Early Predictions - 2006 Tony Nominees- Page 4

[Sleeper2]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 7:02am

My guesses on two match-ups:

Cerveris vs. JLY = Cerveris
Patti vs. LaChanze vs. Kelli O = LaChanze

But it's going to be a rough year -- I don't see any locks on anything at this point.

[Horton]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 7:21am

Does anybody else think that Lestat is sort of like Wicked, It also got mixed reviews out of town and it was worked on MAJORLY, and they both have a complete kick ass cast. And they are I believe both about the spectacle, not the actual plot/show. However Wicked, although it opened sporting mixed to negative reviews (however they did favor Chenoweth, especially B.B.) it was an upset when Avenue Q (in my mind rightly) wont the Tony. And I have a funny feeling that they same sort of think will happen in this situation. I mean let us really look at this. If worse comes to worse at least the cast will be nominated.

Just to add my opinion about something else in one post I really want Cerveris to win, I mean have never had an experience in the theater like the one he gave me and I don’t think I will ever have an experience like that ever again. I also thought that JYL was inferior to everything I expected of him, except his voice. And are we forgetting something the Tony Awards HATE jukebox musicals, and although I think that Hugh Panaro will be nominated, I don’t think that Hugh Panaro will win. Who else thinks that Carolee Carmello could win, I really like her in everything that she does (except Mama Mia, but that is a totally different story).

-Horton (the elephant)

[Thesbijean]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 11:43am

BEST NEW MUSICAL
1. Jersey Boys
2. Tarzan
3. The Color Purple
4. The Drowsy Chaperone

Possibly: Wedding Singer or Lestat

BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL
1. Sweeney Todd
2. The Pajama Game
3. Threepenny Opera

BEST NEW PLAY
1. Festen
2. Rabbit Hole
3. Shining City
4. The History Boys

Possibly: The Lieutenant of Inishmore or Well

BEST PLAY REVIVAL
1. Awake and Sing!
2. Faith Healer
3. Three Days of Rain
4. The Constant Wife

Possibly: The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial

BEST LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
La Chanze, The Color Purple
Maria Friedman, The Woman in White
Patti Lupone, Sweeney Todd
Kelli O'Hara, The Pajama Game
Chita Rivera, Chita Rivera: The Dancer's Life

Possibly: Laura Benanti

BEST LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Michael Cerveris, Sweeney Todd
Harry Connick Jr, The Pajama Game
Alan Cumming, Threepenney Opera
Bob Martin, The Dorwsy Chaperone
John Lloyd Young, Jersey Boys

Possibly: Josh Strickland or Stephen Lynch

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Donna Lynne Champlin, Sweneey Todd
Felicia P. Fields, The Color Purple
Sutton Foster, The Drowsy Chaperone
Cyndi Lauper, Threepenney Opera
Amy Spanger, The Wedding Singer

Possibly: Elizabeth Withers-Mendes, Ana Gasteyer, Beth Leavel, Diana DiMarzio, Megan Lawrence (THIS IS BY FAR THE TOUGHEST CATEGORY OF THE YEAR)

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Jim Dale, Threepenny Opera
Manoel Felciano, Sweeney Todd
Shuler Hensley, Tarzan
Michael McKean, The Pajama Game
Some Featured Male, The Drowsy Chaperone

BEST LEADING ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Kate Burton, The Constant Wife
Cherry Jones, Faith Healer
Cynthia Nixon, Rabbit Hole
Julia Roberts, Three Days of Rain
Zoe Wanamaker, Awake and Sing!

Possibly: Lisa Kron

BEST LEADING ACTOR IN A PLAY
Raplph Fiennes, Faith Healer
Ben Gazzara, Awake and Sing
Richard Griffiths, The History Boys
Michael Hayden, Festen
Oliver Platt, Shining City

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Lauren Ambrose, Awake and Sing!
Tyne Daly, Rabbit Hole
Julianna Marguiles, Festen
Martha Plimpton, Shining City
Lynn Redgrave, The Constant Wife

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Larry Brygmann, Festen
Ian McDiarmid, Faith Healer
Brian O'Byrne, Shining City
Paul Rudd, Three Days of Rain
One of the Boys, The History Boys

BEST DIRECTOR OF A MUSICAL
John Doyle, Sweeney Todd
Des MacAnuff, Jersey Boys
Kathleen Marshall, The Pajama Game
Casey Nicholaw, The Drowsy Chaperone

BEST DIRECTOR OF A PLAY
Robert Falls, Shining City
Nicholas Hytner, The History Boys
Joe Mantello, Three Days of Rain
Daniel Sullivan, Rabbit Hole

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Rob Ashford, The Wedding Singer
Donald Byrd, The Color Purple
Kathleen Marshall, The Pajama Game
Casey Nicholaw, The Drowsy Chaperone

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Tarzan
The Color Purple
The Drowsy Chaperone
The Wedding Singer

Possibly: Lestat or The Woman in White

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Jersey Boys
Tarzan
The Color Purple
The Drowsy Chaperone Updated On: 3/25/06 at 11:43 AM

[keatonbynumbers]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 11:47am

I haven't seen Lestat but I thought Carolee's role was pretty small? I mean, if she's nominated at all (and the woman is brilliant so I'm all for that, even though I haven't seen her yet), wouldn't it be Featured?

[Smaxie]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 12:03pm

Richard Griffiths will be nominated for Leading Actor in a Play for The History Boys, certainly over the likes of Michael Hayden or Paul Rudd.

[Thesbijean]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 12:03pm

Updated Updated On: 3/25/06 at 12:03 PM

[Smaxie]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 12:07pm

Griffiths will be. And he won the Evening Standard and the Olivier Awards for his performance.

[Wanna Be A Foster]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 12:25pm

Very comprehensive list, Thesbijean. Probably the best so far in this thread.

A few questions for you:

You left out Elisabeth Withers-Mendes from THE COLOR PURPLE for Best Featured Actress in a Musical. She shines significantly moreso than Felicia Fields. Withers-Mendes gets the most beautiful songs in the show and she more than does them justice. Personally, I can see them both being nominated, but as you said, this is the toughest category.

Also, can you add your predictions for Book & Score?

Updated On: 3/25/06 at 12:25 PM

[Thesbijean]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 12:29pm

Will do...

[EponineThenardier]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 3:32pm

Carolee was only in the 1st act of Lestat, and then show up again at the finale. I think it's been changed though, and she's in part of 2nd act at least. I'm not sure.

She defintely was the best of the actors in Lestat, she had the best handle on the character. I'd be surprised if she didn't get a nom.

Hugh I'm not sure about. His voice is amazing, but the point that I saw the show, he acting was a tad hit or miss. I did enjoy his performance though.

[LorelaiGilmore]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 4:29pm

What are the possibilities for the replacments?

[neomystyk29]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 4:49pm

Best Muscial:
Jersey Boys
Tarzan
Drowsy Chaperone
The Color Purple

Best Play:
The History Boys
Festen
Rabbit Hole
Shining City

Best Musical Revival:
Sweeney Todd
Pajama Game
Threepenny Opera

Best Play Revival:
Awake and Sing!
The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
Faith Healer
Three Days of Rain

Best Actor
John Lloyd Young
Michael Cerveris
Harry Connick Junior
Bob Martin
Alan Cumming

Best Actress
Patti Lupone
Kelli O'Hara
Lachanze
Chita Rivera
Maria Friedman

Best Featured Actress
Donna Lynne Champlin
Felicia P. Fields
Sutton Foster
Cyndi Lauper
Elisabeth Withers-Mendes


Updated On: 3/25/06 at 04:49 PM

[musicman89]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 6:58pm

BEST MUSICAL
The Color Purple OR The Drowsy Chaperone

I predict the nominees to be The Color Purple, Jersey Boys, Tarzan, and The Drowsy Chaperone. Tony voters vote with business in mind. Jersey and Color are already hits, Tarzan has the spectacle, and Drowsy Chaperone could be the dark horse, though I'm not sure if it will be as well-received in NY as it was in LA. Jersey and Tarzan will tour well; Purple, I'm not so sure about. Oprah will probably campaign hard through her show and other means, and besides Drowsy, Purple needs the award most in terms of longevity, IMO. Jersey Boys will never win, since the voters are not quite ready to fully embrace the jukebox musical.

BEST SCORE
Lisa Lambert and Greg Morrison, The Drowsy Chaperone

Mainly I pick this award to go to Drowsy to make up for the fact that Best Musical might go to Purple. Besides, it has the old classy Broadway sound that I'm sure many voters will love.

BEST BOOK
Marshall Brickman and Rick Elice, Jersey Boys

It is the book that is the most acclaimed thing from Jersey Boys, and in order to ensure that it continues to sell well for at least the next couple of years, I feel a Tony going to them.

BEST LEADING ACTOR
John Lloyd Young, Jersey Boys

Cerveris already has a Tony (granted for a Featured Actor role). Don't forget Brantley's love letter to Young, as well as all the other praise that has been placed upon him. Voters love fresh young talent.

BEST LEADING ACTRESS
LaChanze, The Color Purple

Same with Ceveris, LuPone already has a Tony. LaChanze is long overdue and delivers a wonderful performance.

BEST FEATURED ACTOR
Manoel Felciano, Sweeney Todd

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS
Elisabeth Withers-Mendes, The Color Purple OR
Beth Leavel, The Drowsy Chaperone OR
Cyndi Lauper, The Threepenny Opera

It could be Purple love, but to still make Drowsy not feel so bad for losing Best Musical, they might give this award to Leavel. Foster is probably going to be considered leading (the writers are beefing up her part). Lauper's performance is supposedly incredible. Definitely the hardest category this year.

BEST COSTUME, LIGHTING, SCENIC DESIGNS
Tarzan (I think...)

BEST REVIVAL
Sweeney Todd

BEST DIRECTOR
John Doyle, Sweeney Todd

Now, once all the spring season shows come out, including their reviews and public opinion, all of this will probably change. It already has within the past couple of hours.

Updated On: 3/25/06 at 06:58 PM

[QMAN03]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 6:59pm

Mark my words, Drowsy will win. It will be one of the last shows Tony Voters will see and it will stay with them.

[bwaylover2]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 7:06pm

i recently saw the color purple it sure looks like a tony for this wonderful show

[Thesbijean]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 7:07pm

Where does TARZAN have good word of mouth?

It has had ONE preview (I am not saying it won't, but it is too early to tell).

Also, Carolee will be fighting to get into THE toughest race of the year. With Pajama Game, Drowsy Chaperone, Sweeney, and Threepenny with multiple ladies eligible, plus Amy Spanger in Wedding Singer, I don't know where she fits in.

[ljay889]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 7:11pm

I wish they would just give Chita a lifetime achievement award instead of nominating her in the Best Actress category, which she obviously has no chance in.

Updated On: 3/25/06 at 07:11 PM

[mijofly19]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 7:16pm

BEST MUSICAL:
Jersey Boys (Winner)
The Color Purple
Tarzan
The Drowsy Chaperone

BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL:
Sweeney Todd (Winner)
The Pajama Game
Threepenny Opera

BEST ACTOR (MUSICAL):
John Lloyd Young (Winner)
Michael Cerveris
Harry Connick Jr.
Alan Cumming
Stephen Lynch

BEST ACTRESS (MUSICAL):
Patti LuPone
LaChanze (Winner)
Maria Friedman
Kelli O'Hara
Laura Benanti

BEST FEATURED ACTOR (MUSICAL):
Manoel Felciano (Winner)
Jim Dale
Michael McKean
Daniel Reichard or Christian Hoff
Shuler or someone from Drowsy

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS (MUSICAL):
Cyndi Lauper
Felicia P. Fields
Lauren Molina
Elisabeth Withers-Mendes
Someone from Drowsy

I have no clue on who'll win that last one. I don't know anything about Drowsy yet so I don't know who's eligible for what. I think Sutton will be nominated for whichever category she's eligible for.

[EponineThenardier]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 7:26pm

I'm sure John Doyle (Sweeney) is a lock for director. Both a nom and win. I can't see anyone else getting it.

[Thesbijean]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 7:27pm

I agree.

Though, I don't know if Sweeney itself is a lock.

[neddyfrank2]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 7:28pm

Best Musical
Tarzan
Drowsy Chaperone
Jersey Boys
The Color Purple

Best Revival-Musical
Sweeney Todd
The Pajama Game
Threepenny Opera

Best Actor
John Lloyd Young
Josh Strickland
Harry Connick Jr.
Michael Cerveris
Stephen Lynch

Best Actress
Patti LuPone
LaChanze
Kelli O'Harra
Maria Friedman
Chita Rivera


Updated On: 3/26/06 at 07:28 PM

[Thesbijean]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 7:31pm

Well, out of your Best Actors, Harry Connick Jr. will be the only one nommed. John Lyod Young, Josh Striktland, Michael Cervis, and Stephen Linch are not names of ANY actors on the Great White Way.



Sorry, just thought it was a little funny...

[BroadwayChica]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 7:32pm

I think we have to wait till Threepenny Opera opens before we can say if Sweeney's a lock or not. I don't really see Pajama Game winning over Sweeney.

I've said it before, but I think it's interesting that the 3 Revival candidates will all be more deserving of a Tony than any of the "Best Musical" nominees.

[jsrocks]

Posted: 3/25/06 at 8:19pm

I really think John Slattery should be in the Best Actor in a Play category as opposed to Best Featured. He was the other main character in Rabbit Hole and was an incredibly important character within the story. John's performance was amazing! I know I'm biased but that's not a factor here because he really puts his all into playing Howie Corbett.

But whatever happens, I just hope he gets nominated because John is long overdue for some recognition of his work!!

Updated On: 3/25/06 at 08:19 PM

[neomystyk29]

Posted: 4/11/06 at 11:37am

BEST MUSICAL:
The Color Purple (Winner)
Jersey Boys
Tarzan
The Drowsy Chaperone

BEST MUSICAL REVIVAL:
Sweeney Todd (Winner)
The Pajama Game
Threepenny Opera

BEST ACTOR (MUSICAL):
John Lloyd Young (Winner)
Michael Cerveris
Harry Connick Jr.
Alan Cumming
Bob Martin

BEST ACTRESS (MUSICAL):
Patti LuPone (Winner)
LaChanze
Maria Friedman
Kelli O'Hara
Chita Rivera

BEST FEATURED ACTOR (MUSICAL):
Manoel Feliciano (Winner)
Shuler Hensley
Danny Burstein
Christian Hoff
Brandon Victor Dixon

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS (MUSICAL): (hardest category)
Elisabeth Withers-Mendez (Winner)
Beth Leavel
Felicia P. Fields
Lauren Molina
Sutton Foster

Best Book:
The Drowsy Chaperone (Winner)
Jersey Boys
The Color Purple

Best Score
The Color Purple (Winner)
Tarzan
The Woman In White
The Wedding Singer
Updated On: 4/11/06 at 11:37 AM