2007 Leading Actress in a Musical Tony Nominee Contenders- Page 11

[Lizzya9]

Posted: 11/17/06 at 9:01pm

Cassie is NOT the main character of ACL, she has one solo number and so does Val, Diana, and Mike. I can never figure out why she is talked about much. It's an ensemble performance.

[Wanna Be A Foster]

Posted: 11/17/06 at 9:06pm

Because in the original production, which this revival is a duplicate of, Cassie was considered Leading and Donna McKechnie won a Tony for it.

[Mattbrain]

Posted: 11/17/06 at 9:18pm

The relationship between her and Zach does seem to take the main focus towards the end. Hell, it takes such main focus that Richard Attenborough (stupidly) gave Cassie "What I Did For Love."

My guesses:

Christine Ebersole (Grey Gardens)

Lea Michele (Spring Awakening)

Audra McDonald (110 in the Shade)

Kristen Chenoweth (The Apple Tree)

and I'm rooting for Lea to win.

[jv92]

Posted: 11/17/06 at 10:29pm

Well, with Ashley Brown's notices in for Poppins, its safe to say she might just get a nomination. People seemed to enjoy her. It's still Ebersole's trophy though.

[FOAnatic]

Posted: 11/17/06 at 10:35pm

Now you can add Donna Murphy into the mix.

[FoscasBohemianDream]

Posted: 11/17/06 at 11:06pm

I think the total opposite, after seeing the show, reading the reviews, and with the new addition of the always-magnificent Donna Murphy to the competition, it is almost safe to say that Ashley Brown will not get a nomination. To be honest, I'd deny her the nomination for the robotic smile only.
My predictions as of now:
Kristin Chenoweth- The Apple Tree
Christine Ebersole- Grey Gardens
Donna Murphy- LoveMusik
Audra McDonald- 110 in the Shade

The fifth slot will be quite a competition between Laura Bell Bundy, Lea Michelle, and Stephanie J. Block; with Bundy and Block having a slightly higher chance given the fact they carry their shows.

[RentBoy86]

Posted: 11/17/06 at 11:15pm

Yeah, LoveMusick - or whatever - sounds really interesting.

[FOAnatic]

Posted: 11/17/06 at 11:15pm

Oh boy.

[Becoz_i_knew_you21]

Posted: 11/17/06 at 11:38pm

DAMN, Now there is now way Lea Michele is going to be nominated!

[Smaxie]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 3:29am

I'd predict:

Christine Ebersole
Donna Murphy
Kristin Chenoweth
Audra McDonald
Debra Monk

[MargoChanning]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 3:47am

Since Michele is part of the ensemble and billed below the title, she could be nominated for Featured Actress. In fact, the only way she could be considered for lead is if the producers of SPRING AWAKENING petition the Tony administration committee to have her moved into that category. If they're smart they'll leave her where she is -- she probably won't win (Mary Louise Wilson is likely the favorite at this point), but at least she'll have a decent shot at a nomination (she has NO shot at getting one for lead).

Smaxie's list looks about right.

Updated On: 11/18/06 at 03:47 AM

[FoscasBohemianDream]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 3:58am

While I thought Debra Monk was thrilling in Curtains, I did not buy her role as leading. She is indeed billed above the title along with David Hyde Pierce (the only lead in the show, IMO) but the show is such an ensemble piece that apart from Pierce, the rest of the characters feel featured. However, Sutton Foster got a nomination for leading actress in an ensemble-driven piece as well, so Smaxie has a point.
I wonder if Murphy has any chances of winning over Ebersole. Interesting that (most likely) at least two of the nominees will be nominated for playing real-life women.

[MargoChanning]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 4:09am

Also interesting, if Smaxie's list pans out, is that all of the nominees have won before (and more than once, in the cases of McDonald and Murphy).

[Mattbrain]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 6:21am

Margo, you have a point about Lea.

[bwayondabrain]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 7:49am

well, I'm hoping that Laura Bell Bundy could at least get a nomination for LEGALLY BLONDE. it will be a pretty big show to carry, and i think she could fill out the 5th nomination

so, my predictions are:

Christine Ebersole (winner)
Audra McDonald
Kristin Chenoweth
Donna Murphy
(and hopefully) Laura Bell Bundy

[Wanna Be A Foster]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 8:11am

Out of all the possible contenders, five are previous winners. I have a hard time believing that the nominating committee isn't going to inaugurate at least one newbie into the mix, leaving out one prior winner. I guess this will all depend on how the reviews for the rest of the season pan out. SPRING AWAKENING opens on December 10th. I was at the first preview two nights ago and this show was unlike any Broadway experience I've ever had. I think Lea Michele should be considered leading, and I do think she will get a nomination in that category, which will also include Ebersole, Chenoweth, McDonald, and Murphy. Debra Monk isn't exactly a goddess on the same level as the other four previous winners, but again, it will come down to how well her performance is received. SPRING AWAKENING will be the next big thing for Broadway, and nominations for Lea Michele, Jonathan Groff, and John Gallagher Jr. will all be staples among recognizing the show as a whole (I also actually believe Gallagher will win, but that's for a different thread.)

Updated On: 11/18/06 at 08:11 AM

Posted: 11/18/06 at 11:05am

"Christine Ebersole (winner)
Audra McDonald
Kristin Chenoweth
Donna Murphy
(and hopefully) Laura Bell Bundy"

bwayondabrain, your list is good. But I am worried Blonde will flop and Laura won't get a nod. Ashley Brown since Poppins opened is getting a little more realistic when it comes to the last slot.

[Wanna Be A Foster]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 4:59pm

MARY POPPINS will get a nod for set design and Gavin Lee if there's room left for him. There are too many other musicals opening this season that nominations won't be wasted on a Disney show that's going to run until the end of time regardless of awards it receives. Ashley Brown has no chance at a nomination, especially considering the lukewarm reception she's gotten this week.

Posted: 11/18/06 at 5:03pm

Not that lukewarm, Foster. wait until review for Legally blonde come out. then we will see who will get that space.

[Wanna Be A Foster]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 5:07pm

All we need to wait for is the SPRING AWAKENING review. Even if Lea Michele and Laura Bell Bundy are negatively received (which I don't think is going to happen, at least with Michele), Brown doesn't have a chance in heck to take a nod away from a past Tony winner, of which there are already enough to fill each slot.

Posted: 11/18/06 at 5:09pm

Donna
Christine
Auda
Kristin
(Charlotte, Ashley, Lea, Jenna, Laura)

There is one slot left. Ms. Monk will be considered featured
Updated On: 11/18/06 at 05:09 PM

[FoscasBohemianDream]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 5:40pm

Monk will not be considered featured, her name is listed above the title along with Hyde Pierce and while her role does feel like a feature role her part (not to mention her spectacular acting) is beefy enough to be considered for the Best Leading Actress category.
Ashley Brown reviews were lukewarm and not worthy of a Tony nod in a season with so many star turns by other great actresses in better roles.
Oh, and it's "Donna" not "Doona"

[bwayondabrain]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 5:45pm

yeah, like Sutton in DROWSY, her role felt like supporting to me, but she was considered Leading
probably same with Debra and CURTAINS

but im still hoping for Laura to get a nomination. too bad it is going to be such a tight season this year for Tonys!

[Smaxie]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 5:51pm

>Ms. Monk will be considered featured<

Doubtful. Monk's name is above the title, so she'll be considered for the leading category, unless the producers campaign to move her to the supporting category. But with that show's supporting roles for Karen Ziemba, Megan Sikora and Jill Paice, I imagine Monk will stay exactly where she is.

[purpleprince101]

Posted: 11/18/06 at 8:04pm

ashley Brown
kristen c
stephanie block-now that i think of it now
cristine E- going to win
Updated On: 12/15/06 at 08:04 PM