djoko84 said: "Good job to Kad who predicted the Taylor Mac play and The Wolves. This will not matter for the Tonys. Sweat got mixed to good reviews, which aren't enough for a win. I'm expecting OSLO, A Doll's House 2, and Indecent to get much better reviews. Remember, the Pulitzer is for the written play itself not the production. Sweat is probably #4 behind those three when it comes to probability of a win."
Well... I also thought Oslo would take it.
I do agree this doesn't necessarily translate into a Tony win for Sweat (which, frankly, I think is the weakest of the three Pulitzer shortlisted works, and also one of the weaker of the new Broadway plays). However, there are more politics at play for Best Play than the Pulitzer. Lynn Nottage may be seen as overdue for a Tony, the play may be seen as too prescient and topical not to award, it could be seen as the most commercial option for both touring and licensing, etc. etc.
"...everyone finally shut up, and the audience could enjoy the beginning of the Anatevka Pogram in peace."