I understand both sides of the argument in this case. Bye Bye Birdie is a very solid show (in my opinion), I LOVE the cast members they assembled, and the Director has come off to be extremely professional and intelligent; however, I am well aware that a large portion of all roundabout productions that weren't transfers were not generally liked on this board and by critics. I don't think that DCR meant to say that this production is bound to be bad, but he thinks that there is a good chance that Roundabout can possibly wreck another show.
As for me, I don't have an opinion on how this show will be received. It has a lot of positive factors that could benefit it and a lot of negative factors that can destroy it. I choose to hope that this production will be great and wait to see what the general opinion is (and I'm sure DCR feels similarly).
At the risk of getting eaten for saying this, I think this show will most definitely be a popular choice among tourists for a little while (at least).
"There's nothing good on. The media hates Christmas. The media loves vampires, though. Maybe they will show a Twilight Christmas."
-Danmeg's 10 year old son.