Actress Tony Predictions ? *

[bigbelterbaby]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 12:57am

my guess ..

**Best Lead Actress - Musical

01. Stephanie J. Block - The Mystery of Edwin Drood
02. Laura Osnes - Cinderella
03. Lilla Crawford - Annie
04. Matildas - Matilda
05. Patina Miller - Pippin
--
06. Christine Noll - Chaplin
07. Carolee Carmello - Scandalous
08. Charlotte D'amboise - Pippin



**Best Lead Actress - Play

01. Holland Taylor - Ann
02. Bette Midler - I'll Eat You at Last
03. Cicely Tyson - The Trip to Bountiful
04. Scarlett Johansson - Cat on a Hot Tin Roof
05. Laurie Metcalf - The Other Place
-------
06. Amy Morton - Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
07. Sigourney Weaver - Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
08. Jessica Chastain - The Heiress
09. Fiona Shaw - The Testament of Mary
10. Jessica Hecht - Harvey


**Best Featured Actress - Play

01. Kristine Nielsen - Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
02. Judith Ivey - The Heiress
03. Carrie Coon - Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
04. Debra Monk - Cat on a Hot Tin Roof
05. Elizabeth Marvel - Picnic
-----------
06. Vanessa Williams - The Trip to Bountiful
07. Ellen Burstyn - Picnic
08. Mare Winningham - Picnic
09. Condola Rashad - The Trip to Bountiful
10. Judith Light - The Assembled Parties
11. Kate Arrington - Grace
12. Carol Kane - Harvey
13. Cady Huffman - The Nance
14. Maura Tierney - Lucky Guy
15. Zoe Perry - The Other Place
16. Marin Ireland - The Big Knife

**Best Featured Actress - Musical

01. Jessie Mueller - The Mystery of Edwin Drood
02. Betsy Wolfe - The Mystery of Edwin Drood
03. Andrea Martin - Pippin
04. Ryann Redmond - Bring it On
05. Lauren Ward - Matilda
-----------
06. Victoria Clark - Cinderella
07. Chita Rivera - The Mystery of Edwin Drood
08. Annaleigh Ashford - Kinky Boots
09. Katie Finneran - Annie
10. Marla Mindelle - Cinderella
11. Roz Ryan - Scandalous
12. Mary Gordon Murray - Hands on a Hard Body


Your predictions / thoughts ?? anyone missing ?

Updated On: 4/5/13 at 12:57 AM

[CapnHook]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 1:05am

In response to your predictions:

*Best Lead Actress - Musical

01. Stephanie J. Block - The Mystery of Edwin Drood
02. Laura Osnes - Cinderella
03. Lilla Crawford - Annie
04. Matildas - Matilda
05. Patina Miller - Pippin
--
06. Christine Noll - Chaplin
07. Carolee Carmello - Scandalous
08. Katie Finneran - Annie [SHE IS FEATURED]
09. Annaleigh Ashford - Kinky Boots [SHE IS FEATURED]

*Best Lead Actress - Play

01. Holland Taylor - Ann
02. Bette Midler - I'll Eat You at Last
03. Cicely Tyson - The Trip to Bountiful
04. Scarlett Johansson - Cat on a Hot Tin Roof
05. Laurie Metcalf - The Other Place
-------
06. Sigourney Weaver - Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
07. Jessica Chastain - The Heiress
08. Fiona Shaw - The Testament of Mary
09. Jessica Hecht - Harvey
10. Amy Morton - Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf? [YOU HAVE THE WINNER OF THE AWARD IN THE #10 SPOT. WHAT KIND OF PREDICTION IS THAT?]

*Best Featured Actress - Play

01. Kristine Nielsen - Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
02. Judith Ivey - The Heiress
03. Carrie Coon - Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
04. Debra Monk - Cat on a Hot Tin Roof
05. Elizabeth Marvel - Picnic [NO]
-----------
06. Vanessa Williams - The Trip to Bountiful
07. Ellen Burstyn - Picnic
08. Mare Winningham - Picnic
09. Condola Rashad - The Trip to Bountiful
10. Judith Light - The Assembled Parties
11. Kate Arrington - Grace

*Best Featured Actress - Musical

01. Jessie Mueller - The Mystery of Edwin Drood
02. Betsy Wolfe - The Mystery of Edwin Drood
03. Andrea Martin - Pippin
04. Ryann Redmond - Bring it On
05. Lauren Ward - Matilda [NO]
-----------
06. Victoria Clark - Cinderella
07. Chita Rivera - The Mystery of Edwin Drood
08. Marla Mindelle - Cinderella [NO]
09. Mary Gordon Murray - Hands on a Hard Body [NO]

[bwayphreak234]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 1:05am

I would not completely write off Deborah Cox for actress, and I definitely would not exclude Teal Wicks from featured actress. I do agree with your five for best lead actress though. Once again, we have a very strong category!

[bigbelterbaby]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 1:11am

Matilda seems like the kind of show that if the Tony nominators love they will give extra nominations to it like Elizabeth A. Davis for Once last year.

I wasn't sure on some of the category placements. You think Amy Morton is for sure getting nominated ? hmm that's a tough category to call.

The last time Jekyll and Hyde was on Broadway none of the actresses were nominated so we'll see.....

[CapnHook]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 1:13am

The entire cast of WOOLF? will be nominated. Locked.

[henrikegerman]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 1:24am

Taylor, Morton, Metcalf definite

[Leadingplayer]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 4:07am

I don't think Scarjo stands a chance at a nomination.


Also I think Charlotte D'Amboise will be considered for featured.

[JMenstro]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 5:30am

my guess ..

**Best Lead Actress - Musical

01. Stephanie J. Block - The Mystery of Edwin Drood
02. Laura Osnes - Cinderella
03. Lilla Crawford - Annie
04. Matildas - Matilda
05. Patina Miller - Pippin
--
06. Christine Noll - Chaplin
07. Carolee Carmello - Scandalous
08. Charlotte D'amboise - Pippin



**Best Lead Actress - Play

01. Holland Taylor - Ann
02. Amy Morton will be between her and Laurie
03. Cicely Tyson - The Trip to Bountiful
04. Scarlett Johansson - Cat on a Hot Tin Roof has as much chance as me of even being nominated
05. Laurie Metcalf - The Other Place
-------
06. Amy Morton - Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
07. Sigourney Weaver - Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
08. Jessica Chastain - The Heiress
09. Fiona Shaw - The Testament of Mary
10. Jessica Hecht - Harvey


**Best Featured Actress - Play

01. Kristine Nielsen - Vanya and Sonia and Masha and Spike
02. Judith Ivey - The Heiress
03. Carrie Coon - Who's Afraid of Virginia Woolf?
04. Debra Monk - Cat on a Hot Tin Roof no chance
05. Elizabeth Marvel - Picnic


**Best Featured Actress - Musical

01. Jessie Mueller - The Mystery of Edwin Drood
02. Betsy Wolfe - The Mystery of Edwin Drood
03. Andrea Martin - Pippin
04. Charlotte d' Ambroise
05. Lauren Ward - Matilda

[mamaleh]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 8:34am

Two other pretty good bets for Featured Actress-Musical are Keala Settle (if HARDBODY is still running) and Annaleigh Ashford (delightful in KINKY BOOTS).

[jayinchelsea]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 8:40am

Unless the critics don't like it, Fiona Shaw is a lock, as Amy Morton should be for a completely different take on Martha. I would take Scarlett and Cicely off the list (unless Cicely totally dazzles said critics).

Williams and Burstyn should be on the list; Ivey, Monk and Marvel definitely off.

[bigbelterbaby]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 12:41pm

well in the original Pippin, Leland Palmer was nominated in Lead for the Fastrada role ..

and of course Irene Ryan was nominated for Andrea Martin's role...


Elizabeth Marvel is so overdue for a Tony nomination -cries-

Updated On: 4/5/13 at 12:41 PM

[Wynbish]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 12:43pm

Ben Vereen played Patina's part

[lizzieshername]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 1:03pm

Why is no one mentioning Jenn Colella for Chaplin in the featured category? She had the best number in the show and knocked it out of the park!

[neonlightsxo]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 1:32pm

Fiona Shaw is a lock, as is Annaleigh Ashford.

[dreaming]

Posted: 4/5/13 at 1:37pm

I think for actress in a musical these are the locks: Laura Osnes, Patina Miller, the Matildas

Strong chance: Lilla Crawford, Stephanie J. Block

Waiting in the Wings: Carolee Carmello

Featured Actress/Musical: Annaleigh Ashford (I think she has a chance at winning), Lesli Margherita, Lauren Ward, Jessie Mueller and Andrea Martin.

Strong Candidates: Keala Settle

Actress/Play: Cicely Tyson, Laurie Metcalf, Amy Morton, Fiona Shaw and Holland Taylor. (I'd have loved Jessica Chastain to get a nod-I thought she was very good.)

Strong Candidates: Judith Light (depending on placement-she could be in featured), Sigourney Weaver

Featured Actress/Play (assuming Light is in leading, if not, she could end up here): Not much of a clue here-I'd say Kristine Nielsen for sure (I think she's got the award wrapped up), and Judith Light will get a nod if placed here.

[bigbelterbaby]

Posted: 4/7/13 at 12:05pm

bump

[Leadingplayer]

Posted: 4/7/13 at 10:32pm

Is Jessica Hecht a lead or featutred?

[SondheimFan5]

Posted: 4/7/13 at 11:01pm

I remember the time that Aaron Tveit and Daniel Radcliffe were both locks.

Two times each.

[goldenboy]

Posted: 4/7/13 at 11:19pm

It would be great if the Matildas and Lila Crawford were both not nominated. Let the adults who have worked hard all their lives get the awards. Those kids have their whole lives ahead of them. They really need to peak in their profession at 12 or under???What possibly good could a Tony Award do them at their young ages??? Call me an aegist. I don't care.

[bigbelterbaby]

Posted: 4/8/13 at 12:00am

I would be fine with Lilla Crawford but I have an issue with the whole concept of nominating more then one person like they did with Billy Elliot or The Sound of Music. it's just kind of messy.

I know right some of the names being thrown around on this board are wayy wishful thinking. let's remember these things are political just like the Oscars and other awards. locks are very few and it's not just about the best performance.

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

Posted: 4/8/13 at 12:08am

The age of the actors should have no impact on their ability or disability to get a nomination. If they give a worthy performance, they should be nominated. Period.

Lilla was fantastic when I saw her in the otherwise lackluster ANNIE. Bailey was such a joy in MATILDA, and I've heard nothing but positive things about all of the other girls. I don't understand the age argument when it comes to awards, especially the Tonys where there aren't many contenders to begin with, let alone contenders who are worthy of being nominated. It's not like the Oscars where hundreds and hundreds of women are eligible for the award. And who says they have to "peak" at a young age? They are capable of having a long, healthy future in show business just as anyone else is.

[broadwaybabe1234]

Posted: 4/8/13 at 1:47am

I agree with Golden Boy. i would rather see a nomination go to someone like Christiane Noll or Carolee Carmello who were standouts in the poorer shows of the season. Also nominating the Matilda girls is nominating the role, not the performance considering you only have to see one to vote for all of them.

Lilia Crawford is very good in Annie but i don't think her performance matches the caliber of the rest of the female performances this season. Thus i think age should be taken into account.