Pierce over Esparza. Actually, I'm sure even if this does happen, there will be a bigger surprise; I just can't pick it. (Not that I necessarily want that...so many great performances, i don't know what I want! ahh!)
Though I could see Boyd taking it over Frank, good call.
And for the record, I think there are quite a few locks-- Utopia for lighting, costumes, and set, Mary Poppins for set...
In terms of the awards CBS actually shows (ulgh), I really can't imagine ANY show taking revival over Journey's End--I think JE is a lock for best play revival.
"If there was a Mount Rushmore for Broadway scores, "West Side Story" would be front and center. It snaps, it crackles it pops! It surges with a roar, its energy and sheer life undiminished by the years" - NYPost reviewer Elisabeth Vincentelli