I'm going to be very curious to see the reaction of the Fansens on here when the very well-liked Groundhog Day pulls an upset in at least one category. I'm not saying which category it's going to be in -- whether it's Best Book, Best Score, very possibly Best Actor, or EVEN, however unlikely it may seem, Best Musical. But the voters are going to award that show something, and it won't be going home empty-handed.
I think that's true of this season in general - no show will sweep, and I believe they'll want to spread the wealth around in such a bountiful year. At this point I think one scenario that has Ben Platt winning Best Actor, Groundhog Day winning Best Book, Great Comet winning Best Score, and Come From Away Best Musical... is every bit as plausible as another scenario where Dear Evan Hansen wins Best Musical, Come From Away wins Best Book, Great Comet wins Best Score (or at least Orchestrations), and Andy Karl wins Best Actor. Presumably as the nominations are announced and the voting community starts to form some kind of consensus, things will tighten up... but I really do think the fields are that wide-open, and (at this moment) the competition just that fluid, that right now anything could happen. But we'll see.