ElephantLoveMedley said: "Interesting that Deirdre has such an edge in a race that I thought would be in the bag for Mary-Louise. Guess we'll see what happens in two days!"
I think the big thing working in O'Connell's favor is that Parker just won last year, and while the Tonys have at times awarded actors in featured categories or a split between featured and leading in back-to-back years (Judith Light, Laurie Metcalf, etc.), it's been over 60 years since someone won in the lead categories in back-to-back years (and that was Gwen Verdon, who actually tied one of those two years). So history would definitely be on O'Connell's side here, but I certainly wouldn't be surprised if either one of them takes it.