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The Expert's Tony Predictions...

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#1

The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/15/08 at 6:09pm

Not all of them predict every category.

http://goldderby.latimes.com/awards_goldderby/2008/05/tony-awards-pre.html

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Patti LuPone, "Gypsy" - Denton, Gardner, Lipton, O'Neil, Riedel, Sheward, Winer

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Laura Benanti, "Gypsy" - Gardner, Lipton, Winer
Andrea Martin, "Young Frankenstein" - Sheward

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Daniel Breaker, "Passing Strange" - O'Neil
Boyd Gaines, "Gypsy" - Gardner, Lipton, Sheward, Winer

I hope Boyd can take it! And I don't know what Sheward is thinking for Featured Actress.
#2

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/15/08 at 6:22pm

I wouldn't count Martin or Fitzgerald out...at this point, I think Fitzgerald has the better chance of winning.

Also, Best Book for IN THE HEIGHTS? Huh? I loved the show but the book was obviously it's weakest aspect as most critics pointed out.
#4

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/15/08 at 7:45pm

Well, hopefully that won't happen as LuPone, Benanti, Gaines and Szot are all deserving in their respective categories.
#6

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/15/08 at 8:12pm

Umm...all three DID get nominated.
"I love talking about nothing. It is the only thing I know anything about." - Oscar Wilde
#8

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/15/08 at 8:15pm

They absolutely should.

Why would they not win if they're delivering the best performances? I don't get that logic.
"I love talking about nothing. It is the only thing I know anything about." - Oscar Wilde
#9

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/15/08 at 8:38pm

Well Patti and Laura are brilliant but Gaines doesn't deserve a Tony in my opinion, and I really don't thin they would give all three of then the award. They probably want to spread them out more. Laura may get it but Patti definitely has it.
#10

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/15/08 at 9:44pm

It's all to do with respective categories though. Patti is turning out, arguably, the best (certainly the most lauded) performance of the three, but her competition is the feircest of the categories. Boyd may not be giving the greatest performance of his career, but he's not fighting anyone really fantastic.

I would not be suprised if all three got Tonys, and I doubt Gypsy will win anything else.
Theatre is a safe place to do the unsafe things that need to be done. -John Patrick Shanley

Updated On: 5/15/08 at 09:44 PM

#12

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/15/08 at 11:52pm

Boyd may not be giving the greatest performance of his career, but he's not fighting anyone really fantastic.

Uh, you make it sound like he has no competition - sorry, not the case. The other nominees ARE fantastic performers.

Listen, I don't take my clothes off for anyone, even if it is "artistic". - JANICE
#14

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/16/08 at 12:16am

-- "I really don't thin they would give all three of then the award."


But why not? If the voters feel that all 3 are the most deserving, shouldn't they give them the awards? And we don't know that they'll get the votes, but I'd be willing to bet that they do. This is some triplet we're talking about here.


-- "They probably want to spread them out more."

But why? If their performances are considered the best by the voters, they are going to get the awards. Spreading the wins out for the sake of spreading them out would be ignorant.

Also, remember that the Turnblad family swept 3 acting categories in 2003. Spreading them out wasn't necessary then and it isn't now.
#15

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/16/08 at 12:37am

The Cabaret revival at Studio 54 also won three acting Tonys.

The original South Pacific won all four acting Tonys in Musicals.
#16

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/16/08 at 1:10am

Andrea Martin as Featured???? Maybe Olga and Loretta could win over Benanti, but Martin? Don't think so.
"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"
#17

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/16/08 at 1:29am

I think if anyone is going to beat Benanti, it's going to be Merediz, and to a lesser degree, Sayre.

Merediz has been replacing for years, and she finally has the chance to create a role, and she delivers.

Benanti's just starting out her career, and she's really your cookie cutter white ingenue. She will have plenty of opportunities to win a Tony. She can really be cast in any role. Merediz, not so much.

The voters may take all of that into consideration and vote for Merediz.
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad

"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
#18

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/16/08 at 1:33am

The first time I listened to "Paciencia y Fe" on the demo, I got teary-eyed, so needless to say, a win from Merediz would make me happy.
"Some people can thrive and bloom living life in a living room, that's perfect for some people of one hundred and five. But I at least gotta try, when I think of all the sights that I gotta see, all the places I gotta play, all the things that I gotta be at"
#19

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/16/08 at 6:28am

"Uh, you make it sound like he has no competition - sorry, not the case. The other nominees ARE fantastic performers."

Of course they're fantastic, but there's no show-stealing performaces in the featured actor in a musical category. There's no one who has been discussed as a front-runner since the beginning, like in other categories. IMHO, its not that interesting of a fight.
Theatre is a safe place to do the unsafe things that need to be done. -John Patrick Shanley
#20

re: The Expert's Tony Predictions...

Posted: 5/16/08 at 7:49am

Best Book for INTH, You really have to be kidding me. It's only there by DEFAULT.

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