Early Predictions - 2006 Tony Nominees- Page 2

[MargoChanning]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 1:37am

I also think John Lloyd Young will get a lot of votes for Best Actor. Not saying he'll win, but I don't think anyone is a lock in that category anymore.

[Theatreboy49]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 1:42am

I know the actress race is very tight but is Patti the big front runner?

[C is for Company]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 1:45am

Personally, I think top actress is going to be a surprise this year. Everyone seems to be thinking patti, my heart is set on LaChanze, but I'd reeeeeeally love to see maria win so much.

[MargoChanning]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 1:48am

Friedman very well may have won if WiW was still going to be open in June. Closing early probably cost her any chance at an award. I would think Lupone is still the favorite, with LaChanze as the runner-up.

[Smaxie]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 3:07am

defygravity2 wrote:

"In December, I told Bob Martin (From The Drowsy Chaperone) that I thought he would be the first actor that doesn't sing in a show to win a Tony for Best Actor in a Musical. I am placing my bets as we speak...."

Bad bet. Thomas Mitchell won a Tony for Best Actor in a Musical in 1953 for his non-singing role in Hazel Flagg.

[pennylane2]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 7:46am

do you really think color purple is a lock? i don't at all.. actually i hope it does not get nominated for best musical. i think that right now jersey boys is the only lock until we see tarzan, drowsy and wedding singer. but color purple?

[BroadwayChica]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 10:43am

I'd say the only locks to win right now are Sweeney Todd for best revival, and Manoel Felciano for featured actor in a musical. (with Michael Ball practically out of the running.) Which, of course, makes me giddy with joy. I'd say John Doyle is probably going to win best director, but for some reason, I wouldn't call it an absolute lock.

There are a lot of horse races in the other categories.I'm still pissed that they decided to run Chita Rivera's show in the musical category, thus depriving Miss Rivera of any chance at winning a Tony.

[best12bars]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 10:49am

I also predict Bob Martin will win for Best Actor in a Musical as well... for a non-singing, non-dancing performance.

It's completely brilliant.

[best12bars]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 10:59am

ddtruitt --- If all you think he's doing is "witty banter" and non-acting... you definitely didn't see his performance even remotely the way I did.... and it sounds like you left (or "tuned out") before the end of the show, too.

[YankeeGal#24]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 11:00am

What about Shuler Hensley and/or Chester Gregory being nominated for Featured Actor? I know Tarzan hasn't opened yet, but just speculating based on what I've heard from some "in the know".

[Scottie310]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 11:07am

I really don't want Michael Cerveris to win. Maybe I just saw him on an off night-but I really didn't think he was that great. He definetely deserves a nomination, but a win? I don't think so.
Manoel Felciano on hte other hand should with out a doubt win featured actor.

[senortenor]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 11:10am

I'm rooting for Jersey Boys.

[best12bars]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 11:34am

"Oh, by the way, you are right best12bars, I did see a READING of Drowsey that was an abridged version of the show...so I did not see the ending...but I loved Bob Martin...I just don't see him winning best actor in a musical against the others."

...That explains a lot.

[broadwaybelter]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 11:40am

I hope Color Purple will walk away with at least Leading Actress in a Musical award

[Thesbijean]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 11:47am

Featured Actress this year seems like it will be a VERY good race:

Donna Lynne Champlin
Diane DiMarzio
Lauren Molina
Felicia Fields
Amy Spanger
Roz Ryan
Megan Lawrence
Joyce Chittick
Sutton Foster
Beth Leavel

[LaCageAuxFollesFan2]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 11:50am

**I reserve my right to change these until I see them. But acording to Buzz, and from what I know of the talent behind these names/shows - I will give them an early Nomination shot!

MUSICAL
The Color Purple
Jersey Boys
Tarzan**
Drowsy Chaperone**

ACTOR
Harry Connick Jr.
John Lloyd Young
Michael Cerveris
Alan Cumming**
Bob Martin**

ACTRESS
Patti Lupone
Kelli O'Hara
LaChanze
Maria Friedman
Laura Benannti** or Chita Rivera

SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Felicia Feilds
Elisabeth Withers-Mendes
Beth Level**
Sutton Foster**
Lauren Molina or Megan Lawrence

SUPPORTING ACTOR
Manoel Felciano
Daniel Reichard
Michael McKean
Christian Hoff
Michael Ball (at one time I thought he had a lock on this competition, but now...) or Shuler Hensley**

CHOREOGRAPHY
Kathleen Marshall - PG
Randy Skinner - WS**
Casey Nicholaw - DC**
Donald Byrd - CP or Maurice Heins - HF**

MUSICAL REVIVAL
Three Penny Opera**
Sweeney Todd
The Pajama Game

PLAY
Rabbit Hole
The History Boys**
Shining City**
Festen**


PLAY Revival
The Odd Couple
Three Days of Rain**
Awake and Sing**
Faith Healer** or Court Marshall**

ACTOR in a PLAY
Nathan Lane
Oliver Platt**
Ralph Finees**

ACTRESS in a PLAY
Cynthia Nixon
Julia Roberts**
Cherry Jones**
Kate Burton

S ACTRESS in a Play
Tyne Daly
Mary Catherine Garrison
Deborah Rush
Jill Clayburgh
Martha Plimpton**

S ACTOR in a Play
John Gallegher Jr.
John Slattery

DIRECTOR MUSICAL
Sweeney Todd
The Pajama Game
The Drowsey Chaperone**
The Color Purple

DIRECTOR of a PLAY
Rabbit Hole
Shining City**
Three Days of Rain**
The History Boys**

It's honestly to early to predict some of these categories. And I will not even attempt the tech awards. But the above is what, as of now, I think deserves and should be nominated.

[TheaterAddict7652]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 12:14pm

I personally think that the Leading Actor/Actress categories are races between John Lloyd Young and Michael Cerveris and LaChanze and Patti LuPone, respectively.

[marcmcmartin]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 12:56pm

theateradict
I agree with you, although Cerveris did just win a supporting statue for Assasins the year before last. This could encourage voters to spread the wealth. I thought both perfomances were amazing.
Actress race is also a tough call--LaChanze really ACTS a great role and what she gets to sing--she gives her heartfelt all. That really shows.
Patti is a dream in a dream role. Not only does she give a totally different twist to the role (although the whole production does that) she totes that tuba like a trooper!

[jv92]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 12:59pm

JV92's 20052006 Tony Predictions:
(I really have no idea of the outlook on plays this year, so bear with me.)

Musical-
Color Purple
Drowsy Chaperone
Jersey Boys
Wedding Singer or Tarzan

Actor in a Musical-
Michael Ceveris
John Lloyd Young
Stephen Lynch
Harry Connick, Jr.

Actress in a Musical-
Patti Lupone
La Chanze
Kelly O'Hara
Chita Rivera

Featured Actor in a Musical-
Shuler Hensley
Michael McKean
Kingsley Leggs
Manoel Felciano

Featured Actress in a Musical-
Felica P. Fields
Elisabeth Withers-Mendes
Sutton Foster
Laura Molina

Choreography-
Kathleen Marshall (Pajama Game)
Rob Ashford (Wedding Singer)
Donald Byrd (Color Purple)
Casey Nicholaw (Drowsy Chaperone)

Director-
John Doyle (Sweeney Todd)
Kathleen Marshall (Pajama Game)
Garry Griffin (Color Purple)
Des McAnuff (Jersey Boys)

Musical Revival-
Threepenny Opera
Sweeney Todd
Pajama Game

Score-
Color Purple
Drowsy Chaperone
Wedding Singer
Tarzan (I'm sorry, it IS Disney, which is big in these kind of categories)

Book-
Droswsy Chaperone
Jersey Boys
Color Purple
(I'd give a nod to Wedding Singer, but it is supposed to be a mishmash right now.)

Scenery-
Color Purple
Tarzan
Drowsy Chaperone
Pajama Game

Costumes-
Color Purple
Wedding Singer
Tarzan
Pajama Game

Lighting-
Sweeney Todd
Color Purple
Tarzan
Threepenny Opera

[ljay889]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 1:09pm

I don't think I said this in this thread yet..

But I think Roz Ryan will have a great chance for a Best Featured Actress nomination.

Some are saying shes steals the show. The woman is one sassy and fantastic performer.

[jv92]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 1:11pm

Actually, I could predict some winners.

Score:
Drowsy Chaperone

Book:
Jersey Boys

Lighting:
Color Purple

Direction (Musical):
John Doyle

[jv92]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 1:29pm

My mistake. Sorry.

[Smaxie]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 2:41pm

For Supporting Actor in a Musical, Chester Gregory will probably get the nod, over Shuler Hensley.

I'm not certain that Drowsy's score is its best feature. The critics in L.A. didn't go wild over the songs, though they found them generally pleasant. Drowsy's book was well received, but I think Jersey Boys still is the one to beat in that category.

I also think John Lloyd Young might just have a lock on Best Actor in a Musical.

[YankeeGal#24]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 3:54pm

I absolutely agree with Chester Gregory getting the nod over Shuler Hensley for Featured Actor in a Musical. And Beth Leavel over Sutton Foster for Featured Actress (unless they both get the nod, which I'd love to see happen!).

Other picks:

Leading Actor in a Musical:
John Lloyd Young
Stephen Lynch
Harry Connick, Jr.
Micheal Cerveris
Alan Cumming

Actress in a Musical:
Patti Lupone
Jenn Gambatese
La Chanze
Maria Friedman
Chita Rivera

[Michael Bennett]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 3:58pm

If TARZAN lives up to the promise and the buzz I'm hearing from some industry insiders - it could pull another LION KING and clean up at the Tonys - even pushing John Doyle from the Best Director win.