "Hair"
BEST SCENIC DESIGN - PLAY "33 Variations" "Desire Under the Elms" "Dividing the Estate" "Mary Stuart"
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN - MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Next to Normal" "9 to 5" "Shrek"
BEST LIGHTING DESIGN - PLAY "Desire Under the Elms" "Equus" "Mary Stuart" "The Seagull"
BEST COSTUME DESIGN - MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Hair" "Shrek" "9 to 5"
BEST COSTUME DESIGN - PLAY "Exit the King" "Mary Stuart" "Irena's Vow" "Waiting for Godot"
BEST SOUND DESIGN - MUSICAL "Billy Elliot" "Hair" "Next to Normal" "Shrek"
BEST SOUND DESIGN - PLAY "33 Variations" "All My Sons" "Blithe Spirit" "Exit the King"
anyone who thinks N2N will be getting less than 4 acting nominations is out of there mind. Jennifer became a lock when Hilty and Block got bumped to leading.
when ducks grow thumbs then maybe my opinion will change.
I don't see how NEXT TO NORMAL could get a Scenic Design nomination.
It's scaffolding.
It's outside of buildings all across Manhattan.
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
And I truly hope Laurents doesn't take away a Best Direction nomination from an actually well-directed production.
There are only four slots.
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)