Demand for spring shows(Diana,SIX, Company, Girl from the North Country)

Theatrefanboy1 said: "Im hoping to rush or sro as many as I can in the spring. But those that will be sold out Id like to buy in advance."

Wouldn't the demand for shows have nothing to do with rush/SRO? If anything, SRO requires a sold out house... so if you want to do SRO, you need a packed house.

I don't think any of these will be completely megahits to begin with. Six probably has the largest potential to do that since it has a large online following, but that doesn't always translate to sales. Diana might get traffic mostly from people interested in the royal family, Company seems too niche to be a runaway hit, and Girl From the North Country got pretty divisive reviews last time it was in NYC iirc. Even Hadestown in the beginning was on TDF for previews before word of mouth picked up, so especially if you hit these shows early in their runs I think you should probably be fine. (The only recent show I can think of that sold out immediately is Moulin Rouge and I don't think any of these shows have quite that buzz surrounding them)

chrishuyen said: "I don't think any of these will be completely megahits to begin with. Six probably has the largest potential to do that since it has a large online following, but that doesn't always translate to sales. Diana might get traffic mostly from people interested in the royal family, Company seems too niche to be a runaway hit, and Girl From the North Country got pretty divisive reviews last time it was in NYC iirc. Even Hadestown in the beginning was on TDF for previews before word of mouth picked up, so especially if you hit these shows early in their runs I think you should probably be fine. (The only recent show I can think of that sold out immediately is Moulin Rouge and I don't think any of these shows have quite that buzz surrounding them) "

But Company has Katrina Lenk & Patti LuPonne. I'd wager to bet star casting will be a draw. I am pretty excited for the show (especially as unmarried woman in my 30's, I'm very intrigued gender swap!) If anything I'm hoping for a lot of buzz to increase chances of SRO and maybe even a saturated secondary market like we saw with Hadestown (I was able to snatch $77 Mezz tix for Sunday Matinee via StubHub). Looking at tickets extreme sides are block off so I can only hypothesize (and hope) its a sign of seats set aside for rush & lotto?

chrishuyen said: "Rosette3 said:But Company has Katrina Lenk & Patti LuPonne. I'd wager to bet star casting will be a draw. I am pretty excited for the show (especially as unmarried woman in my 30's, I'm very intrigued gender swap!) If anything I'm hoping for a lot of buzz to increase chances of SRO and maybe even a saturated secondary market like we saw with Hadestown (I was able to snatch $77 Mezz tix for Sunday Matinee via StubHub). Looking at tickets extreme sides are block off so I can only hypothesize (and hope) its a sign of seats set aside for rush & lotto?"

I think Katrina Lenk and Patti Lupone are really only star casting for the theater community, and not quite the tourist crowd. Nothing against them because I love them both and I'm excited to see this production, but as far as it relates to the original question, I don't think they'll bring the kind of crowds where you'd have to stand in line for 4+ hours to ensure yourself a rush/SRO ticket."

Definitely agree. Perhaps a modest initial bump from the theatre community, but not anything that is going to drive outsiders to the show.

Several of these are on Audience Rewards right now FWIW.

Joe Mayo said: "chrishuyen said: "Rosette3 said:But Company has Katrina Lenk & Patti LuPonne. I'd wager to bet star casting will be a draw. I am pretty excited for the show (especially as unmarried woman in my 30's, I'm very intrigued gender swap!) If anything I'm hoping for a lot of buzz to increase chances of SRO and maybe even a saturated secondary market like we saw with Hadestown (I was able to snatch $77 Mezz tix for Sunday Matinee via StubHub). Looking at tickets extreme sides are block off so I can only hypothesize (and hope) its a sign of seats set aside for rush & lotto?"

I think Katrina Lenk and Patti Lupone are really only star casting for the theater community, and not quite the tourist crowd. Nothing against them because I love them both and I'm excited to see this production, but as far as it relates to the original question, I don't think they'll bring the kind of crowds where you'd have to stand in line for 4+ hours to ensure yourself a rush/SRO ticket."

Definitely agree. Perhaps a modest initial bump from the theatre community, but not anything that is going to drive outsiders to the show."

^^^^This. I expect a rush of sales initially from LuPone and Lenk fans, but that won't last. Neither woman is a name that sells tickets. Patti with her brilliant turn in Gypsy couldn't sell tickets outside the initial rush. Also, Company is a creaky property that many people just don't like, even with the new take. I think its a hard sell outside of theatre fans.

I always try to picture the kids at TKTS trying to tell a tourist about a show and wonder how they will sell Company. It just doesn't seem like it will be a hot ticket.

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msmp said: "Rosette3 said: "chrishuyen said: "I don't think any of these will be completely megahits to begin with. Six probably has the largest potential to do that since it has a large online following, but that doesn't always translate to sales. Diana might get traffic mostly from people interested in the royal family, Company seems too niche to be a runaway hit, and Girl From the North Country got pretty divisive reviews last time it was in NYC iirc. Even Hadestown in the beginning was on TDF for previews before word of mouth picked up, so especially if you hit these shows early in their runs I think you should probably be fine. (The only recent show I can think of that sold out immediately is Moulin Rouge and I don't think any of these shows have quite that buzz surrounding them) "

But Company has Katrina Lenk & Patti LuPonne. I'd wager to bet star casting will be a draw. I am pretty excited for the show (especially as unmarried woman in my 30's, I'm very intrigued gender swap!) If anything I'm hoping for a lot of buzz to increase chances of SRO and maybe even a saturated secondary market like we saw with Hadestown (I was able to snatch $77 Mezz tix for Sunday Matinee via StubHub). Looking at tickets extreme sides are block off so I can only hypothesize (and hope) its a sign of seats set aside for rush & lotto?"

Patti couldn't saveWar Paintwhich was written with her in mind; I don't think she's going to makeCompanya sell-out even if she puts in another phenomenal performance as in London. Katrina Lenk is one of Broadway's rising stars and leading lights, but I'm pretty sure she's completely unknown outside the theatre world/people who watched the Tony Awards this past June. Had they pulled in Anne Hathaway for the production (I have no idea howrealthe rumor was, but I saw it here and elsewhere), then it might be a different story."

Nothing could’ve saved War Paint...