2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

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2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 9:07pm

Just for fun, for anyone who is interested, let's make a game out of it. For each nominee you guess correctly, you get a point. Guess every single nominee for a particular category and earn a bonus point. On Tuesday after the nominations are announced, tally your points and post!

Here are my predictions (I haven't seen any of the plays except for EQUUS and ALL MY SONS, so my predictions for all categories pertaining to the plays are based solely on reviews and word-of-mouth. For the musicals, I have seen everything except 13, ROCK OF AGES, WHITE CHRISTMAS, and [TITLE of SHOW]).

BEST MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Next to Normal"
"Nine to Five"
"Shrek"

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
"Guys and Dolls" (although my gut says they won't nominate it at all)
"Hair"
"Pal Joey"
"West Side Story"

BEST PLAY
"Dividing the Estate"
"God of Carnage"
"reasons to be pretty"
"33 Variations"

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
"Exit the King"
"Mary Stuart"
"The Norman Conquests"
"Waiting for Godot"

BEST SPECIAL THEATRICAL EVENT
"Cirque Dreams: Jungle Fantasy"
"Liza's at the Palace"
"You're Welcome America"

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE
David Alvarez/Trent Kowalik/Kiril Kulish - "Billy Elliot"
James Barbour - "A Tale of Two Cities"
Gavin Creel - "Hair"
Brian D'Arcy James - "Shrek"
J. Robert Spencer - "Next to Normal"

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE
Stephanie J. Block - "Nine to Five"
Sutton Foster - "Shrek"
Megan Hilty - "Nine to Five"
Allison Janney - "Nine to Five"
Alice Ripley - "Next to Normal"

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE
Mitchell Jarvis - "Rock of Ages"
Gregory Jbara - "Billy Elliot"
Marc Kudish - "Nine to Five"
Will Swenson - "Hair"
Aaron Tveit - "Next to Normal"

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE
Jennifer Damiano - "Next to Normal"
Hayden Gwyne - "Billy Elliot"
Caissie Levy - "Hair"
Karen Olivo - "West Side Story"
Martha Plimpton - "Pal Joey"

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Next to Normal"
"Nine to Five"
"[Title of Show]"

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE OF A MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Next to Normal"
"Nine to Five"
"Shrek"

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
"Billy Elliot"
"Hair"
"Next to Normal"
"Rock of Ages"

BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Stephen Daldry - "Billy Elliot"
Michael Greif - "Next to Normal"
Joe Mantello - "Nine to Five"
Diane Paulus - "Hair"

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Karole Armitage - "Hair"
Andy Blankenbuehler - "Nine to Five"
Peter Darling - "Billy Elliot"
Josh Prince - "Shrek"

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY - LEADING ROLE
Raul Esparza - "Speed-the-Plow"
James Gandolfini - "God of Carnage"
John Lithgow - "All My Sons"
Stephen Mangan - "The Norman Conquests"
Geoffrey Rush - "Exit the King"

BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY - LEADING ROLE
Jane Fonda - "33 Variations"
Marcia Gay Harden - "God of Carnage"
Janet McTeer - "Mary Stuart"
Kristin Scott Thomas - "The Seagull"
Dianne Wiest - "All My Sons"

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY - FEATURED ROLE
Mackenzie Crook - "The Seagull"
Brian Dennehy - "Desire Under the Elms"
John Goodman - "Waiting for Godot"
John Benjamin Hickey - "Mary Stuart"
Patrick Wilson - "All My Sons"

BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY - FEATURED ROLE
Andrea Martin - "Exit the King"
Angela Lansbury - "Blithe Spirit"
Carey Mulligan - "The Seagull"
Piper Perabo - "reasons to be pretty"
Mercedes Ruehl - "The American Plan"

BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Anthony Page - "Waiting for Godot"
Ian Rickson - "The Seagull"
Bartlett Sher - "Joe Turner's Come and Gone"
Matthew Warchus - "The Norman Conquests"

BEST SCENIC DESIGN - MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Next to Normal"
"Nine to Five"
"Shrek"

BEST SCENIC DESIGN - PLAY
"33 Variations"
"Desire Under the Elms"
"Dividing the Estate"
"Mary Stuart"

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN - MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Next to Normal"
"Rock of Ages"
"Shrek"

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN - PLAY
"Desire Under the Elms"
"Equus"
"Mary Stuart"
"The Seagull"

BEST COSTUME DESIGN - MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Hair"
"Shrek"
"White Christmas"

BEST COSTUME DESIGN - PLAY
"Exit the King"
"Mary Stuart"
"The Norman Conquests"
"Waiting for Godot"

BEST SOUND DESIGN - MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Hair"
"Rock of Ages"
"Shrek"

BEST SOUND DESIGN - PLAY
"33 Variations"
"All My Sons"
"Blithe Spirit"
"Exit the King"

REGIONAL THEATRE AWARD (5pts bonus)
Signature Theatre Company

LIFETIME ACHIEVEMENT AWARD (5pts bonus)
Jerry Herman

TONY HONORS FOR EXCELLENCE IN THEATRE (5pts bonus)
The Actor's Fund

ISABELLE STEVENSON AWARD (5pts bonus)
Natasha Richardson

"The Spectacle has, indeed, an emotional attraction of its own, but, of all the parts, it is the least artistic, and connected least with the art of poetry. For the power of Tragedy, we may be sure, is felt even apart from representation and actors. Besides, the production of spectacular effects depends more on the art of the stage machinist than on that of the poet."
--Aristotle

Updated On: 5/3/09 at 09:07 PM

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 9:10pm

oh my...

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 9:14pm

I like the ALL MY SONS predictions! I hope those come true.

"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad

"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 9:15pm

For the most part, I completely agree with you.

"He found something that he wanted, had always wanted and always would want— not to be admired, as he had feared; not to be loved, as he had made himself believe; but to be necessary to people, to be indispensable." -F. Scott Fitzgerald's This Side of Paradise

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 9:52pm

Since the 9 to 5 ladies have been eligible for leading actress, what are the chances of all three of them actually being nominated? Has there ever been 3 leading nominations from one show?

Updated On: 5/2/09 at 09:52 PM

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:03pm

It's not leading, but two shows in recent memory had 3 nominees in Best Featured Actor in a Musical-

The Producers had Gary Beach (who won), Roger Bart, and Brad Oscar.

The revival of Kiss Me, Kate had Michael Berresse, Lee Wilkoff, and and Michael Mulheren.

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:07pm

NINE revival had Jane, Chita, and Mary Stuart nominated in featured.

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:10pm

I really think all three 9 TO 5 ladies will get nominated. The big competition for Leading Actress in a Musical is Ripley, Janney, Block, Hilty, Foster, and Scaglione.

I think Foster will be left off the list and all of the other aforementioned women will get noms.

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:10pm

I really don't see all three of them getting it. Janney is a LOCK (same for Ripley) But the other two are probably fighting for 1 spot

when ducks grow thumbs then maybe my opinion will change.

#10

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:16pm

You don't think Foster will have either A) been forgotten and/or B) may be dismissed simply because of the rumored lack of SHREK love among the Tony elite and/or C) not nominated because of having so many nominations and one win under her belt already?

I'd really feel bad if one of the 9 TO 5-ers didn't get recognized. They're all great and Sutton is wonderful but just kinda doing her usual Sutton-shtick in SHREK.

#11

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:18pm

BEST MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Next to Normal"
"Nine to Five"
"Shrek"

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
"Guys and Dolls" (although my gut says they won't nominate it at all)
"Hair"
"Pal Joey"
"West Side Story"

BEST SPECIAL THEATRICAL EVENT
"Cirque Dreams: Jungle Fantasy"
"Liza's at the Palace"
"You're Welcome America"

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE
David Alvarez/Trent Kowalik/Kiril Kulish - "Billy Elliot"
James Barbour - "A Tale of Two Cities"
Gavin Creel - "Hair"
Brian D'Arcy James - "Shrek"
J. Robert Spencer - "Next to Normal"

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE
Stephanie J. Block - "Nine to Five"
Sutton Foster - "Shrek"
Megan Hilty - "Nine to Five"
Allison Janney - "Nine to Five"
Alice Ripley - "Next to Normal"

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE
Chris Seiber - "Shrek"
Gregory Jbara - "Billy Elliot"
Marc Kudish - "Nine to Five"
Will Swenson - "Hair"
Aaron Tveit - "Next to Normal"

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE
Jennifer Damiano - "Next to Normal"
Hayden Gwyne - "Billy Elliot"
Kathy Fitzgerald - "Nine to Five"
Heidi Blickenstaff- "[title of show]"
Karen Olivo - "West Side Story"

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Next to Normal"
"Nine to Five"
"[Title of Show]"

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE OF A MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Next to Normal"
"Nine to Five"
"Shrek"

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
"Billy Elliot"
"Hair"
"Next to Normal"
"Rock of Ages"

BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Stephen Daldry - "Billy Elliot"
Michael Greif - "Next to Normal"
Joe Mantello - "Nine to Five"
Diane Paulus - "Hair"

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Karole Armitage - "Hair"
Andy Blankenbuehler - "Nine to Five"
Peter Darling - "Billy Elliot"
Josh Prince - "Shrek"

BEST SCENIC DESIGN - MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Next to Normal"
"Nine to Five"
"Shrek"

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN - MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Next to Normal"
"Nine to Five"
"Shrek"

BEST COSTUME DESIGN - MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Hair"
"Shrek"
"Nine to Five"

BEST SOUND DESIGN - MUSICAL
"Billy Elliot"
"Hair"
"Rock of Ages"
"Shrek"

Updated On: 5/2/09 at 10:18 PM

#12

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:22pm

Thanks for the replies. I am not sure if all three will be nominated, but from reviews I would guess if it were only one it would be Allison.

I like your predictions DefyingGravity.

#13

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:23pm

Ok here is my final choices (some categories are a little spotty just go with it)

Best Musical:?9 to 5
Next to Normal/ Shrek (toss up)
Billy Elliot
Rock of Ages

Best Book of a Musical
?9 to 5
[title of show]
Billy Elliot
Next to Normal

Best Original Score
?Next to Normal
9 to 5
Billy Elliot
Shrek

Best Revival of a Play
?Equus
Speed the Plow
Blithe Spirit
Waiting for Godot

Best Revival of a Musical?
West Side Story
Hair
Pal Joey
Guys and Dolls

Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Play?
Daniel Radcliffe, Equus
Nathan Lane, Waiting for Godot
Geoffrey Rush, Exit the King
Bill Irwin, Waiting for Godot
Raul Esparza, Speed the Plow

Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Play
Marcia Gay Harden, God of Carnage
Janet McTeer, Mary Stuart
Tovah Feldush, Irena's Vow
Susan Sarandon, Exit the King
???

Best Performance By a Leading Actor in a Musical?
J. Robert Spencer, Next to Normal
The Three Billys, Billy Elliot
Brian D'Arcy James, Shrek
Gavin Creel, Hair
James Barbour, A Tale of Two Cities

Best Performance By a Leading Actress in a Musical?
Alice Ripley, Next to Normal
Allison Janey, 9 to 5
Stephanie J. Block, 9 to 5
Megan Hilty, 9 to 5
Josephina Scaglione, West Side Story/ Sutton Foster, Shrek (toss up)

Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Play
Patrick Wilson, All My Sons
John Glover, Waiting for Godot
John Goodman, Waiting for Godot
???

Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Play?
Angela Lansbury, Blithe Spirit
Elizabeth Moss, Speed the Plow
Andrea Martin, Exit the King
???
???

Best Performance By a Featured Actor in a Musical?
Christopher Sieber, Shrek
Mitchell Jarvis, Rock of Ages
Marc Kudisch, 9 to 5
Aaron Tveit, Next to Normal
Will Swenson, Hair

Best Performance By a Featured Actress in a Musical?
Karen Olivo, West Side Story
Heidi Blickenstaff, [title of show]/ Allison Case, Hair (Toss up)
Kathy Fitzgerald, 9 to 5
Martha Plimpton, Pal Joey
Haydn Gwynne, Billy Elliot

Best Direction of a Musical?
9 to 5
Shrek
Hair
Next to Normal

Best Choreography?
9 to 5
Billy Elliot
Rock of Ages
West Side Story

Best Orchestrations
?Shrek
9 to 5
Billy Elliot
Rock of Ages

Best Scenic Design of a Musical?
9 to 5
Billy Elliot
Shrek
Hair

Best Costume Design of a Musical?
Shrek
Billy Elliot
Rock of Ages
9 to 5

"Grease," the fourth revival of the season, is the worst show in the history of theater and represents an unparalleled assault on Western civilization and its values. - Michael Reidel

#14

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:23pm

No one ever knows what will be nominated until it is nominated. For all we know, the best musical nominations could be

A Tale of Two Cities
13
Title of Show
Rock of Ages

...and then 13 wins

"There's nothing good on. The media hates Christmas. The media loves vampires, though. Maybe they will show a Twilight Christmas."
-Danmeg's 10 year old son.

#15

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:26pm

yeah, those could be the nominations, in bizarro world. in the real world, none of those shows will be nominated for best musical.

Also, Rock of Ages for orchestrations? REALLY JONART? Best musical is a silly enough guess, but Orchestrations?

when ducks grow thumbs then maybe my opinion will change.

#16

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:33pm

I also have it for Orchestrations. But again, I haven't seen it. It's a mere guess since I'm told the show takes classic rock songs and puts a twist on them?

#17

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:44pm

Tonys rarely go as they should or as we expect. If BE and N2N are locks for Best Musical, I expect something like ROA making it to the list.

Listen, I don't take my clothes off for anyone, even if it is "artistic". - JANICE

#18

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:45pm

Let's get some things straight here: if you're making "official predictions", you should use the proper titles of the shows.

"9 to 5"
"Billy Elliot: the Musical"
"next to normal"
"Shrek the Musical"

Best Revival of a Musical is locked. The committee HAS to nominate those four shows.

Yup, I don't predict plays because I haven't seen as many.

BEST MUSICAL
Billy Elliot: the Musical
next to normal
9 to 5
Shrek the Musical

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Guys and Dolls (they have NO CHOICE but to nominate it, dumbtards)
Hair
Pal Joey
West Side Story

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE
David Alvarez/Trent Kowalik/Kiril Kulish as Billy Elliot in Billy Elliot: the Musical
Matt Cavenaugh as Tony in West Side Story
Gavin Creel as Claude in Hair
Brian D'Arcy James as Shrek in Shrek the Musical
J. Robert Spencer as Dan in next to normal

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - LEADING ROLE
Stephanie J. Block as Judy Bernly OR Megan Hilty as Doralee Rhodes in 9 to 5
Sutton Foster as Princess Fiona in Shrek the Musical
Allison Janney as Violet Newstead in 9 to 5
Alice Ripley as Diana in next to normal
Josefina Scaglione as Maria in West Side Story

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE
Gregory Jbara as Jackie Elliot in Billy Elliot: the Musical
Marc Kudisch as Franklin Hart, Jr. in 9 to 5
Christopher Sieber as Lord Farquaad in Shrek the Musical
Aaron Tveit as Gabe in next to normal
Will Swenson as Berger in Hair

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL - FEATURED ROLE
Allison Case OR Caissie Levy, Hair
Haydn Gwynne as Mrs. Wilkinson in Billy Elliot: the Musical
Karen Olivo as Anita in West Side Story
Martha Plimpton as Gladys Bumps in Pal Joey
Carole Shelley as Grandma in Billy Elliot: the Musical

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Chris D'Arienzo, Rock of Ages
Lee Hall, Billy Elliot: the Musical
Brian Yorkey, next to normal
Patricia Resnik, 9 to 5

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE OF A MUSICAL
Jeff Bowen, [title of show]
Elton John, Billy Elliot: the Musical
Tom Kitt and Brian Yorkey, next to normal
Dolly Parton, 9 to 5

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
Bruce Coughlin, 9 to 5
Tom Kitt and Michael Starobin, next to ormal
Martin Koch, Billy Elliot: the Musical
Danny Troob, Shrek the Musical

BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot: the Musical
Michael Greif, next to normal
Arthur Laurents, West Side Story
Diane Paulus, Hair

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Karole Armitage, Hair
Andy Blankenbuehler, 9 to 5
Peter Darling, Billy Elliot the Musical
Sergio Trujillo, Guys and Dolls

BEST SCENIC DESIGN - MUSICAL
Tim Hatley, Shrek the Musical
Ian MacNeil, Billy Elliot: the Musical
Scott Pask, 9 to 5
Hair

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN - MUSICAL
Rick Fisher, Billy Elliot: the Musical
Jules Fisher and Kenneth Posner, 9 to 5
Joel Silver, next to normal
Hugh Vanstone, Shrek the Musical

BEST COSTUME DESIGN - MUSICAL
Nicky Gillibrand, Billy Elliot: the Musical
Tim Hatley, Shrek the Musical
William Ivey Long, 9 to 5
Michael McDonald, Hair

BEST SOUND DESIGN - MUSICAL
Paul Arditti, Billy Elliot: the Musical
Peter Hylelnski, Shrek the Musical
Brian Ronan, next to normal
John Shivers, 9 to 5

Formerly SirNotAppearing - Joined 3/08

Updated On: 5/2/09 at 10:45 PM

#19

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:45pm

I wouldn't count out ROCK OF AGES for a lot of things: actor, featured actor (Mitchell Jarvis), orchestrations, set, design, lights, choreography.

That said, I keep trying to come up with a list, but I just cannot. I don't envy the nominators this year. No sir-ee.

#20

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:47pm

"No one ever knows what will be nominated until it is nominated. For all we know, the best musical nominations could be

A Tale of Two Cities
13
Title of Show
Rock of Ages

...and then 13 wins"

That is indeed a possible event.

Another possible event would be alien beings that look like hairless guinea pigs wearing little sombreros landing in the middle of Central Park tomorrow and leading everyone in a riotous polka.

The facts don't favor the latter.

Or the former.

I don't get this "whats the point in predicting.. we don't really know unless it happens" buzzkill stuff.

"...everyone finally shut up, and the audience could enjoy the beginning of the Anatevka Pogram in peace."

#21

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:52pm

1) Like I said, this is for fun for those who want to do it. I'm an awards show guru and I do this with the Oscars and Tonys.

2) PiraguaGuy2, there's no need to be nasty. I'm a lot of things but I am not a "dumbtard." Why is the committee obligated to nominate all four shows for Best Revival of a Musical? I remember one year where a show got the shaft, if memory serves me correctly...(either '05 or '06)...

Updated On: 5/2/09 at 10:52 PM

#22

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:54pm

I'm with yankeefan about ROCK OF AGES. I think people are letting their personal thoughts on the show get in the way of the fact that it got a respectable crop of reviews. Better than 9 TO 5, in fact. And SHREK.

I also am having a lot of trouble putting together a list of predictions...this was a really strong year for plays, especially. I do have the feeling that we will get quite a few surprise nominations and omissions on Tuesday.

#23

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 10:56pm

I really want 9 to 5 to sweep the awards but now we all know it won't because of the reviews.

I'm a professional. Whenever something goes wrong on stage, I know how to handle it so no one ever remembers. I flash my %#$&. "Jayne just sat there while Gina flailed around the stage like an idiot."

#24

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 11:13pm

I did it quick, but had to Kad.

Updated On: 5/2/09 at 11:13 PM

#25

re: 2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions

Posted: 5/2/09 at 11:21pm

I agree there will be a few surprises as there always are.
Best Actor in a Play:
Rush
Lane
Irwin
Gandolfini (I think this is a given, no?)
Radcliffe

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