Tony Performance Predictions

I know this is a bit early, but considering 3 of the 8 nominated musicals are no longer running...I think it will be interesting to see if they perform.

Of the nominated musicals no longer running the only show's producers that I think will go all out on their Tony performance if they do one is A Christmas Story considering it is coming back in the fall and touring next year as well. I wouldn't be surprised if they announce they are going into the St. James or Marquis over the next few weeks so that they can start selling tickets based off of buzz even though it won't win.

Bring It on may perform, so they can resume their tour and possibly make a return Broadway engagement if it wins Cheoreography since it is the only show where the Cheoreography made the show work. Yes Pippin is clearly the frontrunner for Cheoreography but the fact that the circus Cheoreography is not nominated with the Fosse may hurt it.

If Drood performs I think they might just do Two Kinsmen because Roundabout does not need to sell the show and if they decide to perform it would make sense to just do the number that showcases your nominated performers.

Given that they are returning and touring, A CHRISTMAS STORY might come down more to whether they can round up personnel more than whether they can afford to perform; they will most certainly benefit from a performance so I expect them to go on. A big ensemble number like "Ralphie to the Rescue" or "You'll Shoot Your Eye Out" might be too hard to get children for, but "A Major Award" might be doable if they can get John Bolton back.

DROOD might pull a FOLLIES and do a mostly-solo number, for lack of wanting the full ensemble back, so "Two Kinsmen" could work... but "A Man Could Go Quite Mad" would be the much flashier number (and Chase arguably has a better chance to win than Block...)

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Best Musical:
Matilda: When I Grow Up/into something featuring Bertie Carvel (his performance has generated more buzz than the girls' even)
Kinky Boots-Everybody Say Yeah Yeah
A Christmas Story-Don't know
Bring It On-It's All Happening/Finale (don't have Playbill handy so I don't remember the name of that song)

Revival: The King is Giving a Ball/Impossible
Drood-There You Are (This would be a highly effective piece with the cast members in the audience)
Pippin-Magic to Do or Morninglow
Annie-I Don't Need Anything But You (Warlow will be featured prominently I bet)

If DROOD performs, which is no guarantee, I'm sure they'll do "The Writing on the Wall", "Don't Quit While You're Ahead", or something like that. One of the ensemble numbers that Will and Stephanie are both in. "Two Kinsmen" would just be silly. They may not need to sell the show but they do want to show how fabulous it was, top to bottom.

I still say they should open the Broadcast with "There You Are!". Come on.

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Updated On: 4/30/13 at 11:08 AM

ACL2006, I was wondering too if Jekyll might perform.. They never did on the '97 telecast (apart from b-roll footage of Cuccioli).. but with the potential movie coming up and two "stars" with some sort of following, maybe the producers would think its wise.

(Though Dangerous Game would easily be the most awkward number/class-less as presently staged)

I don't see Roundabout putting up for an big ensemble number. They didn't for their nominated revivals of THE APPLE TREE, PACIFIC OVERTURES or BIG RIVER, all of which had closed before the ceremony. So it's not out of the question that they not perform at all, which is why I think a more modest number like a solo is more likely.

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plus it's not like they're planning on a long run or even extending the show. It's scheduled to close June 30, so why pay the money to for three more weeks. I actually wouldn't be suprised with the Tony shut-out, if the show closes early now.

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"That's what they did with the original cast, with Patti Cohenour singing her solo to Hume Cronyn!The Mystery of Edwin Drood, 1986 Tony Awards"

That video is amazing! I so wish we could see a repeat of that this year. It'd be so much fun!

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I'd love to see Matilda do something a little different. The usual combination of Naughty/When I Grow Up is lovely, of course, but something like The Smell of Rebellion or even Revolting Children would be fun to see. It would also be really terrific if Drood showcased the whole cast- I wouldn't even mind if they performed the same number from when the original production was nominated.

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Since Motown is not nominated for any major award I think it's very unlikely for them to open.

I'd love for Patina to open the show with Magic To Do, seems an obvious choice and I hope to see some of Corner of the sky as well.

I think Cyndi Lauper is likely to perform.

Is "Bring It On" still touring? If so I don't think it would be hard for them to get the cast into the city, perform and go on.

But Motown was not nominated for best musical.

Lin-Manuel Miranda's tongue in cheek tweet this morning re Bring It On that may be more true than not:

Lin-Manuel Miranda ?@Lin_Manuel 3h

What if the BIO cast reunited, and they were just RIDICULOUSLY out of shape. Like, you're concerned for them. Half-ass cartwheels. Winded.