Final Tony Predictions in All Categories — Page 2
Posted: 6/4/26 at 5:21am
WldKingdomHM said: "I still can’t believe Sho is going to win for setting up a dinner table"
After seeing Ragtime recently I wouldn’t count Nichelle out. The material in Lost Boys doesn’t compare lift wise, though I’m a complete fan of Shoshana.
Posted: 6/4/26 at 11:06am
I'm generally not a Shoshana fan, but I found her performance in Lost Boys elevated the material. She was able to imbue the show with heart and humanity the rest of the show is sorely lacking. I'd be thrilled if she were to win. I've never understood the praise for Nichelle's performance and a win for her would be wholly unearned IMO.
Posted: 6/4/26 at 12:00pm
I thought Nichelle was amazing and is maybe suffering from being compared to Audra McDonald, who she is completely different from.
But I do agree that Shoshana completely elevated what she had to work with in Lost Boys. She was the best part of a pretty full show, and I think her being nominated without wins in recent years will push her towards a win this year. It’s an award with cumulative context
Posted: 6/4/26 at 12:22pm
getatme said: "I'm generally not a Shoshana fan, but I found her performance in Lost Boys elevated the material. She was able to imbue the show with heart and humanity the rest of the show is sorely lacking. I'd be thrilled if she were to win. I've never understood the praise for Nichelle's performance and a win for her would be wholly unearned IMO."
Wholly unearned is pretty darn dramatic. The woman is singing her face off at the very least in an extremely misguided production. There's some flat vocals on that Ragtime stage and she's not one of them. Let's be real.
Posted: 6/4/26 at 12:23pm
WldKingdomHM said: "TotallyEffed said: "WldKingdomHM said: "I still can’t believe Sho is going to win for setting up a dinner table"
Shoshana is going to win because she's exceptional in the part. Wild got some of the biggest applause of the evening. She is perfect for the role, Caissie is perfect in hers and both are going to win Tonys, so the correct choice was made. You can try to reduce her to a "woman in the kitchen role" but she's going to win a Tony and you're just the ass in this story. 
Posted: 6/4/26 at 12:25pm
getatme said: "I'm generally not a Shoshana fan, but I found her performance in Lost Boys elevated the material. She was able to imbue the show with heart and humanity the rest of the show is sorely lacking. I'd be thrilled if she were to win. I've never understood the praise for Nichelle's performance and a win for her would be wholly unearned IMO."
Correct. Both women are brilliant, but Shoshana absolutely elevated every scene she was in.
Posted: 6/7/26 at 6:26pm
As we are minutes away from The Tony Awards: Act One beginning, this is where I've settled on my predictions:
2026 Tony Predictions
Best Musical
Should win: The Lost Boys
Will win: Schmigadoon
Best Play
Should win: Liberation
Will win: Liberation
Best Revival of a Musical
Should win: Cats - The Jellicle Ball
Will win: Cats - The Jellicle Ball
Best Revival of a Play
Should win: Oedipus
Will win: Death of a Salesman
Best Leading Actor in a Musical
Should win: Joshua Henry, Ragtime
Will win: Joshua Henry, Ragtime
Best Leading Actress in a Musical
Should win: Caissie Levy, Ragtime
Will win: Caissie Levy, Ragtime
Best Leading Actor in a Play
Should win: John Lithgow, Giant
Will win: Nathan Lane, Death of a Salesman
Best Leading Actress in a Play
Should win: Lesley Manville, Oedipus
Will win: Lesley Manville, Oedipus
Best Featured Actor in a Musical
Should win: Layton Williams, Titanique
Will win: Ben Levi Ross, Ragtime
Best Featured Actress in a Musical
Should win: Ana Gasteyer, Schmigadoon
Will win: Nichelle Lewis, Ragtime
Best Featured Actor in a Play
Should win: Alden Ehrenreich, Becky Shaw
Will win: Alden Ehrenreich, Becky Shaw
Best Featured Actress in a Play
Should win: Betsy Aidem, Liberation
Will win: Laurie Metcalf, Death of a Salesman
Best Book of a Musical
Should win: Titanique
Will win: Schmigadoon
Best Score:
Should win: Two Strangers (Carry A Cake Across New York)
Will win: Two Strangers (Carry A Cake Across New York)
Best Scenic Design of a Play
Should win: Oedipus
Will win: Death of a Salesman
Best Scenic Design of a Musical
Should win: The Lost Boys
Will win: The Lost Boys
Best Costume Design of a Play
Should win: Liberation
Will win: Liberation
Best Costume Design of a Musical
Should win: The Lost Boys
Will win: Ragtime
Best Lighting Design of a Play
Should win: Oedipus
Will win: Death of a Salesman
Best Lighting Design of a Musical
Should win: The Lost Boys
Will win: The Lost Boys
Best Sound Design of a Play
Should win: Oedipus
Will win: Death of a Salesman
Best Sound Design of a Musical
Should win: The Lost Boys
Will win: The Lost Boys
Best Direction of a Play
Should win: Liberation
Will win: Liberation
Best Direction of a Musical
Should win: Cats - The Jellicle Ball
Will win: Cats - The Jellicle Ball
Best Choreography
Should win: Schmigadoon
Will win: Cats - The Jellicle Ball
Best Orchestrations
Should win: The Lost Boys
Will win: Cats - The Jellicle Ball
Posted: 6/9/26 at 3:44pm
How'd your Tony pool go? Anyone get a perfect score: 26 of 26? I was fortunate enough to tie with Cititour's Brian Scott Lipton and Queerty's Michael Musto for the No. 1 spot among the experts at GoldDerby.com. We got 22 out of 26, or 84.6%. Elsewhere, we were oneupped by Time Out New York's Adam Feldman, who got 23 out of 26. And at GoldDerby.com, where over 900 fans entered, he was oneupped by TheCineMike and Jroemer, who got 24 out of 26, or 92.3%.
For the record, if you had voted for all the frontrunners in the GoldDerby.com odds, you would've gotten 20 out of 26 right. The two categories that most everyone got wrong were: Featured Actor in a Musical, which went to Ali Louis Bourzgui (''The Lost Boys''), an upset over past Tony winner Andre deShields (''CATS'') and Drama Desk winner Ben Levi Ross (''Ragtime''); and Sound in a Musical, which went to Kai Harada (''Ragtime'') over ... Kai Harada, who also did ''CATS.'' To win any pool, you usually have to take chances. So even though I knew ''Death of a Salesman'' was likely to sweep the design categories because it's popular and still running, I made a ''hope-diction'' for David Korins' swiveling bank set for ''Dog Day Afternoon.'' Korins is so overdue to win a Tony, especially for his work on ''Hamilton,'' ''Beetlejuice'' and ''Here Lies Love.'' Here's hoping he succeeds soon: It'll just take another show & change of scenery.
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