Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

#1

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 5:12pm

Of the 26 categories this year, what do you think is the easiest one to predict this year.

I'm going to say Pippin for revival, or Kenneth Posner for something (although that's cheating a bit).

#2

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 5:15pm

Actually, Kenneth Posner is probably not going to win. So that wouldn't be a good prediction for you to make.

I think the safest bet is for Andrea Martin to win Best Featured Actress in a Musical.

#3

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 5:16pm

Best Featured Actress in a Musical.

#4

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 5:18pm

And honestly, I think the next best bets after that are for Vanya...Spike for Best Play and William Ivey Long for Best Costumes. THEN I'd say Pippin for Best Revival. Those would be the only 4 this year I'd be comfortable putting money on.

#5

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 5:20pm

I'd say Pippin for Revival and Martin for Best Featured Actress.

The rest- geez, who can say? Even though I think Vanya et al. is likely to take it, I could see the also well-received (and more conservative) Assembled Parties sneaking in

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"...everyone finally shut up, and the audience could enjoy the beginning of the Anatevka Pogram in peace."

#6

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 5:24pm

I almost said Martin....I'm glad Pippin's getting a good bit of love this year.

#7

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 5:42pm

Pippin winning best revival. Andrea Martin winning BSA and Patina winning BA.

#8

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 6:00pm

Andrea Martin for Featured Actress in a Musical...followed very closely by Pippin for revival.

#9

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 6:29pm

Pippin, but the two that SHOULD be locks are Virginia Woolf as Best Revival of a Play and Tracy Letts.

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CZJ at opening night party for A Little Night Music, Dec 13, 2009.

#10

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 6:40pm

Ken Posner will probably be the first loser with more votes than the wnner.

#11

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 9:21pm

Andrea Martin is the only lock. Everything else is a horse race.

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"The Spectacle has, indeed, an emotional attraction of its own, but, of all the parts, it is the least artistic, and connected least with the art of poetry. For the power of Tragedy, we may be sure, is felt even apart from representation and actors. Besides, the production of spectacular effects depends more on the art of the stage machinist than on that of the poet."
--Aristotle

#12

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 9:28pm

RaisedOnMusicals, I wouldn't be so sure about Letts. If Woolf was still open then I would certainly say he would be right there, but it's been gone for quite some time and Hanks has been great for the Broadway community. I think it will be a tight race between Hanks and Letts.

#13

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 10:12pm

Karen Cartwright for everything.

#14

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 10:59pm

I'm a little surprised that people don't think Pippin is a lock for Best Revival. I can't see any circumstance under which Annie, Cinderella, or Drood will win out over it. Pippin has the reviews, the box office, the buzz, and more nominations. Which of the other candidates are people thinking could be a surprise winner?

I think both Andrea Martin and Pippin are locks. I don't think anything else is.

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"What was the name of that cheese that I like?" "you can't run away forever...but there's nothing wrong with getting a good head start" "well I hope and I pray, that maybe someday, you'll walk in the room with my heart"

#15

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 11:36pm

Fire and Music, I LOLd - thank you!

#16

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/15/13 at 11:40pm

PIPPIN is very likely, but not a lock. There is slight possibility for an upset from DROOD. (PIPPIN will probably win, but DROOD has enough support that it's not out of the running yet).

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"The Spectacle has, indeed, an emotional attraction of its own, but, of all the parts, it is the least artistic, and connected least with the art of poetry. For the power of Tragedy, we may be sure, is felt even apart from representation and actors. Besides, the production of spectacular effects depends more on the art of the stage machinist than on that of the poet."
--Aristotle

#17

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/16/13 at 1:11am

Just saw Cinderella tonight. Without Pippin it could win. Pippin will take it. I pity parents with small children going to Cinderella Between sky high prices plus concessions for the little ones I will remember the poor parents in my prayers

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Poster Emeritus

#18

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/16/13 at 1:14am

I think Andrea Martin is the only sure thing. Everything else...who knows! Really, pretty much everything is up for grabs.

#19

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/16/13 at 1:24am

It's interesting that such a so-so theatrical season overall has yielded such an unpredictable Tony race. When was the last time so many of these award winners were so hard to predict? Even the relative locks have possible upsets not far behind.

#20

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/16/13 at 1:58am

Lots of potential for closed shows to be recognized...that's kind of exciting to me.

#21

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/16/13 at 8:07am

I think Pippin for revival has it in the bag. (I also tend to think Diane Paulus' time to win that directing Tony has come.) In all honesty, many of the Outer Critics' Circle Awards look like what may happen come June 9.

#22

Easiest Tony Award to Predict this year?

Posted: 5/16/13 at 9:00am

Supersam, I think you misinterpreted my post. What I was saying (or trying to say) is that both Letts and Virginia
Woolf SHOULD be locks to win, but clearly are not locks.

Pippin is a lock.

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CZJ at opening night party for A Little Night Music, Dec 13, 2009.