Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:21pm
There is no doubt that next years Tony for best musical will be a one horse race and I don't need to tell you what show that is.
But how many Tonys do you think it will bag in the end? Is it possible for this to beat The Producers record haul of 12 a few years back? Or is not possible?
Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:24pm
Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:24pm
Hamilton will win all of the Tonys. Even best revival and others it's not nominated for.
Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:28pm
I don't think it'll win that many. In my mind, set design, costumes, book, lead actor, and lead actress all have very fair shots at going to other shows even this early in the season. Everything else could conceivably go to HAMILTON if it maintains its momentum through the end of the season.
Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:28pm
We should also point out that Hamilton won't be competing at next year's Outer Critics Circle nor Drama Desk Awards since it already competed at both this year.
I think what should be interesting to see is if any upcoming show could possibly give Hamilton a run for its money.
Updated On: 10/15/15 at 03:28 PM
Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:42pm
I think it is likely to win quite a few. I actually think the supporting categories might go elsewhere due to the 2-3 Hamilton actors likely to be nominated splitting the votes.
Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:43pm
Jeffrey Karasarides said: "We should also point out that Hamilton won't be competing at next year's Outer Critics Circle nor Drama Desk Awards since it already competed at both this year.
Yes, that's why this thread is specifically discussing the Tony awards.
Clearly it's going to win musical and direction.
Other than that I don't think anything is a foregone conclusion.
Updated On: 10/15/15 at 03:43 PM
Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:53pm
525,600 Tonys
Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:54pm
Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:56pm
Ha!
Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:59pm
Realistically speaking, I think it will definitely win:
Best Musical
Best Score
Best Book
Best Direction
Best Choreography
It could also very well win:
Orchestrations
Scenic
Lights
Costumes
The acting awards are a tougher call, but I think Odom Jr. will be a likely winner regardless of his category (not a sure winner, but likely). If he gets put in leading, I think Diggs has a decent chance at featured. I also think Goldsberry has a good shot at Featured, but it'll still be competitive. As much as I like Phillipa Soo, I think she has almost 0% of winning against that tough competition.
So I'd say it will win 5 minimum, 13 maximum, and probably somewhere between 8-10, mostly depending on acting and design categories.
Updated On: 10/15/15 at 03:59 PM
Posted: 10/15/15 at 4:08pm
tazber said: "Clearly it's going to win musical and direction."
i think direction might go to Michael Arden.
"
Posted: 10/15/15 at 4:10pm
How much tighter is Odom's performance than at the Public that he lost to Borle at the other awards? Borle is the best thing about SR but it's not even in the same league... so why do you think he lost?
Posted: 10/15/15 at 4:13pm
Best Musical
Best Book
best Score
Best Lighting
Best Featured Actor (Odom Jr.)
Best Featured Actress (Renee)
Best Orchestrations
Posted: 10/15/15 at 4:21pm
Posted: 10/15/15 at 4:40pm
I think Hamilton will sweep book, score, musical, direction (I think Arden deserves it, but it will be closed: Out of sight, out of mind), choreography, lighting, set, costume, orchestrations, and actor (Leslie Odom, Jr.-he belongs in leading and I think he's going to win. IMO, he's giving the best performance there.)
There are two other awards it COULD get I think, but the categories might be tougher:
Featured Actor: Daveed Diggs
Featured Actress: Renee Elise Goldsberry
The thing with featured actress is that there will be ladies from The Color Purple in there (Jennifer Hudson is probably big competition). There will also be Jane Krakowski from She Loves Me. That category is by no means a cake walk for Goldsberry (who won't be eligible for any pre-Tony awards this season).
Featured Actor has George Takei plus there could be other Hamilton nominees there.
I suspect Odom will take it and think Diggs and Goldsberry are in the running.
Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:38pm
"But how many Tonys do you think it will bag in the end?"
As many as they can manage to give it.
"Is it possible for this to beat The Producers record haul of 12 a few years back? Or is not possible?"
It's possible, all right. After all, it's acknowledged as the greatest musical EVER. And the greatest musical EVER should surely win the greatest number of Tony Awards ever, right?
Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:39pm
Thoughts on Jonathan Groff getting a featured actor nod?
Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:41pm
Kad said: "Clyde, that's absurd.
It'll probably just get 96,000."
Rent REFERENCE ?
Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:42pm
After Eight said: "It's possible, all right. After all, it's acknowledged as the greatest musical EVER. And the greatest musical EVER should surely win the greatest number of Tony Awards ever, right?"
I'm glad to see you finally came around!
Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:43pm
BroadwayConcierge said: "Thoughts on Jonathan Groff getting a featured actor nod?"
Over Daveed or Leslie? Eh...
Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:43pm
Jabere said: "Rent REFERENCE ?"
You're half right.
Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:44pm
BroadwayConcierge said: "Thoughts on Jonathan Groff getting a featured actor nod?
Mr Groff has two main songs . He is very good if not amazing in those songs. And could get nominated . But how big the role is will determine this partly.
Posted: 10/15/15 at 6:38pm
It's gonna sweep so hard it'll take Best Revival of a Play and Best Regional Theatre along with it and blindside everyone.
