Who derserves the Tony and who is going to actually get it?- Page 2

[munkustrap178]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 11:12am

Muscle, just stop. You're sounding dumber by the minute.

[WiCkEDrOcKS]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 4:06pm

Best Play
Should & Will: THE HISTORY BOYS

Best Musical
Should & Will: THE COLOR PURPLE

Best Book of a Musical
Should: THE DROWSY CHAPERONE
Will: JERSEY BOYS

Best Revival of a Play
Should win: FAITH HEALER
Will win: AWAKE AND SING!

Best Revival of a Musical
Should: SWEENEY TODD or THE PAJAMA GAME
Will: SWEENEY TODD

Best Original Score
Should & Will: THE DROWSY CHAPERONE

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play
Should: Richard Griffiths, THE HISTORY BOYS
Will: Richard Griffiths, THE HISTORY BOYS

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play
Should & Will: Cynthia Nixon, RABBIT HOLE

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical
should win: Michael Cerveris, SWEENEY TODD or John Lloyd Young, JERSEY BOYS
will win: John Lloyd Young, JERSEY BOYS

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical
Should: LaChanze, THE COLOR PURPLE or Patti LuPone, SWEENEY TODD
Will: Patti LuPone, SWEENEY TODD

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play
Should and Will: Ian McDiarmid, FAITH HEALER

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play
Should & Will: Tyne Daly, RABBIT HOLE

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical
Should and Will: Manoel Felciano, SWEENEY TODD

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical
should win: Either of THE COLOR PURPLE women; more so Felcia Fields than Elisabeth Withers Mendes
will win: Beth Leavel, THE DROWSY CHAPERONE or Felicia Fields, THE COLOR PURPLE

Best Direction of a Play
Should & Will: THE HISTORY BOYS

Best Direction of a Musical
Should & Will: SWEENEY TODD

Best Choreography
Should: THE PAJAMA GAME
Will: THE COLOR PURPLE

Best Orchestrations
Should & Will: SWEENEY TODD

Best Scenic Design of a Play
Should & Will: RABBIT HOLE

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Should: THE DROWSY CHAPERONE
Will: THE COLOR PURPLE

Best Costume Design of a Play
Should and Will: SEASCAPE

Best Costume Design of a Musical
Should: THE COLOR PURPLE
Will: THE DROWSY CHAPERONE

Best Lighting Design of a Play
Should & Will: THREE DAYS OF RAIN

Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Should & Will: THE COLOR PURPLE

Overall,
THESE ARE EARLY PREDICTIONS and SUBJECT TO CHANGE!
The Color Purple will win 5 (with one win being indecisively chosen)
Sweeney Todd will win 5
The Drowsy Chaperone will win 3 (with one win being indecisively chosen)
Rabbit Hole will win 3
The History Boys will win 3
Jersey Boys will win 2
Awake and Sing! will win 1
Faith Healer will win 1
Three Days of Rain will win 1
Seascape will win 1



I based some of my predictions on word of mouth. I havent seen that many shows this year...sorry.
I'll catch up over the summer.
Updated On: 5/17/06 at 04:06 PM

[boxers7]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 4:20pm

"Jersey Boys is a good show, but i still can't get over the fact it is a juke box."

You have a hard time getting over the fact that a quality musical takes songs previously written for a different genre and cleverly weaves them together creating a musical ubt yet, you think a mediocore show that was tweaked from an already written movie deserves the award over it?

[ken8631]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 4:25pm

Is the Color Purple that good? Haven't seen it, no real desire to, even though it's nominated (I try to see all the nominated shows if I can)....

[muscle23ftl]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 4:34pm

no, i don't think it's that good.

[boxers7]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 4:39pm

What do you find so unappealing about it? What does The Wedding Singer offer that Jersey Boys doesn't?

[muscle23ftl]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 4:46pm

Well, Jersey Boys is a good show i think, but it doesn't have an original score and it has almost no dancing in it. It was a fun show though, i guess i am just skeptical because I don't really want a juke box musical to win a Tony.

[muscle23ftl]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 4:48pm

Oh, and i don't find TCP not appealing, i mean...i wanted to see it when it came out because i think the movie is a masterpiece, the musical is just ok. I don't know, i am no one to tell you to go or not to go, follow your heart.

[jdixon69]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 5:30pm

Quit picking on Muscle! Some people would rank WS above JB, TCP and DC - some smart, discriminating people.

Show some respect.

[popular_elphie]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 5:32pm

It's all a matter of opinion, and this is what sucks about it.

I think JB should win Best Musical, Drowsy should take best book, Wedding Singer should take best score (in my humble opinion, Drowsy has about two great songs, and that's all). JLY should win for Best Actor.

I definitely agree with the doubt about Color Purple winning. I think it's Drowsy and JB in a tight lock. One will probably take best book, and one will go home with best musical.

[FoscasBohemianDream]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 6:04pm

Jersey Boys might be a jukebox musical, yet it is a very well-crafted show, the direction is flawless, it has what I believe is the most concise book of any new show this season, the cast is superb across the board, and the songs are so perfectly intertwined with the book that it feels more like a play with music about the Four Seasons than a jukebox musical.
And muscle, again, I am trying to respect your taste and opinion but you said that The Wedding Singer and The Pajama Game are in the same category because they're both fluff...they're not. Like WithoutATrace remarked, The Pajama Game is a classic with music, characters, and numbers ("Hernando's Hideaway" and "Steam Heat" come to mind) that have stayed in the collective memory of theater-goers for decades. The Wedding Singer is one of those shows people will forget about in a couple of years, yes both of them are escapist Broadway musicals, the difference is one of them is actually memorable.

[LaCageAuxFollesFan2]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 6:27pm

Best Play
Should: RABBIT HOLE
Will: THE HISTORY BOYS

Best Musical
Should & Will: THE DROWSY CHAPERONE

Best Book of a Musical
Should & Will: THE DROWSY CHAPERONE

Best Revival of a Play
Should & Will: AWAKE AND SING!

Best Revival of a Musical
Should & Will: SWEENEY TODD

Best Original Score
Should: THE WOMAN IN WHITE
Will: THE DROWSY CHAPERONE

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play
Should & Will: Richard Griffiths, THE HISTORY BOYS

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play
Should & Will: Cynthia Nixon, RABBIT HOLE

Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical
should & will win: Michael Cerveris, SWEENEY TODD

Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical
Should & Will: Patti LuPone, SWEENEY TODD

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play
Should and Will: Ian McDiarmid, FAITH HEALER

Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play
Should & Will: Tyne Daly, RABBIT HOLE

Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical
Should & Will: Manoel Felciano, SWEENEY TODD


Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical
should: Beth Leavel, THE DROWSY CHAPERONE & THE COLOR PURPLE Elisabeth Withers Mendes
will win: Beth Leavel, THE DROWSY CHAPERONE

Best Direction of a Play
Should: Daniel Sullivan, RABBIT HOLE
Will: THE HISTORY BOYS

Best Direction of a Musical
Should & Will: SWEENEY TODD

Best Choreography
Should & Will: THE PAJAMA GAME

Best Orchestrations
Should & Will: SWEENEY TODD

Best Scenic Design of a Play
Should & Will: RABBIT HOLE

Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Should & Will: THE DROWSY CHAPERONE

Best Costume Design of a Play
Should and Will: SEASCAPE

Best Costume Design of a Musical
Should & Will: THE DROWSY CHAPERONE

Best Lighting Design of a Play
Should & Will: THREE DAYS OF RAIN

Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Should: TARZAN
Will: THE COLOR PURPLE

[James2]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 7:17pm

Seems that everybody is forgeting Jim Dale. He still has a chance at Best Featured Actor, though I personally would vote for Manoel Felciano.

[Newsboylive]

Posted: 5/17/06 at 10:00pm

I am only going to talk about the musical nominations, because I didn't see that many plays this year, other than Barefoot in the Park.

BEST MUSICAL
Should Win: Jersey Boys
Will Win: Jersey Boys or Drowsy Chaperone

I have never seen the audience react to a show the way Jersey Boys it does to this show. The audience response stops the show five or six times NIGHTLY. The performances are phenomenal. That being said, I wouldn't be surprised if Drowsy Chaperone wins the top prize, either.

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL:
Should Win: Sweeney Todd
Will Win: Sweeney Todd

While Pajama Game was good fun and a good show, it just isn't in the same league with Sweeney Todd. Again, brilliant cast, brillant scoring, brilliant staging, brilliant show.

BEST ACTRESS in a MUSICAL
Should win: Patti Lupone
Will win: Patti Lupone, though Kelli O'Hara is a close second.

BEST ACTOR in a MUSICAL
Should Win: Michael Cerveris or John Lloyd Young.
Will win: Michael Cerveris or John Lloyd Young.

This is probably the toughest category to predict. All are good, though I'm still wondering why Stephen Lynch was nominated. I think it will come down to Cerveris or Young.

FEATURED ACTRESS in a MUSICAL
Should Win: Megan Lawrence
Will win: Megan Lawrence

Lawrence pretty much stole every scene in The Pajama Game that she was in. Her comic timing was impeccable. That being said, if Lauren Molina had been nominated, she would win.

FEATURED ACTOR in a MUSICAL
Should win: Manoel Felciano
Will win: Manoel Felciano

Loved Christian Hoff in Jersey Boys, but my bet is on Felciano. His performance was haunting and, aside from the two leads, was the one from Sweeney I most noticed.

[Jamie Hat]

Posted: 5/19/06 at 2:04am

Woman in White deserving best score? What a joke.
Maybe Laura Benanti will win actress too.
And Lestat will win best musical.
I believe my heart.
Rediculous.