qolbinau said: "It's pointless discussing but I do think the idea that Murphy would have won the Tony is a little controversial - the competition between LuPone and Ebersole would have been more fierce without Bette, I bet!
And RE: Murphy's grosses - I do indeed wonder if they are artificially elevated because some people thought they were seeing Bette and didn't bother to get refunds. Similarly, as mentioned Bernadette is opening in the slowest time of the year for Broadway, which makes things a little bit more difficult. That said, Bernadette is a much, much bigger name than Murphy (Bernadette has over 10 times the amount of Twitter followers as Murphy) - I can already see that while Bernadette's run is definitely not going to be the Bette smash-hit, she is managing to sell a decent chunk of expensive orchestra seats already early into the run. Hopefully it has a strong start (cf. War Paint & Follies), but with stronger popular appeal and great reviews can maintain a healthy 6-month run after Bernadette's initial rush of fans starts to die down."
I doubt that the War Painters would have given Murphy a run for her money. Murphy is a great Broadway actress in a great role in a great production of a great show, and she is doing it proud, according to the reviews and boards. I would venture that the critics reviews have generally said that Murphy is giving a better performance than Midler, singing far better...what she can't capture is the Midler legend, and the audience's history and ongoing love affair with her. I am taking bets that Peters will gert the same kind of reviews as Murphy...I can just see her doing So Long, Dearie now.
Ebersole and Lupone, at least one of whom is a great Broadway actress (arguably both, but not IMO) have also each won 2 Tony awards, but are starring in a dog that continues to die a slow death. Between cutting into each other's votes, they would have been constrained by the dislike for the show --- sure there are people who like / love it, but I daresay they are in the minority, otherwise it'd be doing better.
(NOTE: I haven't actually seen Murphy in the role yet; ironically, I am on an Amtrak train making its way to NYC as I type this, and am going specifically to see Murphy tonight).