Hamilton - How Many Tonys Will It Bag

[Phantom of London]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:21pm

There is no doubt that next years Tony for best musical will be a one horse race and I don't need to tell you what show that is.

But how many Tonys do you think it will bag in the end? Is it possible for this to beat The Producers record haul of 12 a few years back? Or is not possible?

 

[Kad]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:24pm

Right now, I would say its weakest points are in the performance categories, where there are too many current unknowns to properly assess its odds.

[CATSNYrevival]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:24pm

Hamilton will win all of the Tonys. Even best revival and others it's not nominated for.

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:28pm

I don't think it'll win that many. In my mind, set design, costumes, book, lead actor, and lead actress all have very fair shots at going to other shows even this early in the season. Everything else could conceivably go to HAMILTON if it maintains its momentum through the end of the season. 

[Jeffrey Karasarides]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:28pm

We should also point out that Hamilton won't be competing at next year's Outer Critics Circle nor Drama Desk Awards since it already competed at both this year.

 

I think what should be interesting to see is if any upcoming show could possibly give Hamilton a run for its money.

Updated On: 10/15/15 at 03:28 PM

[ChildofEarth]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:42pm

I think it is likely to win quite a few. I actually think the supporting categories might go elsewhere due to the 2-3 Hamilton actors likely to be nominated splitting the votes.

[tazber]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:43pm

Jeffrey Karasarides said: "We should also point out that Hamilton won't be competing at next year's Outer Critics Circle nor Drama Desk Awards since it already competed at both this year.

 

 Yes, that's why this thread is specifically discussing the Tony awards.

 

Clearly it's going to win musical and direction.

 

Other than that I don't think anything is a foregone conclusion.

 

 

 

 

 

 

Updated On: 10/15/15 at 03:43 PM

[lightguy06222]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:49pm

78!

[ClydeBarrow]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:53pm

525,600 Tonys

[Kad]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:54pm

Clyde, that's absurd.

It'll probably just get 96,000.

[tazber]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:56pm

Ha!

[JBroadway]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 3:59pm

Realistically speaking, I think it will definitely win:

 

Best Musical

Best Score

Best Book

Best Direction

Best Choreography

 

It could also very well win:

Orchestrations

Scenic

Lights

Costumes

 

The acting awards are a tougher call, but I think Odom Jr. will be a likely winner regardless of his category (not a sure winner, but likely). If he gets put in leading, I think Diggs has a decent chance at featured. I also think Goldsberry has a good shot at Featured, but it'll still be competitive. As much as I like Phillipa Soo, I think she has almost 0% of winning against that tough competition. 

 

So I'd say it will win 5 minimum, 13 maximum, and probably somewhere between 8-10, mostly depending on acting and design categories. 

Updated On: 10/15/15 at 03:59 PM

[Call_me_jorge]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 4:08pm

tazber said: "Clearly it's going to win musical and direction."

i think direction might go to Michael Arden.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

"

 

[Hellob]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 4:10pm

How much tighter is Odom's performance than at the Public that he lost to Borle at the other awards? Borle is the best thing about SR but it's not even in the same league... so why do you think he lost? 

[disneybroadwayfan22]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 4:13pm

Best Musical

Best Book

best Score

Best Lighting

Best Featured Actor (Odom Jr.)

Best Featured Actress (Renee)

Best Orchestrations

[Kad]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 4:21pm

Re: Arden

Spring Awakening will be long closed by Tony time. The Tonys are very much an out of sight, out of mind awards body.

[Falling]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 4:40pm

I think Hamilton will sweep book, score, musical, direction (I think Arden deserves it, but it will be closed: Out of sight, out of mind), choreography, lighting, set, costume, orchestrations, and actor (Leslie Odom, Jr.-he belongs in leading and I think he's going to win. IMO, he's giving the best performance there.)

There are two other awards it COULD get I think, but the categories might be tougher:

Featured Actor: Daveed Diggs

Featured Actress: Renee Elise Goldsberry

The thing with featured actress is that there will be ladies from The Color Purple in there (Jennifer Hudson is probably big competition). There will also be Jane Krakowski from She Loves Me. That category is by no means a cake walk for Goldsberry (who won't be eligible for any pre-Tony awards this season).

Featured Actor has George Takei plus there could be other Hamilton nominees there.

I suspect Odom will take it and think Diggs and Goldsberry are in the running.

[After Eight]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:38pm

"But how many Tonys do you think it will bag in the end?"

As many as they can manage to give it.

"Is it possible for this to beat The Producers record haul of 12 a few years back? Or is not possible?"

It's possible, all right. After all, it's acknowledged as the greatest musical EVER. And the greatest musical EVER should surely win the greatest number of Tony Awards ever, right?

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:39pm

Thoughts on Jonathan Groff getting a featured actor nod?

[Jabere]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:41pm

Kad said: "Clyde, that's absurd.

It'll probably just get 96,000."

Rent REFERENCE ?

[haterobics]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:42pm

After Eight said: "It's possible, all right. After all, it's acknowledged as the greatest musical EVER. And the greatest musical EVER should surely win the greatest number of Tony Awards ever, right?"

 

I'm glad to see you finally came around!

[haterobics]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:43pm

BroadwayConcierge said: "Thoughts on Jonathan Groff getting a featured actor nod?"

 

Over Daveed or Leslie? Eh...

[haterobics]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:43pm

Jabere said: "Rent REFERENCE ?"

 

You're half right.

[Jabere]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 5:44pm

BroadwayConcierge said: "Thoughts on Jonathan Groff getting a featured actor nod?

Mr Groff has two main songs . He is very good if not amazing in those songs. And could get nominated . But how big the role is will determine this partly.

 

[MrSweetNAwful]

Posted: 10/15/15 at 6:38pm

It's gonna sweep so hard it'll take Best Revival of a Play and Best Regional Theatre along with it and blindside everyone.