Tony predictions -- will and should win

Someone had to start it. Post them here:

Best Play

Eclipsed Author: Danai Gurira
The Father Author: Florian Zeller
The Humans Author: Stephen Karam (WILL WIN)
King Charles III Author: Mike Bartlett (SHOULD WIN)

Best Musical

Bright Star
Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Waitress

Best Revival of a Play

Arthur Miller's The Crucible (WILL WIN)
Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (SHOULD WIN)
Blackbird
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Noises Off

Best Revival of a Musical

The Color Purple
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Spring Awakening

Best Book of a Musical

Bright Star - Steve Martin
Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre

Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell
Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater
Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play

Gabriel Byrne, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Jeff Daniels, Blackbird
Frank Langella, The Father (WILL WIN)
Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III
Mark Strong, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play

Jessica Lange, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Laurie Metcalf, Misery
Lupita Nyong'o, Eclipsed (WILL WIN)
Sophie Okonedo, Arthur Miller's The Crucible (SHOULD WIN)
Michelle Williams, Blackbird

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical

Alex Brightman, School of Rock-The Musical
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof
Zachary Levi, She Loves Me
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical

Laura Benanti, She Loves Me (SHOULD WIN)
Carmen Cusack, Bright Star
Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple (WILL WIN)
Jessie Mueller, Waitress
Phillipa Soo, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play

Reed Birney, The Humans (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Bill Camp, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
David Furr, Noises Off
Richard Goulding, King Charles III
Michael Shannon, Long Day's Journey Into Night

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play

Pascale Armand, Eclipsed (SHOULD WIN)
Megan Hilty, Noises Off (WILL WIN)
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans
Andrea Martin, Noises Off
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical

Daveed Diggs, Hamilton (SHOULD WIN)
Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Jonathan Groff, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Christopher Jackson, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical

Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me
Jennifer Simard, Disaster!
Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin (WILL WIN)
Christopher Oram, Hughie
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (SHOULD WIN)
David Zinn, The Humans

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho
David Korins, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
David Rockwell, She Loves Me (SHOULD WIN)

Best Costume Design of a Play

Jane Greenwood, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Michael Krass, Noises Off
Clint Ramos, Eclipsed
Tom Scutt, King Charles III

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting
Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me (SHOULD WIN)
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Paul Tazewell, Hamilton (WILL WIN)

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Natasha Katz, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Justin Townsend, The Humans
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Howell Binkley, Hamilton (WILL WIN)
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening (SHOULD WIN)
Justin Townsend, American Psycho

Best Direction of a Play

Rupert Goold, King Charles III
Jonathan Kent, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Joe Mantello, The Humans
Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed
Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WILL/SHOULD WIN)

Best Direction of a Musical

Michael Arden, Spring Awakening
John Doyle, The Color Purple
Scott Ellis, She Loves Me
Thomas Kail, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Choreography

Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Savion Glover, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof
Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

Best Orchestrations

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me
Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton (WILL/SHOULD WIN)
Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

I believe that Fiddler or the Color Purple will or should win for best revival. I also do not think Laura Benanti or Zach Levi or Jane K. should even have been nominated . I would have much preferred one of the featured actresses from Waitress. That being said, I think Hamilton will tie The Producers in most Tony awards ever.

mc1227 said: I also do not think Laura Benanti or Zach Levi or Jane K. should even have been nominated

I would venture to say that you are in the extreme minority on that one, at least regarding Benanti and Krakowski.

Benanti is my personal choice, as well. But I think the tide has been in Erivo's favor all season. I won't mind a bit if she wins, though -- it's a stunning performance.

Will Win/Should Win

Best Musical: Will Win: Hamilton/ Should Win: Hamilton. Yeah, it's good and nothing is even close to as good this year. Plus, the press and pop culture have taken its popularity to a new level for Broadway.

Best Play: Will Win: The Humans/ Should Win: The Humans. I think the Pulitzer Prize Finalist Nom clinched its win with Tony Voters, but this will be the nights closest race against King Charles lll. Tony Voters love a classy British import. But seriously, The Humans is the best play about who we are now in America that Broadway has seen in years.

Best Musical Revival: Will Win: The Color Purple/ Should Win: The Color Purple. The cast, creatives, and producers have turned this bloated, ill received 2005 film to stage adaptation into a stripped it down, universal experience and the audience can now see its heart and soul. It's the must see show of the year in my opinion.

Best Revival of a Play: Will win: A View from a Bridge/Should Win: A View from a Bridge. Broadway didn't need another revival of this Miller Classic...it's barely been a decade since the last production. But Ivo Van Hove has proven with his minimalist, metaphoric take on blue collar America is that a fresh take on a classic is always welcome

Best Actress in a Musical: Will Win: Cynthia Erivo/ Should Win: Cynthia Erivo. A Broadway debut like Broadway has never seen before. An honest, fierce, powerhouse of a performance that pierces your heart everytime she opens her mouth to speak or sing

Best Actor in a Musical: Will Win: Danny Burstein/ Should Win: Leslie Odom Jr. Danny is talented performer who has been passed up for the Tony in years where he absolutely deserved it. But his Tevye isn't bringing anything to the role we haven't seen before. Leslie's Aaron burr is sexy, suave, charming, vengeful, surprising and exciting. It should be his year.

Best Actress in a Play: Will Win: Lupita Nyong'o/ Should Win: Lupita Nyong'o. A performance that makes you think about what happens to her character after the curtain comes down. It's a year where not enough plays were produced on Broadway, especially new ones, but Eclipsed offers a new and harrowing depiction of women who are desperate to find a secure place in the world. The role is better written than performed, but Lupita does it great justice

Best Actor in a Play: Will Win: Mark Strong/ Should Win: Mark Strong/ Could Win: Frank Langella. Such a STRONG performance, lol. So strong you fear him by the end of the show, you feel every ounce of his love and pain, his betrayal. Couldn't take my eyes off him.

Featured Actress in a Musical: Will Win: Rene Elise Goldsberry/Should win: Danielle J Brooks. Rene is a true triple threat, but the role just doesn't allow her to dig deep into a real person life. Danielle is living and breathing inside her character, so much you don't even realize she is singing. It part the role but most importantly the heart she brings to it.

Featured Actor in a Musical: Will Win: Daveed Diggs/Should Win: Daveed Diggs/Could Win: Jonathan Groff. This is another tough race. Daveed is positively new and fresh in every way in Hamilton. the take on Thomas Jefferson is one of the funniest things about Hamilton. Jonathan's role is also well written and one of the most memorable songs is his. He milks all the comedy possible out the king.

Featured Actress in a Play: Will Win: Megan Hilty/ Should win: Saycon Sengbloh (Eclipsed). Megan is funny in Noises Off (the highlight in my opinion), she's a Broadway favorite too because of SMASH and definitely a musical theater talent that needs to come back to the stage in a new musical, But Saycon, is truly menacing in Eclipsed. she haunts you after the play is over. Her performance deserves the recognition. You've never seen a woman like this before.

Featured Actor in a Play: Will Win: Reed Birney: Should Win: Reed Birney. Suc a real lived in complicated performance. Sometimes funny, sometimes contradicting, sometimes unlikable. He's D) all of the above in The Humans.

Best Score: Will Win: Lin Manuel Miranda for Hamilton/ Should Win: Lin Manuel Miranda. Is it overrated...Yes. Is it good....Yes. The mix of colonial and modern hip vernacular is REVELATORY! Honorable mention belongs to Sarah Barallies for Waitress...it's much more effective in doing what it sets out to do....if it wants you to to cry, you do. if it wants you to laugh, you do.

Best Book of a Musical: Will Win: Lin Manuel Miranda/ Should Win: Lin Manuel Miranda. The structure of Hamilton is quite wonderful. It's the glue that holds the show together.

Best Choreography: Will Win: Andy Blankenbuehler-Hamilton/ Should win: Savion Glover for Shuffle Along.

Best Direction of a Musial: Will Win: Thomas Kale/ Should Win: John Doyle. I think Hamilton is in need of a directoral edit. At times it's too busy with all the dancing, other times the staging doesn't feel as exciting as it should. John Doyle makes all the right decisions with the Color Purple. You never stop to think, you are always hanging on every word...that is John's work at helping you to focus in on the the people of the story. He has such restraint in the theatericality...just enough, just representational enough. The music direction is heavenly.

Best Direction of a Play: Should Win: Ivo Van Hove/ Will Win: Ivo Van Hove. He's everywhere this year...and rightfully so.

Best Set Design of Musical: Will Win: David Rockwell for She Loves Me/ Should Win: Es Devlin-American Psycho. Es is really talking minimalism to the next level with his work in Psycho. It's eerie, its era specific, it could be on the cover of architectual digest...it changes tones quickly as well. very hard to do.

Best Set Design of a Play: Should Win: The Humans/ Will Win: The Humans

Best Costume Design of a Musial: Will Win: David Korins-Hamilton/ Should Win: David Korins Hamilton.

Best Costume Design of a Play: Will Win: Kin Charles the lll/ Should Win: King Charles the lll

Best Orchestrations: Will Win: Alex Lacamorie Hamilton Should win: Daryl Walters-Shuffle Along

Best lighting Design of a Musical: Will win: American Psycho/ Should win: American Psycho.

I actually think View from the Bridge will win but The Crucible does have the advantage that it's still running... Hmm. Hard to decide.



Will & Should Win:

Hamilton for best musical, book, score and director for Tommy Kail, Renee Elise Goldsberry & Daveed Diggs, and honestly, probably all the design awards. Would love Leslie Odom Jr. to take home Best Actor as well but it's early yet. Not sure.



Color Purple for revival & The Humans for play- will and should win.

Updated On: 5/3/16 at 01:42 PM

I imagine Hamilton will win for Best Scenic Design, however it will just be an example of the voters trying to give Hamilton as many awards as possible. It definitely won't deserve that one. Should win? American Psycho, or even She Loves Me.

Same thing for Lighting. Hamilton will likely get it.....just because it's Hamilton. American Psycho should get it.

"I imagine Hamilton will win for Best Scenic Design, however it will just be an example of the voters trying to give Hamilton as many awards as possible. It definitely won't deserve that one. "



I disagree. I adore Hamilton's set and think it's the most innovative of them all.

AC126748 said: "mc1227 said: I also do not think Laura Benanti or Zach Levi or Jane K. should even have been nominated

I would venture to say that you are in the extreme minority on that one, at least regarding Benanti and Krakowski.

Whether or not people agree doesn't bother me in the least. I found Benanti's singing style for this material to be totally off and Krakowski has 1 song to sing and she seemed to be channeling Megan Mullally from 1995. Benanti sang if she was performing at the Metropolitan Opera House and that would be fine if the songs warranted that style. Songs like "where's my shoes" and "vanilla ice cream" were almost laughable and not in a good way. I cannot understand the love for this show at all. It was probably Roundabouts worst musical since Pal Joey, imho.







"

mc1227 said: "I found Benanti's singing style for this material to be totally off"

Are... are you sure you went to see Laura Benanti in She Loves Me on Broadway?

That video does help me appreciate Hamilton's scenic design more. Still not convinced it deserves the Tony, but I'm sure it will get it.

MY SHOT


Best Play
Eclipsed Author: Danai Gurira
The Father Author: Florian Zeller
The Humans Author: Stephen Karam (WIN)
King Charles III Author: Mike Bartlett

Best Musical
Bright Star
Hamilton ( WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Waitress

Best Revival of a Play
Arthur Miller's The Crucible (WIN)
Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge
Blackbird
Long Day's Journey Into Night
Noises Off

Best Revival of a Musical
The Color Purple (WIN)
Fiddler on the Roof
She Loves Me
Spring Awakening

Best Book of a Musical
Bright Star - Steve Martin
Hamilton - Lin-Manuel Miranda (WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Julian Fellowes
Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed - George C. Wolfe

Best Original Score (Music and/or Lyrics) Written for the Theatre
Bright Star - Music: Steve Martin and Edie Brickell, Lyrics: Edie Brickell
Hamilton - Music & Lyrics: Lin-Manuel Miranda (WIN)
School of Rock-The Musical - Music: Andrew Lloyd Webber, Lyrics: Glenn Slater
Waitress - Music & Lyrics: Sara Bareilles

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Play
Gabriel Byrne, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Jeff Daniels, Blackbird
Frank Langella, The Father (WIN)
Tim Pigott-Smith, King Charles III
Mark Strong, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Play
Jessica Lange, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Laurie Metcalf, Misery
Lupita Nyong'o, Eclipsed (WIN)
Sophie Okonedo, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Michelle Williams, Blackbird

Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role in a Musical
Alex Brightman, School of Rock-The Musical
Danny Burstein, Fiddler on the Roof
Zachary Levi, She Loves Me
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Leslie Odom, Jr., Hamilton (WIN)

Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical
Laura Benanti, She Loves Me
Carmen Cusack, Bright Star
Cynthia Erivo, The Color Purple (WIN)
Jessie Mueller, Waitress
Phillipa Soo, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Play
Reed Birney, The Humans (WIN)
Bill Camp, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
David Furr, Noises Off
Richard Goulding, King Charles III
Michael Shannon, Long Day's Journey Into Night

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Play
Pascale Armand, Eclipsed
Megan Hilty, Noises Off
Jayne Houdyshell, The Humans (WIN)
Andrea Martin, Noises Off
Saycon Sengbloh, Eclipsed

Best Performance by an Actor in a Featured Role in a Musical
Daveed Diggs, Hamilton (WIN)
Brandon Victor Dixon, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Christopher Fitzgerald, Waitress
Jonathan Groff, Hamilton
Christopher Jackson, Hamilton

Best Performance by an Actress in a Featured Role in a Musical
Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Renée Elise Goldsberry, Hamilton (WIN)
Jane Krakowski, She Loves Me
Jennifer Simard, Disaster!
Adrienne Warren, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Scenic Design of a Play
Beowulf Boritt, Thérèse Raquin (WIN)
Christopher Oram, Hughie
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge
David Zinn, The Humans

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Es Devlin & Finn Ross, American Psycho
David Korins, Hamilton (WIN)
Santo Loquasto, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
David Rockwell, She Loves Me

Best Costume Design of a Play
Jane Greenwood, Long Day's Journey Into Night (WIN)
Michael Krass, Noises Off
Clint Ramos, Eclipsed
Tom Scutt, King Charles III

Best Costume Design of a Musical
Gregg Barnes, Tuck Everlasting
Jeff Mahshie, She Loves Me
Ann Roth, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Paul Tazewell, Hamilton (WIN)

Best Lighting Design of a Play
Natasha Katz, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Justin Townsend, The Humans
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's The Crucible
Jan Versweyveld, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WIN)

Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Howell Binkley, Hamilton (WIN)
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Ben Stanton, Spring Awakening
Justin Townsend, American Psycho

Best Direction of a Play
Rupert Goold, King Charles III
Jonathan Kent, Long Day's Journey Into Night
Joe Mantello, The Humans
Liesl Tommy, Eclipsed
Ivo Van Hove, Arthur Miller's A View from the Bridge (WIN)

Best Direction of a Musical
Michael Arden, Spring Awakening
John Doyle, The Color Purple
Scott Ellis, She Loves Me
Thomas Kail, Hamilton (WIN)
George C. Wolfe, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed

Best Choreography
Andy Blankenbuehler, Hamilton (WIN)
Savion Glover, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed
Hofesh Shechter, Fiddler on the Roof
Randy Skinner, Dames at Sea
Sergio Trujillo, On Your Feet! The Story of Emilio and Gloria Estefan

Best Orchestrations

August Eriksmoen, Bright Star
Larry Hochman, She Loves Me
Alex Lacamoire, Hamilton (WIN)
Daryl Waters, Shuffle Along, Or the Making of the Musical Sensation of 1921 and All That Followed







"

I wish I had an essay about the writing, choreography, lighting, set design, costumes, etc. Of each show as we do with the Hamilton book. I'm being entirely serious and non-snarky. Reading about the process gave me a whole new depth of appreciation for the subtle choices that were made. I'm sure the same thought has gone into the decisions for all these shows, so I wish I could get insight into the process. It's fascinating to me since I have no gift for such creativity.

Updated On: 5/3/16 at 05:48 PM