2009 Tony Awards Nominations Predictions — Page 2

ZONEACE- I think Rock of Ages has a decent shot especially for a Best Musical nomination, Will it win? Hell no. However its a crowd pleaser, and I have a feeling it could help the telecast ratings, a channel surfer might stop for a Whitesnake song.

---

As far as predictions I think Martha Plimpton will be nominated and will win. She was a revelation as Gladys and committed 120% to that part. Plus she is well respected in the theatre community. I think Alice Ripley should be dusting the mantle off as well.

---

Can anyone confirm about Mackenzie Crook in SEAGULL?

---

Yep, featured
Tony Nominations Committee Announces Eligibility for Slew of Fall Shows

Best Play:
33 Variations
Dividing the Estate
God of Carnage
reasons to be pretty

Best Play Revival:
Exit the King
Joe Turner?s Come and Gone
The Norman Conquest
Waiting for Godot

Best Director- Play:
Moises Kaufman, 33 Variations
Anthony Page, Waiting for Godot
Bartlet Sher, Joe Turner?s Come and Gone
Matthew Warchus, The Norman Conquest

Best Leading Actor in a Play:
James Gandolfini, God of Carnage
Bill Irwin, Waiting for Godot
Daniel Radcliffe, Equus
Geoffrey Rush, Exit the King
Thomas Sadoski, reasons to be pretty

Best Leading Actress in a Play:
Jane Fonda, 33 Variations
Marcia Gay Harden, God of Carnage
Carla Guigno, Desire Under the Elms
Janet McTeer, Mary Stuart
Harriet Walter, Mary Stuart

Best Featured Actor in a Play:
Brian Dehenny, Desire Under the Elms
John Goodman, Waiting for Godot
Ben Miles, The Norman Conquest
Paul Ritter, The Norman Conquest
Roger Robinson, Joe Turner's Come and Gone

Best Featured Actress in a Play:
Elizabeth Ashley, Dividing the Estate
Hallie Foote, Dividing the Estate
Angela Lansbury, Blithe Spirit
Andrea Martin, Exit the King
Amanda Root, The Norman Conquest

Best Set Design for a Play:
33 Variations
Desire Under the Elms
Joe Turner?s Come and Gone
Waiting for Godot

Best Costume Design for a Play:
Blithe Spirit
Desire Under the Elms
Joe Turner?s Come and Gone
The Seagull

Best Lighting Design for a Play:
33 Variations
Equus
The Norman Conquest
Mary Stuart

Best Sound Design for a Play:
33 Variations
Desire Under the Elms
Equus
Exit the King
-----------------------------

Best Musical:
9 to 5
Billy Elliot
Next to Normal
Shrek

Best Musical Revival:
Guys & Dolls (gut says they don?t even get nomination)
Hair
Pal Joey
West Side Story

Best Lead Actor in a Musical
David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, Kiril Kulish; Billy Elliot: The Musical
James Barbour, Tale of Two Cities
Gavin Creel, Hair
Brian D'Arcy James, Shrek the Musical
J. Robert Spencer, Next to Normal

Best Lead Actress in a Musical
Sutton Foster, Shrek the Musical
Megan Hilty, 9 to 5
Allison Janney, 9 to 5
Alice Ripley, Next to Normal
Josefina Scaglione, West Side Story

Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Gregory Jbara, Billy Elliot: The Musical
Marc Kudisch, 9 to 5
Christopher Sieber, Shrek the Musical
Will Swenson, Hair
Aaron Tveit, Next to Normal

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:
Jennifer Damiano, Next to Normal
Haydn Gwynne, Billy Elliot: The Musical
Karen Olivo, West Side Story
Martha Plimpton, Pal Joey
Carole Shelly, Billy Elliot: The Musical

Best Score:
9 to 5
Billy Elliot: The Musical
Next to Normal
Shrek the Musical

Best Book:
Billy Elliot: The Musical
Next to Normal
Shrek the Musical
[title of show]

Best Direction of a Musical:
Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliot: The Musical
Michael Grief, Next to Normal
Arthur Laurents, West Side Story
Diane Paulus, Hair

Best Coreography:
Karole Armitage, Hair
Andy Blankenbuehler, 9 to 5
Peter Darling, Billy Elliot: The Musical
Josh Prince, Shrek the Musical

Best Orchestrations:
Billy Elliot: The Musical
Next to Normal
Rock of Ages
Shrek the Musical

Best Set Design for a Musical:
9 to 5
Billy Elliot: The Musical
Hair
Shrek

Best Costume Design for a Musical:
9 to 5
Billy Elliot: The Musical
Hair
Shrek

Best Lighting Design for a Musical:
Billy Elliot: The Musical
Hair
Next to Normal
Rock of Ages

Best Sound Design for a Musical:
9 to 5
Billy Elliot: The Musical
Hair
Shrek

Best Theatrical Event:
Liza at the Palace
Slava?s Show
Soul of Shaolin
You?re Welcome America

That still hasn't been explained...

I thought I remembered a few years ago where only 3 of 4 revivals got nominated and there was a huge uproar about the fourth not getting the nod, even though the slot was there?

---

i hope 13 get 6 tonys noms

My predictions and thoughts:

MUSICAL:
Billy Elliot
Next to Normal (why are some of you spelling this in all lowercase like reasons to be pretty?)
The other 2 positions are hard...if you go by quality of reviews, I think Rock of Ages and [title of show] should take the two spots. If you go by commercial appeal, it should be Shrek and 9 to 5. So I will predict one of each and say that Rock of Ages and Shrek take the final 2 spots (I know that guy at the Post says no one likes Shrek, but when you combine nominations from Drama Desk, OCC and Drama Leagues, Shrek got more noms than any other show this year...)

PLAY
God of Carnage
reasons to be pretty
Dividing the Estate
33 Variations
with American Plan possibly knocking 33V out (33V has received more noms than any new play so far this year with 10, AP a whopping 0 even though I remember their reviews being better than 33V)

REVIVAL OF A PLAY
wow...this category is so tough. I honestly feel that there are 11 shows that could possibly end up on this list on Tuesday...but I will go with...
Norman Conquests (the only for sure lock in my book...)
Joe Turner (to honor their ensemble...?)
Seagull
Blithe Spirit (which has more noms so far than any other play this year)
although I almost put in Exit the King, Mary Stuart and Waiting for Godot. Speed-the-Plow, Desire Under the Elms, All My Sons and Equus are distant possibilities as well I think...

ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Billys
Creel
James
Barbour
Spencer
with the possibility of Cavenaugh knocking either of those last 2 out

ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Ripley
Janney
Hilty
Foster
Scaglione
with a possibility of Block knocking either of those last 2 out

ACTOR IN A PLAY
Rush
Sadoski
Esparza
Radcliffe
Lithgow
oooh, I feel like that was a bold prediction...Irwin could of course end up there instead of Lithgow. I also feel that Griffiths, Lane, Langella, Schreiber or Gandolfini could shake things up...

ACTRESS IN A PLAY
McTeer
Walter
Gugino
Thomas
Harden
the obvious possible replacements would be Fonda and Feldshuh with Wiest, Davis and Atkinson having an outside chance as well

Wow, this is hard...I'm going to have to stop there...

What the heck. I went ahead and included a couple of long shots.

Best Musical
9 to 5
Billy Elliott: The Musical*
next to normal
Rock of Ages

Best Play
33 Variations
Dividing the Estate
God of Carnage*
reasons to be pretty

Best Book of a Musical
Lee Hall, Billy Elliott: The Musical*
David Lindsay-Abair, Shrek the Musical
Patricia Resnick, 9 to 5
Brian Yorkey, next to normal

Best Original Score
Elton John, Billy Elliott*
Tom Kitt, Next to Normal
Dolly Parton, 9 to 5
Jeanine Tesori, Shrek the Musical

Best Choreography
Karole Armitage, Hair
Peter Darling, Billy Elliott: The Musical*
Josh Prince, Shrek the Musical
Sergio Trujillo, Guys & Dolls

Best director of a play
Neil Armfield, Exit the King
Phyllida Lloyd, Mary Stuart
Bartlett Sher, Joe Turner?s Come and Gone
Matthew Warchus, The Norman Conquests*

Best Director of a Musical
Stephen Daldry, Billy Elliott: The Musical*
Michael Greif, next to normal
Arthur Laurents, West Side Story
Diane Paulus, Hair

Lead Actor - Play
Raul Esparza, Speed-the-Plow
James Gandolfini, God of Carnage
Bill Irwin, Waiting for Godot
Daniel Radcliffe, Equus
Geoffrey Rush, Exit the King*

Lead Actress ? Play
Jane Fonda, 33 Variations
Marcia Gay Harden, God of Carnage
Carla Gugino, Desire Under the Elms
Janet McTeer, Mary Stuart*
Kristin Scott Thomas, The Seagull

Featured Actor ? Play
John Goodman, Waiting for Godot
Stephen Mangan, The Norman Conquests
Ben Miles, The Norman Conquests
Paul Ritter, The Norman Conquests
Roger Robinson, Joe Turner?s Come and Gone*

Featured Actress ? Play
Amelia Bullmore, The Norman Conquests
Jessica Hynes, The Norman Conquests
Angela Lansbury, Blithe Spirit
Andrea Martin, Exit the King
Amanda Root, The Norman Conquests*

Lead Actor ? Musical
David Alvarez, Trent Kowalik, Kiril Kulish; Billy Elliott: The Musical*
Matt Cavenaugh, West Side Story
Gavin Creel, Hair
Brian d?Arcy James, Shrek the Musical
J. Robert Spencer, next to normal

Lead Actress ? Musical
Stephanie J. Block, 9 to 5
Stockard Channing, Pal Joey
Sutton Foster, Shrek the Musical
Alice Ripley, next to normal*
Allison Janney, 9 to 5

Featured Actress ? Musical
Heidi Blickenstaff, [title of show]
Jennifer Damiano, next to normal
Haydn Gwynne, Billy Elliott: The Musical*
Karen Olivo, West Side Story
Martha Plimpton, Pal Joey

Featured Actor ? Musical
Gregory Jbara, Billy Elliott: The Musical
Marc Kudisch, 9 to 5
Christopher Sieber, Shrek the Musical
Will Swenson, Hair*
Aaron Tveit, next to normal

Revival of a Play
Joe Turner?s Come and Gone
Mary Stuart
The Norman Conquests*
Waiting for Godot

Revival of a Musical
Hair*
Guys & Dolls
Pal Joey
West Side Story

Special Theatrical Event
Liza?s at the Palace*
Slava?s Snowshow
You?re Welcome America: A Night With George W. Bush

Orchestrations
Bruce Coughlin, 9 to 5
Martin Koch, Billy Elliott: The Musical*
Michael Starobin, next to normal
Ethan Popp, Rock of Ages

Scenic Design/Musical
Tim Hatley, Shrek the Musical
Ian MacNeil, Billy Elliott: The Musical*
Scott Pask, Hair
Mark Wendland, next to normal

Scenic Design/Play
Dale Ferguson, Exit the King
Rob Howell, The Norman Conquests*
Santo Loquasto, Waiting for Godot
Mark Thompson, God of Carnage

Lighting/Musical
Kevin Adams, Hair
Kevin Adams, next to normal
Rick Fisher, Billy Elliott*
Howell Binkley, West Side Story

Lighting/Play
Damien Cooper, Exit the King
David Howe, The Norman Conquests*
Brian MacDevitt, Joe Turner?s Come and Gone
Hugh Vanstone, Mary Stuart

Costumes/Musical
Nicky Gillibrand, Billy Elliott
Tim Hatley, Shrek*
Michael McDonald, Hair
David C. Woolard, West Side Story

Costumes/Play
Dale Ferguson, Exit the King
Jane Greenwood, Waiting for Godot
Mark Thompson, God of Carnage
Anthony Ward, Mary Stuart*

Sound Design/Musical
Acme Sound Partners, Hair
Paul Arditti, Billy Elliott: The Musical*
Dan Moses Schreir, West Side Story
Brian Ronan, next to normal

Sound Design/Play
Simon Baker, The Norman Conquests
Simon Baker and Chris Cronin, God of Carnage*
Russell Goldsmith, Exit the King
Scott Lehrer and Leon Rothenberg, Joe Turner?s Come and Gone

I couldn't even fathom a guess for the bonus categories.

James Barbour WILL NOT be nominated for Best Actor. Not only do people still remember his horrible crimes, but his show was ripped apart by critics and closed half a year ago. And he didn't get spectacular raves either.

---

That still hasn't been explained...

I thought I remembered a few years ago where only 3 of 4 revivals got nominated and there was a huge uproar about the fourth not getting the nod, even though the slot was there?

As far as I'm concerned for the category, if there are not enough productions to fill the category, then all eligible productions must be nominated.

As an alternative, if there are not enough revivals of plays and musicals in one season they could decide to put them all into one category, but that is certainly not the case this year.

---

Yeah. Allie Trimm gets nominated my hiney.

---