I never thought Raul was a "lock" for the win last year. I saw it as a tough competition between he and Hyde Pierce, with Hyde Pierce squeaking out the win.
And had I voted, I would have cast my vote for Hyde Pierce.
And back to the topic at hand, I'd cast my vote for LuPone.
Laughter is much more important than applause. Applause is almost a duty. Laughter is a reward.
Carol Channing