It's really hard to tell this soon...so much comes with time and staying power.
I think Boots holds the biggest risk, and will be the first of your list to close. Pippin will be next, but should have a healthy run (Reidel claims it already is close to a 5Mil advance) and more than recoup.
Both Motown and Matilda are destined to be finacial runaways. Doesn't mean they are actually great, just popular. (I'm not giving a critique, just putting that out there.)
If we're not having fun, then why are we doing it?
These are DISCUSSION boards, not mutual admiration boards. Discussion only occurs when we are willing to hear what others are thinking, regardless of whether it is alignment to our own thoughts.