Early Predictions - 2006 Tony Nominees

[ACL2006]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 6:04pm

What does everyone think will be the nominess for the 2006 Tony Awards??

Best Muscial:
Jersey Boys
Tarzan
Drowsy Chaperone
Ring of Fire

Best Play:
The History Boys
Festen
Rabbit Hole
Faith Healer

Best Musical Revival:
Sweeney Todd
Pajama Game
Threepenny Opera

Best Play Revival:
The Odd Couple
Barefoot in the Park
Awake and Sing!
Three Days of Rain

Thoughts??

[EponineThenardier]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 6:11pm

I somehow doubt Ring of Fire. Is Woman in White eligible now? I never read it's reviews, it might get a nom. Also I think Lestat may very well redeem itself.

[broadwaybelter]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 6:12pm

Ring of Fire....hmm....

[catstagestud]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 6:13pm

I haven't seen the shows yet but from what I've heard of people in NYC and on here the best musical category will be

Jersey Boys
The Color Purple
Tarzan
Drowsy Chaperone

I'm so stoked for my NYC trip!

Cheers,

C.

[BobbyBubby]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 6:13pm

Best Musical

Locks:
The Color Purple
Jersey Boys
Drowsy Chaperone

Possible:
Tarzan
Wedding Singer (if it pulls itself together)
Ring of Fire (though word of mouth is not good)

Dark Horses:
Woman in White
Lestat
Chita Rivera: A Dancer's Life

[WithoutATrace]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 6:17pm

i'll let you know after tonight if Ring of Fire deserves a nomination for Best Musical.

[MargoChanning]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 6:44pm

Advance word on Ring of Fire has been TERRIBLE. A friend went two nights ago and said tons of people walked out at intermission (and several even left during Act One). I give it a month (and zero Tony nods). It's looking more and more like:

Tarzan
The Color Purple
Drowsy Chaperone
Jersey Boys

Faith Healer is a revival, not a new play. Well by Lisa Kron or Shining City by Conor McPherson will take the fourth slot. My guess:

History Boys
Festen
Well
Rabbit Hole

As for Play revival:

Awake and Sing!
Three Days of Rain
Seascape
Faith Healer or The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial

Updated On: 2/12/06 at 06:44 PM

[jo]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 9:22pm

So far, I have tickets in early June for my return visit to NYC for --

SWEENEY TODD
JERSEY BOYS
TARZAN

THREE DAYS OF RAIN
HISTORY BOYS
FESTEN

sadly, I had to ask for a refund for THE WOMAN IN WHITE ( although I had seen it in December). I have also seen THE ODD COUPLE on a previous visit.

It looks like I may have a good chance of viewing the strong contenders.

Does anyone think that this year seems to be the year of the play?




Updated On: 2/11/06 at 09:22 PM

[YankeeGal#24]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 9:32pm

Since we're guessing, what about Best Leading Actor, Featured Actor, Leading Actress, Featured Actress? Any thoughts?

[matiboi]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 9:46pm

Leading Actress -
Maria Friedman
Kelli O'Hara
La Chanze
Patti LuPone
And either Gambatese or Benanti

Supporting -
Felicia Fields
Elisabeth Withers-Mendes
Amy Spanger
Either Donna Lynn Champlin or Lauren Molina
And someone else!

Posted: 2/11/06 at 9:50pm

jo, I heard Jersey Boys is an awesome show!! You're so lucky you're seeing it!! I get to see Mamma Mia and The Lion King! I'm so excited!!

[popular_elphie]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 9:54pm

I'm pretty sure that John Lloyd Young will get a nomination as Best Actor. People have been raving about his performance.

I'm really curious to the replacement nominations. That will happen this year, right?

[YankeeGal#24]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 10:53pm

"I'm really curious to the replacement nominations. That will happen this year, right?"

Yes it will, but I'm still not sure exactly how that works. I know the producers of the shows nominate the actor/actress, but beyond that, I don't know.

And yes, I think JLY will get a nomination too.

[jeremykushnier1fan]

Posted: 2/11/06 at 11:59pm

I hopeing that Jersey Boys will get something.

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 12:07am

and what if
THE TIMES THEY ARE A'CHANGING
slips in under the wire?

[Kevo711]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 12:14am

Best Musical:
The Color Purple
Jersey Boys
The Drowsy Chaperone
Tarzan or Wedding Singer

Best Actress in a Musical:
Patti Lupone
LaChanze
Kelli O'hara
Maria Friedman
Laura Benanti

Actor in a musical:
Michael Cerveris
John Loyd Yound

Those two are locks... I'm thing maybe Harry Connick Jr., Stephen Lynch, Josh Strickland... Or maybe someone from Drowsy Chaperone... who knows?

Featured Actress:
Felicia Feilds
Sutton Foster
Elisabeth Withers Mendes
Roz Ryan
Lauren Molina

Featured Actor:
Manoel Felciano
Daniel Reichard
Christian Hoff

Possibly Shuler Hensley or someone from The Wedding Singer...


Just my predictions

[timote316]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 12:28am

In My Life will sweep all the awards.
Best Musical
Best Director, Joe Brooks
Besk Book, Joe Brooks
Best Original Score, Joe Brooks
Best Scenic Design


Now that that has been said and laughed about... my two cents:

I still think its a two horse race for best musical, Color Purple vs. Jersey Boys. What will the Tony voters like more: Oprah or JB's ticket sales? It's sad when that's what matters, not the actual show.

For leading actress in a musical, it's down to Patti or LaChanze. However, I'm not going to count out Chita... its not like she's not believable as herself. It's certainly a strong year for leading females, as Maria Freidman, Kelli O'Hara, Sutton Foster, Laura Benati, Jenn Gambatese

I can't see JLY not getting at least a nomination. Remember Brantley's love letter? Harry Connick, Jr will also get a nom, as will Michael Cerveris. Rounding out this category will be Steven Lynch, Hugh Panaro or Kingsley Leggs, most likely. Josh Strickland may be a dark horse. This will be a close category, I do believe.

I'm thinking The Color Purple will take the Featured Actress category, either Felicia Fields or Elisabeth Withers-Mendes.

Featured Actor? I'd be willing at least one of the supporting members of Jersey Boys will be in here, and maybe Michael McKean. Brandon Victor Dixon may also get a nom. I can't see anyone but Manoel Felciano taking this, however.

Pajama Game or Threepenny Opera will have to be VERY good to overtake Sweeney for Best Revival.

It'll be interesting to see if they can find four or five scores to nominate for Best Score. There are only 7 original scores this year (Woman in White, In My Life, Color Purple, Lestat, Drowsy Chaperone, Wedding Singer, Hot Feet and Tarzan). Could Joe Brooks grab a nomination? CAN HE?

No.

[MargoChanning]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 12:32am

Is Hot Feet original or mostly old EWF songs?

There are four slots and I'm assuming it'll be

Drowsy Chaperone
The Color Purple
Tarzan
Wedding Singer or Woman in White

[Thesbijean]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 12:46am

Margo, Jersey Boys???

Best Muscial:
Jersey Boys
Tarzan
Drowsy Chaperone
The Color Purple

Best Play:
The History Boys
Festen
Rabbit Hole
Well

Best Musical Revival:
Sweeney Todd
Pajama Game
Threepenny Opera

Best Play Revival:
Awake and Sing!
The Caine Mutiny Court-Martial
Faith Healer
Three Days of Rain
Updated On: 2/12/06 at 12:46 AM

[MargoChanning]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 12:51am

Sorry, I wasn't clear. My last post was referring to Best Score predictions. My Best Musical picks are the same as yours.

[Michael Bennett]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 1:03am

I'm probably the only one, and true I didn't see the show, but I'm not at all confident the New York critics are going to be as excited by THE DROWSY CHAPERONE as their L.A. counterparts.

[Thesbijean]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 1:09am

haha, yeah, i think score will be:

Drowsy Chaperone
The Color Purple
Tarzan
Wedding Singer

[defygravity2]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 1:11am

In December, I told Bob Martin (From The Drowsy Chaperone) that I thought he would be the first actor that doesn't sing in a show to win a Tony for Best Actor in a Musical. I am placing my bets as we speak....

[EponineThenardier]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 1:21am

As long as Manoel wins supporting actor, I'll be happy.

[Theatreboy49]

Posted: 2/12/06 at 1:33am

Doesnt Michael Cerveris have a Tony lock for Sweeney. That's what it seems. And I hope Hugh Panaro gets the replacement Tony for Phantom.