The very fact that there is enough buzz behind Janney to even warrant this thread means that in no way is Alice Ripley a lock for this award. Except that a thread in BWW is hardly reflective of the opinions of critics, the Tony voters or the general public. If BWW buzz were a factor in any way, Esparza would have two Tonys, Felciano would have Tony, Patti would have won for Sweeney, Sweeney revival would have won, etc...etc...etc...
But to answer the question: I believe David Hyde Pierce fully deserved the Tony that year, so if that is what it means to "pull a David Hyde Pierce", then no, I don't think Janney will do it.
"What can you expect from a bunch of seitan worshippers?" - Reginald Tresilian