Riedel on the Tony Nominations

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 3:43am

He says that according to members of the committee, sure nods will go to...

BEST MUSICAL
Curtains
Grey Gardens
LoveMusik
Spring Awakening

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
The Apple Tree
A Chorus Line
Company
110 in the Shade

BEST PLAY
The Coast of Utopia
Frost/Nixon
Radio Golf
The Little Dog Laughed

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY
Frank Langella
Christopher Plummer
Liev Schreiber
Bill Nighy
Boyd Gaines

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
Translations
Journey's End
Inherit the Wind
Talk Radio

BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
David Grindley, Journey's End
Garry Hynes, Translations

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Stark Sands, Journey's End
Nick Berg Barnes, Journey's End
Chandler Williams, Translations (possible)
Niall Buggy, Translations (possible)

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Susan Lynch, Translations (possible)

BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Eve Best
Vanessa Redgrave
Julie White
Angela Lansbury
Marian Seldes

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Christine Ebersole
Donna Murphy
Audra McDonald
Kristin Chenoweth
Debra Monk




Riedel - Tony Nods Odds

[bjh2114]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 4:15am

His predictions are pretty accurate in my opinion. The only ones I am not 100% sold on are leading actor, where I feel Brian F. O'Byrne will get a nod, and revival of a play, where I feel as though some of the nominators might have liked Heartbreak House more than Translations.

[ray-andallthatjazz86]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 4:30am

Guess he didn't get any info on the Best Leading Actor in a Musical category.
I liked this column, especially the matzo balls joke.

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 4:32am

There's not much room in the leading actor/musical category.

I understood it to look like this:

Raul Esparza
David Hyde Pierce
Gavin Lee
Martin Short
Michael Cerveris


BJH: I don't think O'Byne will get nominated. He's great, but he's reached his saturation point. Time to sit this one out.

And I firmly believe that TRANSLATIONS will get the nod over HEARTBURN HOUSE.

[ray-andallthatjazz86]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 4:46am

I actually wish he had tackled the featured acting nominations for musicals a bit more, those are a bit more complicated as usual, I think.
Munk, your leading actor list looks like the definite one but I still don't think Short is a shoo-in.

Posted: 5/11/07 at 5:16am

I'd be curious to read thoughts about best score too and book for a musical

[bjh2114]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 5:18am

Munk I also agree with the leading actor list, and I agree with Short. The questionable one I think is Gavin Lee. Sure he was great, but will he be remembered as leading? I wonder if someone like Jonathan Groff, Hadley Fraser, or Brian Darcy James will take his spot.

As for my two thoughts above, I just mean I am not 100% sold. I don't think it will necessarily turn out the way I predicted, but I am just saying I won't be surprised if it happens.

[mabel]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 7:50am

I feel like Riedel's predictions for Featured Actor in a Play look the most out to lunch. Nick Berg Barnes for Journey's End?? I know it's still kind of early in the morning, but I don't even remember who he played! And two actors for the long closed Translations? No Billy Crudup? No Anthony Chisholm? Even though I didn't care for him all that much, no Steven Kunkin for Frost/Nixon?

[Dirty_Rotten_Guy]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 8:13am

his predictions do sound pretty accurate, but im not really sure how credible he is if he said he's "spoken to several nominators - usually in various parking garages around Manhattan in the dead of night". haha, oh dear

but anyways, im really curious about the LOVEMUSIK and LEGALLY BLONDE bit. im pulling for LEGALLY BLONDE just so ill be able to say i saw all 4 best musical nominees before they were...nominated, haha (thats never happened to me before). yeah, i cant wait for Tuesday

[TechEverlasting]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 8:18am

I'm sure Riedel has spoken with plenty of people on the nominating committee. It would be interesting to do a study to determine who is better equipped psychologically to keep secrets - a group of eleven-year-old girls or a group of theater professionals. (I think the 11 year old girls would win.)

It's been said frequently that if Legally Blonde got nominated it would probably win the Best Musical Tony, but it will have a difficult time being nominated. Riedel's column seems to confirm that.

[Wanna Be A Foster]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 8:21am

I agree on Nick Berg Barnes, mabel. I'm a huge JOURNEY'S END fan, and I have no idea who this man played. Stark Sands? Yes. John Ahlin? Yes. Nick Berg Barnes? Who?

I find it hard to believe that the mixed-negative reviewed INHERIT THE WIND, or TALK RADIO -- which has only one thing going for it: Liev Schreiber -- would take the Revival slot of the critically lauded HEARTBREAK HOUSE, which was theatre at its finest.

[Yankeefan007]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 8:27am

Say whatever you want about Riedel...he may be nasty, he may be a prick, but he knows what he's talking about.

[Wanna Be A Foster]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 8:34am

Riedel also said in his predictions last season that Edward Hibbert was a sure thing for THE DROWSY CHAPERONE; and earlier this season he said that Michael Arden and Thom Sesma were sure things for THE TIMES THEY ARE A-CHANGIN'.

[Yankeefan007]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 8:38am

Wow, I was just thinking that, as well!....I should edit my statement to say "He knows what he's talking about....when he's told things."

[theplaysthething]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 8:40am

God I hope Riedel is wrong on this. TRANSLATIONS picking up two supporting actors? WHAT? and you are totally right about Journey's End and Nick Berg Barnes. Who the heck did he play? Is the Tony committee that lost that they would rob Billy Crudup, Anthony Chisolm, Stephen Kunken (who I loved), their well deserved nods to shower the snoozefest, long dead revival of Translations with two nods. Please Tony committee...if you have some extra spots to spare after these three...how about Stark Sands (who actually deserves a nod) and then John Earl Jelks.

[Smaxie]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 8:44am

And I hope he's right. Translations stands right alongside Journey's End as one of the best reviewed plays of the season. Niall Buggy and Susan Lynch were eminently worthy of nomination, and if Chandler Williams was also nominated, I wouldn't complain.

[Testing1232]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 8:57am

Disagree with him about "Coram Boy" not getting a nod- Obviously, he knows better than I do, but will the comm
really nominate TWO shows that are closed? ("Utopia" and "LDL")

Granted, the reviews were mainly negative for "Coram", but I still think it gets the nod over "LDL" - JMHO

[OtherDaryl]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 9:21am

9 Tonys already amongst the projected Actress in a Musical nominees - that's pretty amazing!

[folkyboy]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 10:09am

haha that article is hilariously scathing. i'm all over it :)

and i hope they give the 4th slot to LoveMusik so Blonde can't try and buy their way into a win. please please PLEASE don't make us pink our way through an awards ceremony

Posted: 5/11/07 at 10:15am

I think it's hysterical that the Tony Nominators actually think about things like "We better not nomininate Legally Blonde or it might win!"

Think about how ridiculous that is!

[Wanna Be A Foster]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 10:19am

Just as ridiculous as a whole chunk of Tony voters not voting for which musical they feel deserves the title of "Best" Musical, and instead voting for the show that will make them the most money on the road.

[neddyfrank2]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 10:55am

The nominators meet Monday at 4:30 p.m. at the Edison Café on West 47th Street.

Do they close the cafe or could anybody go to watch?

[Wanna Be A Foster]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 11:08am

"The nominators meet Monday at 4:30 p.m. at the Edison Café on West 47th Street.

The doors will be locked; the windows covered with brown paper."

[uncageg]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 11:52am

I have an odd feeling that "Legally Blonde" will be nominated but won't win. The nomination will get them a performance on the show and people will see it. So if and when it tours, people will know about it and won't care what it did or didn't win. People already know the movie. Just my thoughts.

[massofmen]

Posted: 5/11/07 at 12:56pm

his predictions are pretty perfect in my mind. And i don't think that LB will get the nomination. Mary Poppins will beat them out.