BJR said: "If those numbers are indeed true, then yes, it should recoup just fine.
I found OOTI to be quite uplifting and the night I saw it, the crowd ate it up. I don't like allegorical evidence, but folks are trying to use in the opposite direction, I'll proffer it is likely garnering good word of mouth. Whether it's business model is good and it's hitting marks is a whole other matter."
God knows we can all point to some magnificent shows with bad business models, e.g., the original Follies and Ragtime productions; the 1973 Candide; etc. If the business model is not realistic, the probability of financial success -- in a business in which so many productions lose money -- for a well received show is that much harder.