Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag- Page 3
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#50
Posted: 10/17/15 at 11:01am
I always see people predicting Arden to win Director while also predicting Hamilton to sweep, and I really just don't see how that's possible. If Hamilton does win the 8-13 awards that everyone seems to be predicting it to, I don't see them passing over Thomas Kail to give it to the director of a long-closed revival. Personally, I'd be happy to see either of them win, but I just can't foresee a situation in which Kail doesn't win.
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#51
Posted: 10/17/15 at 12:11pm
It warms my heart that someone made the Jan Maxwell reference. It was the very first thing I thought of when I saw this thread title.
Re: where it came from, besides the explanation provided above, there was also a rather amusing thread years back whose title was "Does Jan Maxwell already have the Tony in her bag?" which led to some of the funniest responses I've read on this site. I'm sure if you searched you could find it.
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#52
Posted: 10/17/15 at 1:02pm
I am just looking forward to seeing the show on Tony Tuesday, since I'm sure there will be some wins!!
Updated On: 10/17/15 at 01:02 PM
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#53
Posted: 10/17/15 at 1:15pm
Re: Groff and stage time: Andrea Martin in Pippin was onstage in the ensemble for Magic To Do and then the finale, and then for No Time at All. Groff has his three spotlight moments and then is in the ensemble (ish) for Reynolds Pamphlet. I'd say they are pretty equal in stage time and not only was Martin nominated but she won. (Mind you, Groff isn't 65 and doing acrobatics, but the stage time is comparable).
Broadway Legend Joined: 12/4/07
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#54
Posted: 10/17/15 at 1:57pm
I adore Groff in the role, but really don't see him grabbing a Tony over the other very fine performances in his own show. Honestly, Daveed or Oak are doing much more impressive e work, IMO.
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#55
Posted: 10/17/15 at 8:30pm
I doubt Groff will win but I think he has a shot at a nomination. I mean there have been winners in the featured category who have had very small but memorable parts. I agree Diggs is more likely to get the win in this case though. (Or certainly Odom if features, but I hope he's in lead.)
Looks like last year the first eligibility decisions were announced in November. Should we expect the same timing this year?
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#56
Posted: 10/17/15 at 8:58pm
MaddieBB12 said: "Re: Groff and stage time: Andrea Martin in Pippin was onstage in the ensemble for Magic To Do and then the finale, and then for No Time at All. Groff has his three spotlight moments and then is in the ensemble (ish) for Reynolds Pamphlet. I'd say they are pretty equal in stage time and not only was Martin nominated but she won. (Mind you, Groff isn't 65 and doing acrobatics, but the stage time is comparable).
He's also in the ensemble for "Who Lives, Who Dies, Who Tells Your Story". I can't remember if he's in anything else between The Reynolds Pamphlet and Who Lives...
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#57
Posted: 10/18/15 at 12:54pm
I think that it will get nominated for
Best Musical (WIN)
Best Book (WIN)
Best Score (WIN)
Best Leading Actor - Lin Manuel Miranda
Best Leading Actor - Leslie Odom, Jr. (WIN)
Best Leading Actress - Phillipa Soo (WIN)
Best Featured Actor - Daveed Diggs (WIN)
Best Featured Actor - Jonathan Groff
Best Featured Actor - Christopher Jackson
Best Featured Actress - Renée Elise Goldsberry (WIN)
Best Direction (POSSIBLE WIN)
Best Scenic Design (WIN)
Best Costume Design (WIN)
Best Lighting Design (POSSIBLE WIN)
Best Choreography (WIN)
Best Orchestrations (WIN)
It sounds crazy, but I really wouldn't be surprised with these numbers (16 noms, 11-13 wins)
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#58
Posted: 10/18/15 at 1:52pm
Phillipa Soo, if she's in leading, will be competing against Cynthia Errivo, Audra McDonald, Jessie Mueller, Laura Benanti and Lea Salonga, all of whom (most likely) will be in roles which feature their talents well. Not saying she won't get nominated, but I think it's a long shot to predict a win for her, especially this early.
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/24/15
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#59
Posted: 10/18/15 at 2:08pm
I think Phillipa is a lock for a leading actress nomination, but against the competition she'll be facing, I'm not 100% optimistic she can pull a win.
I do think, though, that the show can win lead actor, as well as featured actor and actress.
Updated On: 10/18/15 at 02:08 PM
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#60
Posted: 10/18/15 at 3:56pm
If Leslie Odom, Jr. ends up being eligible as a Leading Actor, what could this mean for Danny Burstein, who some people are hoping he'll finally win this year?
http://www.broadway.com/buzz/182440/video-watch-as-danny-burstein-more-fiddler-on-the-roof-stars-take-on-four-classic-numbers/
@JBroadway, Let's also not forget about Ana Villafane in On Your Feet! I think Lea Salonga may be eligible as a Featured Actress as opposed to Lead.
Updated On: 10/18/15 at 03:56 PM
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/24/15
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#61
Posted: 10/18/15 at 3:59pm
That's a great question, Jeffrey. My prediction is that Odom will be considered for leading, and Burstein v. Odom will be the biggie for this year's ceremony. Perhaps the answer will become more apparent once Fiddler eventually opens, though.
These kinds of speculative conversations will be so much more concrete once the Tony committee members can have their eligibility decision meetings!
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#62
Posted: 10/18/15 at 5:50pm
If Burstein is nominated (I really don't see how he won't be), it'll be his 6th nomination with 0 wins so far, which is the exact same position Kelli O'Hara was in last year. I could easily see voters rewarding him a) for what's sure to be a great performance, and b) to make up for the previous losses. In that case, I kind of hope they push Odom for featured actor just to give him a better chance.
He even has the same director that O'Hara had!
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#63
Posted: 10/18/15 at 9:08pm
All of them
ALL of them
ALL OF them
ALL OF THEM
even best play
Broadway Legend Joined: 4/7/04
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#64
Posted: 10/18/15 at 11:01pm
I predict that HAMILTON will get NO Tonys and Jan Maxwell will get ALL of them.
http://www.roches.com/television/ss83kod.html
**********
"If any relationship involves a flow chart, get out of it...FAST!"
~ Best12Bars
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#65
Posted: 10/18/15 at 11:09pm
I predict that HAMILTON will get NO Tonys and Jan Maxwell will get ALL of them.
Her acceptance speech will include the line, "Bag, I amaze and astonish."
Broadway Star Joined: 5/6/11
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#66
Posted: 10/19/15 at 12:36pm
Am addicted to the OBCR but won't be seeing the show itself until June 2016 (which seems a hell of long way off) so I have a question......does the double role Jasmine Cephas Jones plays make significantly less impact in the theatre than the Eliza of Soo and Angelica of Goldsberry? I ask as she doesn't really come up in the possible Tony noms discussions. She sounds fabulous on the recording, but then again they all do.
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#67
Posted: 10/19/15 at 12:41pm
ajh said: "does the double role Jasmine Cephas Jones plays make significantly less impact in the theatre than the Eliza of Soo and Angelica of Goldsberry? "
Yes, Jones' role is significantly smaller. Peggy only appears in one number, as does Maria Reynolds. Correct me if I'm wrong (haven't seen the show since April - at the Public) but isn't Jones also in the ensemble when she's not playing those 2 roles? It would only make sense that she would be, given that her roles are so small. Seems to me more like a featured ensemble track (a la the Doctor or Michael in Matilda)
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#68
Posted: 10/19/15 at 12:41pm
Her role as Peggy is very small and she really just has the one song as Maria. It is a much smaller role than the others. I think she's fantastic but the size of the role doesn't give her the opportunity to make the impact of Soo and Goldsberry. And it's not like Groff where even though it's a small role it's a real focal point.
I doubt we'll see a nomination for her in light of the talent coming in this season but I also expect she has a very bright future.
Updated On: 10/19/15 at 12:41 PM
Broadway Star Joined: 5/6/11
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#69
Posted: 10/19/15 at 2:21pm
Thanks for clarifying, guys. I love her voice.
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#70
Posted: 10/19/15 at 3:11pm
6-9 TONY Awards
At this point, most likely Winning:
-MUSICAL
-Score
-Book
-Direction
-Choreography
-Orchestrations
Strong chance of Winning:
-Lighting
-2 Acting
I predict it will receive 12-14 Nominations
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#71
Posted: 10/19/15 at 3:23pm
Robbie2, do you not see it winning best musical?
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#72
Posted: 10/19/15 at 4:37pm
As much as I love this show, I still think direction and choreography will go to spring awakening. Yes spring awakening will be long by tony nominations and the awards it's self, but isn't that what live theatre is, the nominatiors and voters should always have it in their memory.
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#73
Posted: 10/19/15 at 4:42pm
Honest question about Hamilton. When The Producers opened on Broadway, everyone hailed it as a major hit. But as time went on, it became more apparent that the success it had from the starting gate did have to do with the show, but even more about the quality of Matthew Broderick and Nathan Lane's performances, along with Brad Oscar, Cady Huffman, Gary Beach and Roger Bart. Simply put, they made that show what it was. As new cast members replaced each other in the show, it was nearly impossible for them to match the original actor's performances. Does anyone think this could happen here? I haven't seen the show, have tickets for July, but it seems from all I've heard that Hamilton is more of an ensemble piece, unlike the Producers, which was definitely a more lead driven show with Lane and Broderick.
Broadway Legend Joined: 7/24/15
Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag#74
Posted: 10/19/15 at 4:44pm
JerseyBoy25 said: "but it seems from all I've heard that Hamilton is more of an ensemble piece, unlike the Producers, which was definitely a more lead driven show with Lane and Broderick."
Exactly.
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