Early Predictions - 2006 Tony Nominees — Page 3

I wasn't too sure initially about getting tickets for TARZAN - but I am glad I did, after reading about the buzz on the show.

I'm personally hoping that Jersey Boys wins Best Musical and proves that not all jukebox musicals are crap...they can be done very well.

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I agree with you Michael Bennett re jukebox musicals, but I think there is a real difference between Mamma Mia and Jersey Boys in that at least Jersey Boys tells a real story while Mamma Mia made up a weak plot built in order to find an excuse for the songs.

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Completely and totally agreed

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If Oprah hosts - TCP is winning best musical....but I doubt she will, because it would be such obvious pandering and I'm not sure she's really all that invested in the show, despite her investment...

If CHAPERONE somehow parlays its success in L.A. to NYC - it could be a dark horse contender, but like I say above - my hunch is that the NY critics aren't going to be as crazy about it. I don't know why, but the entire thing feels like TRIUMPH OF LOVE all over again.I could see the Marquis Theatre ultimately having at least three tenants in 2006...

JERSEY BOYS will get a nod, but few actual votes - and I'll predict that TARZAN will get the last nod, and will win.

watch THE TIMES THEY ARE A CHANGING and Michael Arden to creep into the mix

The thing is Jersey Boys is the closest jukebox musicals will get to high art so it is bound to get something. ASU was just a flimsy little story with Elvis songs thrown in.
If Jersey Boys is to win musical or even actor we might get more jukebox shows, like everyone has said. Producers will do anything for money and a crappy award.
The Tony people are probably not nominating jukebox musicals because they don't want anymore of them.

"Nevermind?" That's the Nirvana jukebox musical starring Barry Williams, right?

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Sadly, I agree with the arguments that Tony voters will have a hard time awarding Best Musical to a jukebox musical, no matter how good it is. I think most theater snobs would like to keep jukebox musicals marginalized as tourist attractions, and the fact that "Jersey Boys" has been both a critical and financial success must be really sticking in their craw. But I don't see how they can avoid awarding "Jersey Boys" Best Book and JLY Best Actor. Those are the two elements intelligent fans agree are driving the show's success.

I think Drowsy Chaperone has a good shot at Best Musical. That it is truly original and not taken from other source material, and that it is both a musical spoof and a love letter to musicals will work in its favor. I don't see Bob Martin beating JLY, but I think he's a lock for a nomination for a beautifully acted performance. And Sutton will definitely be nominated for Featured. Her big number stops the show and it is meant to.

Julia Roberts' nomination is a lock as long as she can walk and talk at the same time. The Tony Committee must be salivating at the prospect of having her at the ceremony and I'm sure she's already been invited to present on the broadcast. Cause we're all starf***ers in the end.

I just want to know where ALL SHOOK UP is on the list?! huh?

The ones with a $ are the ones i think will win.

I think best musical:

The Color Purple $
Lestat
Tarzan
Jersy Boys

Best Musical Revival:

Sweeny Todd $
The Treepenny Opera
The Pajama Game

Best Actress in a Musical:

LaChanze $
Laura Benanti
Patti LuPone
Carolee Carmello

Best Actor in a Musical:
Hugh Panaro $
Harry Connick Jr.
Michael Ceravis

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Ok I'm gonna say it, and mark my words if it happens I am never gonna let anyone forget it.

Best Musical Winner: Lestat

Also even if it does flop (which it won't) I will be shocked if Lestat doesn't win Sets and Costumes because they are really frickin incredible.

And another vote to Manoel for Supporting. =)