Final Tony Nominations Predictions — Page 3

Best Musical
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812

Best Play
A Doll's House, Part 2
Indecent
Oslo
Sweat

Best Revival of a Musical
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Sunset Boulevard

Best Revival of a Play
Jitney
The Little Foxes
Present Laughter
Six Degrees of Separation

Best Leading Actress in a Play
Cate Blanchett, The Present
Jennifer Ehle, Oslo
Allison Janney, Six Degrees of Separation
Laura Linney, The Little Foxes
Laurie Metcalf, A Doll's House, Part 2

Best Leading Actor in a Play
Chris Cooper, A Doll's House, Part 2
Gideon Glick, Significant Other
Corey Hawkins, Six Degrees of Separation
Kevin Kline, Present Laughter
Jefferson Mays, Oslo

Best Leading Actress in a Musical
Denee Benton, Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Christine Ebersole, War Paint
Patti LuPone, War Paint
Bette Midler, Hello, Dolly!
Laura Osnes, Bandstand


Best Leading Actor in a Musical
Christian Borle, Falsettos
David Hyde Pierce, Hello, Dolly!
Josh Groban, Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Andy Karl, Groundhog Day
Ben Platt, Dear Evan Hansen

Best Featured Actress in a Play
Johanna Day, Sweat
Jayne Houdyshell, A Doll's House, Part 2
Katrina Lenk, Indecent
Cynthia Nixon, The Little Foxes
Condola Rashad, A Doll's House, Part 2

Best Featured Actor in a Play
Michael Aronov, Oslo
Anthony Azizi, Oslo
Danny DeVito, The Price
Richard Thomas, The Little Foxes
John Douglas Thompson, Jitney

Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Brittain Ashford, Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Kate Baldwin, Hello, Dolly!
Rachel Bay Jones, Dear Evan Hansen
Stephanie J. Block, Falsettos
Jenn Colella, Come from Away

Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Gavin Creel, Hello Dolly!
Chad Kimball, Come From Away
Andrew Rannells, Falsettos
Lucas Steele, Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Brandon Uranowitz, Falsettos

Best Direction of a Play
Sam Gold, A Doll's House, Part 2
Ruben Santiago-Hudson, Jitney
Bartlett Sher, Oslo
Rebecca Taichman, Indecent
Kate Whoriskey, Sweat

Best Direction of a Musical
Christopher Ashley, Come From Away
Rachel Chavkin, Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Michael Grief, Dear Evan Hansen
Matthew Warchus, Groundhog Day
Jerry Zaks, Hello, Dolly!

Best Score
David Hein and Irene Sankoff, Come From Away
Dave Malloy, Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Tim Minchin, Groundhog Day
Benj Pasek and Justin Paul, Dear Evan Hansen
 
Best Book of a Musical
David Hein and Irene Sankoff, Come From Away
Steven Levenson, Dear Evan Hansen
Dave Malloy, Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Danny Rubin, Groundhog Day

Best Choreography
Andy Blankenbuelher, Bandstand
Peter Darling, Groundhog Day
Kelly Devine, Come From Away
Denis Jones, Holiday Inn
Sam Pinkleton, Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812

Best Orchestrations
David Cullen and Andrew Lloyd-Webber, Sunset Boulevard
August Eriksmoen, Come From Away
Larry Hochman, Hello, Dolly!
Dave Malloy, Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812

Best Scenic Design of a Play 
John Lee Beatty, Sweat
Nigel Hook, The Play That Goes Wrong
Scott Pask, The Little Foxes
Douglas W. Schmidt, The Front Page

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Rob Howell, Groundhog Day
Mimi Lien, Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Santo Loquasto, Hello, Dolly!
David Zinn, Amelie

Best Costume Design of a Play
Jane Greenwood, The Little Foxes
Susan Hilferty, Present Laughter
Emily Rebholz, Indecent
David Zinn, A Doll's House, Part 2

Best Costume Design of a Musical
Linda Cho, Anastasia
Santo Loquasto, Hello, Dolly!
Paloma Young, Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Catherine Zuber, War Paint

Best Lighting Design of a Play
Christopher Akerlind, Indecent
Donald Holder, Osl
Ben Stanton, Six Degrees of Separation
Justin Townsend, The Little Foxes


Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Donald Holder, Anastasia
Natasha Katz, Hello, Dolly!
Bradley King, Natasha, Pierre & The Great Comet of 1812
Japhy Weidman, Dear Evan Hansen

Updated On: 5/1/17 at 06:42 PM

MUSICAL
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Great Comet

I would like to see Bandstand take the 5th slot, and think its very possible that a fifth show gets in

PLAY
A Doll's House, Part Two
Indecent
Oslo
Sweat

Play That Goes Wrong is the potential spoiler, but it seems like these shows have the edge

REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Falsettos
Hello, Dolly!
Sunset Boulevard

I think too many people will pick Sunset over Miss Saigon for a fourth slot

REVIVAL OF A PLAY
Jitney
The Little Foxes
The Price
Six Degrees of Separation

Would like to see Present Laughter get in over The Price. Could really go to either, or The Front Page

ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Christian Borle, Falsettos
John Groban, Natasha, Pierre...
Andy Karl, Groundhog Day
David Hyde Pierce, Hello, Dolly!
Ben Platt, Dear Evan Hansen

Hoping the Tony committee gives a nod towards Corey Cott instead of Josh Groban, who really shouldn't even be in lead in my opinion.

ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Christy Altomare, Anastasia
Denee Benton, Natasha, Pierre...
Christine Ebersole, War Paint
Patti LuPone, War Paint
Bette Midler, Hello, Dolly!

Toss up between Denee, Eva, Christy, Laura and Philippa. I just chose two, but wouldn't be surprised if I'm wrong. If I had my way, the War Paint ladies would be left out and 4 of the above would get in.

FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Nick Cordero, A Bronx Tale
Gavin Creel, Hello, Dolly!
Andrew Rannells, Falsettos
Lucas Steele, Natasha, Pierre...
Brandon Uranowitz, Falsettos

Would love to see Will Roland sneak in, maybe in Uranowitz's slot.

FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Kate Baldwin, Hello, Dolly!
Stephanie J. Block, Falsettos
Jen Colella, Come From Away
Rachel Bay Jones, Dear Evan Hansen
Caroline O'Connor, Anastasia

I think Brittain Ashford and Amber Gray might split the vote enough that neither gets in.

ACTOR IN A PLAY
Gideon Glick, Significant Other
Corey Hawkins, Six Degrees of Separation
Kevin Kline, Present Laughter
Jefferson Mays, Oslo
Mark Ruffalo, The Price

Nothing interesting to say here, least exciting slate of potential nominees in my opinion.

ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Cate Blanchett, The Present
Jennifer Ehle, Oslo
Allison Janney, Six Degrees of Separation
Laura Linney, The Little Foxes
Laurie Metcalf, A Doll's House, Part Two

Hoping Sally Field doesn't slip in, but if she does I'd be ok losing Jennifer Ehle.

FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Michael Aronov, Oslo
Danny DeVito, The Price
Nathan Lane, The Front Page
John Benjamin Hickey, Six Degrees of Separation
John Douglas Thompson, Jitney

Hoping Anthony Azizi gets in here instead of Hickey
 
FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Kate Burton, Present Laughter
Johanna Day, Sweat
Jayne Houdyshell, A Doll's House, Part Two
Katrina Lenk, Indecent
Cynthia Nixon, The Little Foxes

Another category I don't find very interesting

DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL
Christopher Ashley, Come From Away
Rachel Chavkin, Natasha, Pierre...
Michael Greif, Dear Evan Hansen
Matthew Warchus, Groundhog Day
Jerry Zaks, Hello, Dolly!

Darko Tresnjak might push out Warchus for his work on Anastasia, but I'm pulling for Groundhog Day

DIRECTION OF A PLAY
Ruben Santiago-Hudson, Jitney
Bartlett Sher, Oslo
Daniel Sullivan, The Little Foxes
Rebecca Taichmann, Indecent
Kate Whoriskey, Sweat

Leaving out Sam Gold is the pick I'm most worried about being wrong. He seems to be a favorite, and the community loves him, but I wasn't as impressed with his direction as I was with the others here.

CHOREOGRAPHY
Andy Blankenbuhler, Bandstand
Kelly Devine, Come From Away
Denis Jones, Holiday Inn
Sam Pinkleton, Natasha, Pierre...
Peggy Hickey, Anastasia

I'm not super confident in the Anastasia pick here. Could go to Groundhog Day or Bronx Tale

ORIGINAL SCORE
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Natasha, Pierre...

Again I think this comes down to whether the nominators preferred Groundhog Day or Anastasia. I think those two shows will be fighting for a lot of 4th or 5th slots in categories, with Bandstand maybe playing spoiler.

BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Come From Away
Dear Evan Hansen
Groundhog Day
Natasha, Pierre...

Similar to book, but without Bandstand as a potential spoiler. That book was awful.

ORCHESTRATIONS
Dear Evan Hansen
Hello, Dolly!
Natasha, Pierre...
Sunset Boulevard

One of the hardest to predict as always, going with public opinion here

SCENIC DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Anastasia
Groundhog Day
Hello, Dolly!
Natasha, Pierre...

Would love to see Dear Evan Hansen sneak in here because of their amazing projections, but they might be overlooked

LIGHTING DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Anastasia
Dear Evan Hansen
Hello Dolly!
Natasha, Pierre...

Another hard one, many other shows could easily slip in here.

COSTUME DESIGN OF A MUSICAL
Anastasia
Hello, Dolly!
Natasha, Pierre...
War Paint

I feel confident about the nominees here bit much less confident about who will win. Any one of these shows could get it and I wouldn't be upset

SCENIC DESIGN OF A PLAY
The Front Page
The Little Foxes
Oslo
The Play That Goes Wrong

I just hope The Play That Goes Wrong wins this. Such clever stage effects

LIGHTING DESIGN OF A PLAY
The Little Foxes
Significant Other
Indecent
Oslo

Lots of medium level choices in this category. Front Page, Six Degrees, The Encounter, etc... could slip in

COSTUME DESIGN OF A PLAY
Les Liasons Dangereuses
The Little Foxes
The Front Page
Present Laughter

The only thing I think Les Liaisons has any chance at, since the flashiest most period costumes usually get the nomination.

Musical Totals:

12 - Natasha, Pierre & the Great Comet of 1812
10 - Hello, Dolly!
8 - Dear Evan Hansen
7 - Come From Away
6 - Groundhog Day
6 - Anastasia
5 - Falsettos
3 - War Paint
2 - Sunset Boulevard
1 - A Bronx Tale
1 - Bandstand
1 - Holiday Inn
0 - Amelie, Cats, Charlie and the Chocolate Factory, In Transit, Miss Saigon, Paramour

Play Totals:
7 - The Little Foxes
7 - Oslo
4 - Indecent
4 - Six Degrees of Separation
3 - The Front Page
3 - Present Laughter
3 - A Doll's House, Part 2
3 - Sweat
3 - Jitney 
3 - The Price
2 - Significant Other
1 - The Present
1 - The Play That Goes Wrong
1 - Les Liaisons Dangereuses
0 - The Cherry Orchard, The Encounter, The Glass Menagerie, Heisenberg, Oh Hello

 

 

My Final Predictions:

Best Musical:

Dear Evan Hansen

The Great Comet of 1812

Come From Away 

Groundhog Day 

*War Paint*

Best Actress:

Bette Midler- Hello, Dolly!

Christine Ebersole- War Paint

Patti Lupone- War Paint

Eva Noblezada- Miss Saigon

Denee Benton- The Great Comet of 1812

*Christy Altomare, Laura Osnes*

Best Actor: 

Ben Platt- Dear Evan Hansen

Andy Karl- Groundhog Day

David Hyde Pierce- Hello, Dolly!

Christian Borle- Falsettos

Jon Jon Briones- Miss Saigon

*Josh Groban, Corey Cott*

Best Featured Actress:

Rachel Bay Jones- Dear Evan Hansen

Stephanie J Block- Falsettos

Brittain Ashford- The Great Comet

Kate Baldwin- Hello, Dolly!

Jenn Colella- Come From Away

*Amber Gray*

Best Featured Actor:

Gavin Creel- Hello, Dolly!

Lucas Steele- The Great Comet of 1812

Andrew Rannells- Falsettos

Brandon Uranowitz- Falsettos

Nick Cordero- A Bronx Tale

*Michael Park, Rodney Hicks*

Best Revival:

Hello, Dolly!

Falsettos

Miss Saigon

*Sunset Boulevard*

Best Director:

Rachel Chavkin- The Great Comet of 1812

James Lapine- Falsettos

Christopher Ashley- Come From Away

Jerry Zaks- Hello, Dolly!

*Michael Greif, Mathew Warchus*

Best Score:

Dear Evan Hansen

The Great Comet of 1812

Groundhog Day

Come From Away 

*War Paint*

Best Book:

Come From Away

Dear Evan Hansen

Groundhog Day

War Paint

*The Great Comet of 1812*

Set:

The Great Comet of 1812

Groundhog Day

Hello, Dolly!

War Paint

Lighting:

The Great Comet of 1812

Dear Evan Hansen

War Paint

Hello, Dolly!

Costumes:

War Paint

The Great Comet of 1812

Hello, Dolly! 

Sunset Boulevard

Orchestrations:

The Great Comet of 1812

Dear Evan Hansen

Hello, Dolly!

Sunset Boulevard

Choreography:

Bandstand

Holiday Inn

The Great Comet of 1812

Anastasia