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#26

Final Tony Predictions in All Categories

TotallyEffed said: "WldKingdomHM said: "I still can’t believe Sho is going to win for setting up a dinner table"



I'd love to see you attempt anything she is doing up on that stage.
"

I would love to ! Let’s go to a playground I’ll slide down a slide weeeee. Can you push ?

Updated On: 6/4/26 at 03:34 AM

#27

Final Tony Predictions in All Categories

WldKingdomHM said: "I still can’t believe Sho is going to win for setting up a dinner table"

After seeing Ragtime recently I wouldn’t count Nichelle out. The material in Lost Boys doesn’t compare lift wise, though I’m a complete fan of Shoshana. 

#28

Final Tony Predictions in All Categories

I'm generally not a Shoshana fan, but I found her performance in Lost Boys elevated the material. She was able to imbue the show with heart and humanity the rest of the show is sorely lacking. I'd be thrilled if she were to win. I've never understood the praise for Nichelle's performance and a win for her would be wholly unearned IMO.

#29

Final Tony Predictions in All Categories

I thought Nichelle was amazing and is maybe suffering from being compared to Audra McDonald, who she is completely different from. 
 

But I do agree that Shoshana completely elevated what she had to work with in Lost Boys. She was the best part of a pretty full show, and I think her being nominated without wins in recent years will push her towards a win this year. It’s an award with cumulative context 

#30

Final Tony Predictions in All Categories

getatme said: "I'm generally not a Shoshana fan, but I found her performance in Lost Boys elevated the material. She was able to imbue the show with heart and humanity the rest of the show is sorely lacking. I'd be thrilled if she were to win. I've never understood the praise for Nichelle's performance and a win for her would be wholly unearned IMO."

Wholly unearned is pretty darn dramatic. The woman is singing her face off at the very least in an extremely misguided production. There's some flat vocals on that Ragtime stage and she's not one of them. Let's be real. 

#31

Final Tony Predictions in All Categories

WldKingdomHM said: "TotallyEffed said: "WldKingdomHM said: "I still can’t believe Sho is going to win for setting up a dinner table"
 

Shoshana is going to win because she's exceptional in the part. Wild got some of the biggest applause of the evening. She is perfect for the role, Caissie is perfect in hers and both are going to win Tonys, so the correct choice was made. You can try to reduce her to a "woman in the kitchen role" but she's going to win a Tony and you're just the ass in this story. 

Final Tony Predictions in All Categories

 

 

#32

Final Tony Predictions in All Categories

getatme said: "I'm generally not a Shoshana fan, but I found her performance in Lost Boys elevated the material. She was able to imbue the show with heart and humanity the rest of the show is sorely lacking. I'd be thrilled if she were to win. I've never understood the praise for Nichelle's performance and a win for her would be wholly unearned IMO."

Correct. Both women are brilliant, but Shoshana absolutely elevated every scene she was in. 

#33

Final Tony Predictions in All Categories

As we are minutes away from The Tony Awards: Act One beginning, this is where I've settled on my predictions:

2026 Tony Predictions

 

Best Musical

Should win: The Lost Boys

Will win: Schmigadoon

 

Best Play

Should win: Liberation

Will win: Liberation

 

Best Revival of a Musical

Should win: Cats - The Jellicle Ball

Will win: Cats - The Jellicle Ball

 

Best Revival of a Play

Should win: Oedipus

Will win: Death of a Salesman

 

Best Leading Actor in a Musical

Should win: Joshua Henry, Ragtime

Will win: Joshua Henry, Ragtime

 

Best Leading Actress in a Musical

Should win: Caissie Levy, Ragtime

Will win: Caissie Levy, Ragtime

 

Best Leading Actor in a Play

Should win: John Lithgow, Giant

Will win: Nathan Lane, Death of a Salesman

 

Best Leading Actress in a Play

Should win: Lesley Manville, Oedipus

Will win: Lesley Manville, Oedipus

 

Best Featured Actor in a Musical

Should win: Layton Williams, Titanique

Will win: Ben Levi Ross, Ragtime

 

Best Featured Actress in a Musical

Should win: Ana Gasteyer, Schmigadoon

Will win: Nichelle Lewis, Ragtime

 

Best Featured Actor in a Play

Should win: Alden Ehrenreich, Becky Shaw

Will win: Alden Ehrenreich, Becky Shaw

 

Best Featured Actress in a Play

Should win: Betsy Aidem, Liberation

Will win: Laurie Metcalf, Death of a Salesman

 

Best Book of a Musical

Should win: Titanique

Will win: Schmigadoon

 

Best Score:

Should win: Two Strangers (Carry A Cake Across New York)

Will win: Two Strangers (Carry A Cake Across New York)

 

Best Scenic Design of a Play

Should win: Oedipus

Will win: Death of a Salesman

 

Best Scenic Design of a Musical

Should win: The Lost Boys

Will win: The Lost Boys

 

Best Costume Design of a Play

Should win: Liberation

Will win: Liberation

 

Best Costume Design of a Musical

Should win: The Lost Boys

Will win: Ragtime

 

Best Lighting Design of a Play

Should win: Oedipus

Will win: Death of a Salesman

 

Best Lighting Design of a Musical

Should win: The Lost Boys

Will win: The Lost Boys

 

Best Sound Design of a Play

Should win: Oedipus

Will win: Death of a Salesman

 

Best Sound Design of a Musical

Should win: The Lost Boys

Will win: The Lost Boys

 

Best Direction of a Play

Should win: Liberation

Will win: Liberation

 

Best Direction of a Musical

Should win: Cats - The Jellicle Ball

Will win: Cats - The Jellicle Ball

 

Best Choreography

Should win: Schmigadoon

Will win: Cats - The Jellicle Ball

 

Best Orchestrations

Should win: The Lost Boys

Will win: Cats - The Jellicle Ball

#34

Final Tony Predictions in All Categories

How'd your Tony pool go? Anyone get a perfect score: 26 of 26? I was fortunate enough to tie with Cititour's Brian Scott Lipton and Queerty's Michael Musto for the No. 1 spot among the experts at GoldDerby.com. We got 22 out of 26, or 84.6%. Elsewhere, we were oneupped by Time Out New York's Adam Feldman, who got 23 out of 26. And at GoldDerby.com, where over 900 fans entered, he was oneupped by TheCineMike and Jroemer, who got 24 out of 26, or 92.3%.

For the record, if you had voted for all the frontrunners in the GoldDerby.com odds, you would've gotten 20 out of 26 right. The two categories that most everyone got wrong were: Featured Actor in a Musical, which went to Ali Louis Bourzgui (''The Lost Boys''), an upset over past Tony winner Andre deShields (''CATS'') and Drama Desk winner Ben Levi Ross (''Ragtime''); and Sound in a Musical, which went to Kai Harada (''Ragtime'') over ... Kai Harada, who also did ''CATS.'' To win any pool, you usually have to take chances. So even though I knew ''Death of a Salesman'' was likely to sweep the design categories because it's popular and still running, I made a ''hope-diction'' for David Korins' swiveling bank set for ''Dog Day Afternoon.'' Korins is so overdue to win a Tony, especially for his work on ''Hamilton,'' ''Beetlejuice'' and ''Here Lies Love.'' Here's hoping he succeeds soon: It'll just take another show & change of scenery.

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