Yeah, hard to know which way. If she doesn't win, it'll seem like a, "She should have one of these." And if she does, then this will mark the point we realized her support.
That said, the voting group here does not overlap much with Tony voters.
And the other winners feel like they cemented the current front runners, aside from Kate Whorisky for CLYDE'S. But maybe that'll be an upset? (Seems unlikely.)
PS looking at the breakout of the COMPANY producers, Shubert, Nederlander and Jujamcyn are all prodcuers/investors? That's ... wild.