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Because its not an opinion, its just regurgitating other's thoughts. I completely agree with you when it comes to picking the performance Tonys (Best Actor/Actress, etc...), but even in those instances (I'm thinking of Bertie Carvel, specifically because his work is what I'm most familiar with) there's room to follow the real Tony voters' lead.
In the case of Carvel, Even if I hadn't seen
Matilda, I've seen some of his past work, seen portions of his current performance via the Internet, and heard his performance on the OLC CD. He's my favorite because I "know him" better than the other nominees.
Again, because there is little established criteria, even the real Tony voters can base their vote on a DVD of the performance.
I take your point, though. I'd be more inclined to agree or disagree with
broadway guy if he were a little more thoughtful regarding "why" he makes his choices, other than to say, "I don't care that much for either one and i don't care really who wins."
I don't see any point to making a prediction at all under those circumstances - expect to gloat at a later date... "
See??? It's just how I predicted it!"
Updated On: 5/26/13 at 05:13 PM