Any early Tony Predictions?- Page 6

[FutureDirector]

Posted: 2/14/14 at 8:04pm

Category placement has nothing to do with status. Chita Rivera's has had more supporting nominations than leading. It all has to do with where people could win. leading actress in a musical is such a huge category this year that anything other than doing everything they can to squeeze Marin Mazzie into featured would be boneheaded.

As for after midnight, most tony nominators will not consider it a respectable piece as a musical. It is a stunning dance piece however and should be rewarded justly. However, the road producers that are voters aren't nominators and therefor it won't be nominated

These are my predictions for the musical categories. I'm going to hold off on plays because there are so many that still have to open that haven't had sufficient out of town tryouts yet. Though many consider "Glass Menagerie" and "Twelfth Night" already to good to beat.

Musical:
Big Fish (possible spoiler)
Bridges of Madison County
Bullets Over Broadway
If/Then
Rocky

Revival of a Musical:
Cabaret
Violet
Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Les Misarables

Direction of a Musical:
Michael Greif- If/Then
Michael Mayer- Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Bart Sher- Bridges of Madsion County
Susan Stroman- Bullets over Broadway (possible spoiler)
Alex Timbres- Rocky

Choreography:
Warren Carlyle- After Midnight
Steven Hoggett and Kelly Devine- Rocky (possible spoiler)
Casey Nicholaw- Aladdin
Josh Prince- Beautiful
Susan Stroman- Bullets Over Broadway

Actress in a Musical:
Mary Bridget Davis- One Night With Janis Joplin (possible spoiler)
Sutton Foster- Violet
Idina Menzel- If/Then
Jesse Muller- Beautiful
Kelli O’hara- Bridges of Madison County
Michelle Williams- Cabaret

Actor in a Musical:
Zach Braff- Bullets Over Broadway
Norbert Leo Butz- Big Fish
Andy Karl- Rocky
Neil Patrick Harris- Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Jefferson Mays – A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder
Brice Pinkham- A Gentleman’s Guide to Love and Murder (possible spoiler)

Featured Actor in a Musical:
Danny Burstein- Cabaret
Colman Domingo- Violet
James Monroe Iglehart- Aladdin
Anthony Rapp- If/ Then
Bobby Steggart- Big Fish
James Snyder- If/ Then (possible spoiler)

Featured Actress in a Musical:
Kate Baldwin- Big Fish
Lena Hall- Hedwig and the Angry Inch (possible spoiler)
Annika Larson- Beautiful (possible spoiler)
Amber Iman- Soul Doctor (possible spoiler)
LeChanze-If/ Then
Adrienne Lennox- After Midnight
Marin Mazie- Bullets Over Broadway
Margo Seibert- Rocky

Book of a Musical:
Rocky- Thomas Meehan and Sylvester Stillone
Bullets Over Broadway- Woody Allen
If/Then- Brian Yorkey
Big Fish- John August
Beautiful- Douglas McGrath (possible spoiler)

Original Score:
Rocky- Lynn Ahrens and Stephen Flaherty
Bridges of Madison County- Jason Robert Brown
If/Then- Tom Kitt and Brian Yorkey
Big Fish- Andrew Lippa (possible spoiler)
Aladdin- Alan Menken and Howard Ashman


Updated On: 2/14/14 at 08:04 PM

[BobNC]

Posted: 2/15/14 at 11:39am

I haven't read so many raves for a performance in ANY season as those I've read for Jessie Mueller. She's a shoo in to win Best Actress and I wouldn't be surprised if the word of mouth building up around the whole show "Beautiful: The Carole King Musical" also works to dispel the mixed reception critics gave the show. Everywhere I go, people are raving about it. IT's one of the biggest celeb drawers as well -Tom Hanks & Rita Wilson were there earlier this week.

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 2/15/14 at 11:45am

I'm not sure if Aladdin is going to be eligible for Original Score knowing it'll have songs from the movie, songs that were cut, some brand new ones, it all depends on how much of the score the committee is going to consider 'original'.

I also really don't know if the committee will show that much love for Big Fish knowing it got mixed reviews, and a disappointing run, Great Cast Recording though. The success of Bridges is also questionable at this point, knowing that audiences have ether loved it, or were bored by it, even the box office success is also questionable.

And please keep in mind that whenever a big celebrity stars in musical on Broadway, they normally get snubbed, so we'll have to wait and see about Zach Braff and Michelle Williams.

So in any case, here are my current predictions!

Best Musical:
Bullets Over Broadway
A Gentleman's Guide to Love & Murder
If/Then
Rocky

Possible Spoiler: The Bridges of Madison County

Best Revival of a Musical:
Cabaret
Hedwig & the Angry Inch
Les Miserables
Violet

Best Lead Actor in a Musical:
Norbert Leo Butz-Big Fish
Neil Patrick Harris-Hedwig & the Angry Inch
Ramin Karimloo-Les Miserables
Andy Karl-Rocky
Steven Pasquale-The Bridges of Madison County

Possible Spoiler: Jefferson Mays-A Gentleman's Guide to Love & Murder

Best Lead Actress in a Musical:
Sutton Foster-Violet
Idina Menzel-If/Then
Jessie Mueller-Beautiful
Kelli O'Hara-The Bridges of Madison County
Michelle Williams in Cabaret

Possible Spoiler: Mary Bridget Davies-A Night with Janis Joplin

Best Featured Actor in a Musical:
Danny Burstein-Cabaret
Colin Donnell-Violet
James Monroe Iglehart-Aladdin
Vincent Pastore-Bullets Over Broadway
Anthony Rapp-If/Then

Possible Spoiler: James Snyder-If/Then

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:
Nikki M. James-Les Miserables
LaChanze-If/Then
Adriane Lenox-After Midnight
Caissie Levy-Les Miserables
Marin Mazzie-Bullets Over Broadway

Possible Spoiler: Anika Larsen-Beautiful

Best Director of a Musical:
Laurence Connor & James Powell-Les Miserables
Michael Greif-If/Then
Michael Mayer-Hedwig & the Angry Inch
Alex Timbers-Rocky

Possible Spoiler: Susan Stroman-Bullets Over Broadway

Best Original Score:
The Bridges of Madison County-Music & Lyrics By Jason Robert Brown
A Gentleman's Guide to Love & Murder-Music By Steven Lutvak, Lyrics By Robert L. Freedman & Steven Lutvak
If/Then-Music By Tom Kitt, Lyrics By Brian Yorky
Rocky-Music By Stephen Flaherty, Lyrics By Lynn Ahrens

Possible Spoiler: Big Fish-Music & Lyrics By Andrew Lippa

Best Book of a Musical:
Bullets Over Broadway-Woody Allen
A Gentleman's Guide to Love & Murder-Robert L. Freedman
If/Then-Brian Yorky
Rocky-Thomas Meehan & Slyvester Stallone

Possible Spoiler: Beautiful-Douglas McGrath

Best Choreography:
Warren Carlyle-After Midnight
Kelly Devine & Steven Hoggett-Rocky
Spencer Liff-Hedwig & the Angry Inch
Susan Stroman-Bullets Over Broadway

Possible Spoiler: Casey Nicholaw-Aladdin

[henrikegerman]

Posted: 2/15/14 at 12:00pm

"It all has to do with where people could win. leading actress in a musical is such a huge category this year that anything other than doing everything they can to squeeze Marin Mazzie into featured would be boneheaded."

Only on Broadway can boneheaded sometimes be a synonym for intellectually honest. (I"m still not over the idea of Blair Brown winning a featured tony for Copenhagen, a play with three characters uninterruptedly on stage and in which she was the only woman),

[pinoyidol2006]

Posted: 2/15/14 at 3:05pm

Just a correction: it's Joshua Henry, not Colman Domingo in Violet.

[ARTc3]

Posted: 2/15/14 at 3:21pm

On, After Midnight, being nominated in the Best Musical category... Lets not forget that, Ain't Misbehaving, won a Tony for Best Musical. I am not sure if, After Midnight, will - or won't - be nominated, but I do know that it qualifies.

[ARTc3]

Posted: 2/15/14 at 3:34pm

Let me add, Jerome Robbin's Broadway... another winner.

[TheatreKid3]

Posted: 2/15/14 at 4:27pm

Any material that is present in the ALADDIN musical adaptation that was not present in the film, regardless of when it was written, should and will more than likely be considered new.

No Disney score has ever been denied eligibility and I don't see them starting now.

[Simon Damon]

Posted: 3/25/14 at 6:39am

With Aladdin getting better reviews than Rocky and Bridges does anyone think it will get a tony nomination?

I think its going to be
Bullets, If/Then, After Midnight and Gentleman's

I think Aladdin is going to be the Dark Horse but I love Disney thoughts?

Also I think no one thought it would get any positive reviews at all. and now it has I think the musical will do even better Updated On: 3/25/14 at 06:39 AM

[bwayphreak234]

Posted: 3/25/14 at 6:56am

"With Aladdin getting better reviews than Rocky and Bridges does anyone think it will get a tony nomination?"

I wouldn't say Aladdin got better reviews than Bridges.

[pacificnorthwest]

Posted: 3/25/14 at 9:58am

While I've seen many of the season's musicals, admittedly I've seen few plays. But even so, it's hard to imagine Bryan Cranston not winning for best lead actor in a play. His LBJ was mind-blowing. Hope to see it again next month.

[oasisjeff]

Posted: 3/25/14 at 10:05am

Not overly interested in predicting Tonys, but I do enjoy that the thread started in November with "Not looking great so far. Can anyone make some sense of the season?" and now people are arguing which shows they love can even make the list.

Posted: 3/25/14 at 10:50am

Im so bad at these. I will think it a bit yawn if the big wigs are all nominated. Sutton again? boring. just my HO.

BUT, have seen "bullets" (next weds) can someone clarify is Marin Mazzie is actually featured in this? just out of curiosity.

[theatregeek6]

Posted: 3/25/14 at 1:21pm

So - do you push for Mazzie in featured and potenitally put her up for a loss with Helene Yorke?

[MNC77]

Posted: 4/3/14 at 9:37pm

Since every show besides Cripple has started previews, is anyone ready to start making some more well educated guesses? I personally have a few more to see before I give my input.

[jdrye222]

Posted: 4/3/14 at 10:03pm

I'm waiting til the committee decides all the category placements.

[joe5]

Posted: 4/4/14 at 9:52am

http://www.goldderby.com/awardshows/users/tony-nominations-2014-nominations/musical.html

Damn, Where is the love for Aaddin ;(

[ethan231h]

Posted: 4/6/14 at 9:06pm

Best Musical:
Beautiful: The Carole King Musical
If/Then
The Bridges of Madison County
Aladdin
A Gentleman's Guide to Love and Murder

Best Revival of a Musical:
Cabaret
Hedwig & the Angry Inch
Violet
Les Miserables

Best Lead Actor in a Musical:
Norbert Leo Butz-Big Fish
Neil Patrick Harris-Hedwig & the Angry Inch
Ramin Karimloo-Les Miserables
Andy Karl-Rocky
Colin Donnell

Best Lead Actress in a Musical:
Sutton Foster-Violet
Idina Menzel-If/Then
Jessie Mueller-Beautiful
Kelli O'Hara-The Bridges of Madison County
Michelle Williams- Cabaret

Best Featured Actor in a Musical:
Danny Burstein-Cabaret
James Monroe Iglehart-Aladdin
Vincent Pastore-Bullets Over Broadway
James Snyder-If/Then
Anthony Rapp

Best Featured Actress in a Musical:
LaChanze-If/Then
Lena Hall- Hedwig and the Angry Inch
Anika Larsen- Beautiful
Marin Mazzie-Bullets Over Broadway

Best Director of a Musical:
Laurence Connor & James Powell-Les Miserables
Michael Greif-If/Then
Michael Mayer-Hedwig & the Angry Inch
Alex Timbers-Rocky

Best Original Score:
The Bridges of Madison County
A Gentleman's Guide to Love & Murder
If/Then
Aladdin

Best Book of a Musical:
Bullets Over Broadway-Woody Allen
A Gentleman's Guide to Love & Murder-Robert L. Freedman
If/Then-Brian Yorky
Rocky-Thomas Meehan & Slyvester Stallone

Best Choreography:
Warren Carlyle-After Midnight
Kelly Devine & Steven Hoggett-Rocky
Spencer Liff-Hedwig & the Angry Inch
Susan Stroman-Bullets Over Broadway