Final Tony Predictions in All Categories
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #1
Posted: 6/1/26 at 10:38pm
Best Play - Liberation
Best Musical - Schmigadoon!
Revival of A Play - Arthur Miller’s Death of A Salesman
Revival of A Musical - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Lead Actor in a Musical - Joshua Henry, Ragtime
Lead Actress in a Musical - Caissie Levy, Ragtime
Leading Actor in A Play - John Lithgow, Giant
Leading Actress in A Play - Susannah Flood, Liberation
Best Book of A Musical - Schmigadoon!
Original Score - Schmigadoon!
Scenic Design of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Scenic Design of A Musical - The Lost Boys
Costume Design of A Play - Joe Turner’s Come & Gone
Costume Design of A Musical - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Lighting Design of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Lighting Design of A Musical - The Lost Boys
Sound Design of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Sound Design of A Musical - The Rocky Horror Show
Direction of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Direction of A Musical - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Choreography - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Orchestrations - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Featured Actor in A Play - Rueben Santiago Hudson
Featured Actress in A Play - Betsy Aidem, Liberation
Featured Actor in a Musical - Andre De Shields, Cats
Featured Actress in A Musical - Shoshana Bean
Overall Tally
Death of A Salesman - 5
Cats: The Jellicle Ball - 5
The Lost Boys - 3
Schmigadoon - 3
Liberation - 3
Joe Turner’s Come & Gone - 2
Ragtime - 2
Giant - 1
The Rocky Horror Show - 1
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #2
Posted: 6/2/26 at 12:25am
Best Play - Liberation
Best Musical - Schmigadoon!
Revival of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Revival of A Musical - CATS: The Jellicle Ball
Lead Actor in a Musical - Joshua Henry, Ragtime
Lead Actress in a Musical - Caissie Levy, Ragtime
Leading Actor in A Play - John Lithgow, Giant
Leading Actress in A Play - Leslie Manville, Oedipus
Best Book of A Musical - Schmigadoon! or Two Strangers
Original Score - Two Strangers or Schmigadoon!
Scenic Design of A Play - Oedipus
Scenic Design of A Musical - The Lost Boys
Costume Design of A Play - Fallen Angels
Costume Design of A Musical - CATS: The Jellicle Ball
Lighting Design of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Lighting Design of A Musical - CATS: The Jellicle Ball
Sound Design of A Play - Oedipus
Sound Design of A Musical - CATS: The Jellicle Ball
Direction of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Direction of A Musical - CATS: The Jellicle Ball
Choreography - CATS: The Jellicle Ball
Orchestrations - Schmigadoon!
Featured Actor in A Play - Alden Ehrenreich, Becky Shaw
Featured Actress in A Play - Laurie Metcalf, Death Of A Salesman
Featured Actor in a Musical - Andre De Shields, CATS
Featured Actress in A Musical - Shoshana Bean
Cats: The Jellicle Ball - 7
Death Of A Salesman - 4
Schmigadoon! - 4
Oedipus - 3
Ragtime - 2
The Lost Boys - 2
Liberation - 1
Becky Shaw - 1
Giant - 1
Fallen Angels - 1
Awards the Tonys should be embarrassed they don't have yet:
Best Ensemble of a Play - Liberation / Becky Shaw / Death Of A Salesman
Best Ensemble of a Musical - CATS / Schmigadoon!
Best Hair & Wig Design - tie: CATS / Fallen Angels / Liberation
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #3
Posted: 6/2/26 at 6:42am
Lost boys- best musical and design categories and book, score, director, choreography, featured actress, featured actor
liberation- clean sweep, play, director, leading actress, featured actress, costumes
john Lithgow, Marla mindelle, Josh Henry, Richard Thomas
Stand-by Joined: 5/30/19
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #4
Posted: 6/2/26 at 9:25am
Best Musical – The Lost Boys
Revival of a Musical – Ragtime
Direction of a Musical – Bill Rauch & Zhailon Levingston
Original Score – The Lost Boys
Book of a Musical – Titanique
Lead Actor in a Musical – Joshua Henry, Ragtime
Lead Actress in a Musical – Marla Mindelle, Titanique
Featured Actor in a Musical – Ali Louis Bourzgui, The Lost Boys
Featured Actress in a Musical – Shoshana Bean, The Lost Boys
Scenic Design of a Musical – The Lost Boys
Lighting Design of a Musical – The Lost Boys
Sound Design of a Musical – CATS: The Jellicle Ball
Costume Design of a Musical – CATS: The Jellicle Ball
Choreography – CATS: The Jellicle Ball
Orchestrations – Schmigadoon!
Best Play – Liberation
Revival of a Play – Death of a Salesman
Direction of a Play – Death of a Salesman
Leading Actor in a Play – John Lithgow, Giant
Leading Actress in a Play – Leslie Manville, Oedipus
Featured Actor in a Play – Alden Ehrenreich, Becky Shaw
Featured Actress in a Play – Laurie Metcalf, Death Of a Salesman
Scenic Design of a Play – David Korins, Dog Day Afternoon
Costume Design of a Play – Fallen Angels
Lighting Design of a Play – Death of a Salesman
Sound Design of a Play – Oedipus
Awards the Tonys should be embarrassed they don't have yet:
Best Hair & Wig Design: CATS
The Lost Boys – 6
Ragtime – 2
Cats – 4
Titanique – 2
Schmigadoon – 1
Liberation – 1
Giant – 1
Death of a Salesman – 4
Oedipus – 2
Becky Shaw – 1
Fallen Angels – 1
Dog Day Afternoon – 1
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #5
Posted: 6/2/26 at 9:35am
Best Play - Liberation
Best Musical - Schmigadoon!
Best Revival of a Play - Death of a Salesman
Best Revival of a Musical - Ragtime
Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Play - John Lithgow, Giant
Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Play - Lesley Manville, Oedipus
Best Performance by a Leading Actor in a Musical - Joshua Henry, Ragtime
Best Performance by a Leading Actress in a Musical - Caissie Levy, Ragtime
Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Play - Alden Ehrenreich, Becky Shaw
Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Play - Laurie Metcalf, Death of a Salesman
Best Performance by a Featured Actor in a Musical - Ben Levi Ross, Ragtime
Best Performance by a Featured Actress in a Musical - Shoshana Bean, The Lost Boys
Best Direction of a Play - Joe Mantello, Death of a Salesman
Best Direction of a Musical - Lear DeBessonet, Ragtime
Best Book of a Musical - Cinco Paul, Schmigadoon!
Best Original Score - Jim Barne and Kit Buchan, Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
Best Scenic Design of a Play - David Korins, Dog Day Afternoon
Best Scenic Design of a Musical - Dane Laffrey, The Lost Boys
Best Costume Design of a Play - Jeff Mahshie, Fallen Angels
Best Costume Design of a Musical - Qween Jean, Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Best Lighting Design of a Play - Jack Knowles, Death of a Salesman
Best Lighting Design of a Musical - Michael Arden and Jen Schriever, The Lost Boys
Best Sound Design of a Play - Tom Gibbons, Oedipus
Best Sound Design of a Musical - Kai Harada, Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Best Choreography - Arturo Lyons and Omari Wiles, Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Best Orchestrations: Trevor Holder, Doug Schadt, Andrew Lloyd Webber, and David Wilson, Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #6
Posted: 6/2/26 at 9:41am
My predictions at the moment - may update this weekend with the NYT voter survey:
- Best play - LIBERATION
- Best musical - SCHMIGADOON!
- Best revival of a play - DEATH OF A SALESMAN
- Best revival of a musical - CATS: THE JELLICLE BALL
- Best leading actor in a musical - Joshua Henry, RAGTIME
- Best leading actress in a musical - Caissie Levy, RAGTIME
- Best leading actor in a play - John Lithgow, GIANT
- Best leading actress in a play - Lesley Manville, OEDIPUS
- Best original score – Jim Barne and Kit Buchan, TWO STRANGERS (CARRY A CAKE ACROSS NEW YORK)
- Best book of a musical – Cinco Paul, SCHMIGADOON!
- Best featured actor in a musical – Andre De Shields, CATS: THE JELLICLE BALL
- Best featured actress in a musical – Shoshana Bean, THE LOST BOYS
- Best direction of a musical - Bill Rauch and Zhailon Levingston, CATS: THE JELLICLE BALL
- Best scenic design of a musical – Dane Laffrey, THE LOST BOYS
- Best lighting design of a musical – Jen Schriever and Michael Arden, THE LOST BOYS
- Best sound design of a musical – Adam Fisher, THE LOST BOYS
- Best costume design of a musical – Qween Jean, CATS: THE JELLICLE BALL
- Best choreography – Omari Wiles and Arturo Lyons, CATS: THE JELLICLE BALL
- Best orchestrations – Doug Besterman and Mike Morris, SCHMIGADOON!
- Best direction of a play – Joe Mantello, DEATH OF A SALESMAN
- Best featured actor in a play – Alden Ehrenreich, BECKY SHAW
- Best featured actress in a play – Laurie Metcalf, DEATH OF A SALESMAN
- Best scenic design of a play – Chloe Lamford, DEATH OF A SALESMAN
- Best costume design of a play – Qween Jean, LIBERATION
- Best lighting design of a play – Jack Knowles, DEATH OF A SALESMAN
- Best sound design of a play – Tom Gibbons, OEDIPUS
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #7
Posted: 6/2/26 at 9:48am
Best Play - Liberation
Best Musical - Schmigadoon!
Revival of A Play - Arthur Miller’s Death of A Salesman
Revival of A Musical - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Lead Actor in a Musical - Joshua Henry, Ragtime
Lead Actress in a Musical - Caissie Levy, Ragtime
Leading Actor in A Play – Nathan Lane, Death of a Salesman
Leading Actress in A Play – Lesley Manville, Oedipus
Best Book of A Musical - Schmigadoon!
Original Score – Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
Scenic Design of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Scenic Design of A Musical - The Lost Boys
Costume Design of A Play – Fallen Angels
Costume Design of A Musical - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Lighting Design of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Lighting Design of A Musical - The Lost Boys
Sound Design of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Sound Design of A Musical – Cats the Jellicle Ball
Direction of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Direction of A Musical - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Choreography - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Orchestrations - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Featured Actor in A Play – Christopher Abbot, Death of a Salesman
Featured Actress in A Play – Laurie Metcalf, Death of a Salesman
Featured Actor in a Musical – Ali Louis Bourzgui – The Lost Boys
Featured Actress in A Musical – Ana Gasteyer – Schmigadoon!
Stand-by Joined: 3/16/17
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #8
Posted: 6/2/26 at 11:04am
Best Play - Liberation
Best Musical - Schmigadoon!
Revival of A Play - Arthur Miller’s Death of A Salesman
Revival of A Musical - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Lead Actor in a Musical - Joshua Henry, Ragtime
Lead Actress in a Musical - Caissie Levy, Ragtime
Leading Actor in A Play – John Lithgow, Giant
Leading Actress in A Play – Susannah Flood, Liberation
Best Book of A Musical - Schmigadoon!
Original Score – Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
Scenic Design of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Scenic Design of A Musical - The Lost Boys
Costume Design of A Play – Liberation
Costume Design of A Musical - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Lighting Design of A Play - Death of A Salesman
Lighting Design of A Musical - The Lost Boys
Sound Design of A Play - Oedipus
Sound Design of A Musical – Cats the Jellicle Ball
Direction of A Play - Liberation
Direction of A Musical - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Choreography - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Orchestrations - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Featured Actor in A Play – Ruben Santiago-Hudson, Joe Turner's Come and Gone
Featured Actress in A Play – Laurie Metcalf, Death of a Salesman
Featured Actor in a Musical – Andre De Shields – Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Featured Actress in A Musical – Shoshana Bean – The Lost Boys
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #9
Posted: 6/2/26 at 1:38pm
I'm thinking of it like this:
LOCKS
Best Play - Liberation
Revival of a Play - Death of a Salesman
Featured Actor in a Play - Alden Ehrenreich
Featured Actress in a Play - Laurie Metcalf
Lighting Design of a Play - Death of a Salesman
Lead Actor in a Musical - Joshua Henry
Lead Actress in a Musical - Caissie Levy
Costume Design of a Musical - Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Scenic, Lighting, Sound Design of a Musical - The Lost Boys
ALMOST LOCKS
Lead Actress in a Play - Lesley Manville. But have heard pockets of support for Carrie Coon and Susannah Flood
Featured Actress in a Musical - Shoshana Bean. But slight chance for Ana Gasteyer or Nichelle Lewis.
Orchestrations - Schmigadoon!. But slight possibility for Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Director of a Play - Joe Mantello. But slight chance for Whitney White.
Sound Design of a Play - Oedipus. It seems like this should win but sound can always choose something wacky!
TOSS UPS
Best Musical - I hear pretty equal support for Schmigadoon and Lost Boys
Revival of a Musical - Cats: The Jellicle Ball vs. Ragtime.
Lead Actor in a Play - John Lithgow vs. Nathan Lane.
Featured Actor in a Musical - Andre De Shield vs. Layton Williams vs. Ben Levi Ross vs. Ali Louis Bourzgui. I've heard support form voters for all four and I think this is totally up in the air.
Book of a Musical - Schmigadoon maybe? Strong challenges from Two Strangers and Titanique
Original Score - Schmigadoon! vs. The Lost Boys
Director of a Musical - Bill Rauch/Zhailon Levingston vs. Lear deBessonet. It's neck and neck.
Scenic Design of a Play - Death of a Salesman vs. Dog Day Afternoon vs. Fallen Angels
Costume Design of a Play - No obvious frontrunner. Fallen Angels or Joe Turner or Liberation
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #10
Posted: 6/2/26 at 1:52pm
TONY Awards Trivia: Should Lincoln Center's revival of Ragtime manage to sweep all four acting categories, it will make history as only the second production ever to win all four awards in a single year, what was the first?
Updated On: 6/2/26 at 01:52 PMFinal Tony Predictions in All Categories #12
Posted: 6/2/26 at 1:59pm
TONY Awards Trivia: This year's nominees for Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical are all first-timers, the last time this happened was what year? BONUS: Who was nominated?
Updated On: 6/2/26 at 01:59 PMFinal Tony Predictions in All Categories #13
Posted: 6/2/26 at 2:07pm
Name your one unanticipated sneak-in for a win.
Kelli O’Hara for Lead Actress in a play.
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #14
Posted: 6/2/26 at 2:35pm
malcs98 said: "TONY Awards Trivia: This year's nominees for Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role in a Musical are all first-timers, the last time this happened was what year? BONUS: Who was nominated?"
2002 - Sutton Foster, Vanessa Williams, Louise Pitre, Nancy Opel, and Jennifer Laura Thompson.
Broadway Legend Joined: 3/14/04
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #15
Posted: 6/2/26 at 8:29pm
This seems like the rare year where there's a genuine two-horse both for Best Musical (Lost Boys and Schmigadoon) and Best Musical Revival (Cats and Ragtime). Schimgadoon and Cats seem to be going in with the momentum, but both races really could go either way.
I was looking back to see when was the last year that this was the case. I think maybe 2012, when Best Musical was a fight to the finish between Once and Newsies. Best Revival went to Porgy & Bess, but if memory serves, a lot of people thought it might go to Follies.
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #16
Posted: 6/2/26 at 9:08pm
Rentaholic2 said: "This seems like the rare year where there's a genuine two-horse both for Best Musical (Lost Boys and Schmigadoon) and Best Musical Revival (Cats and Ragtime). Schimgadoon and Cats seem to be going in with the momentum, but both races really could go either way.
I was looking back to see when was the last year that this was the case. I think maybe 2012, when Best Musical was a fight to the finish between Once and Newsies. Best Revival went to Porgy & Bess, but if memory serves, a lot of people thought it might go to Follies."
Lost Boys winning would be an accurate representation of the pathetic and sad times Broadway is experiencing with new musicals. The material itself is weaker than Memphis.
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #17
Posted: 6/3/26 at 5:00pm
Whew, there were a lot of tough ones this year to predict. We'll see how it goes...
Best Musical: Schmigadoon!
Best Play: Liberation
Revival of a Musical: Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Revival of a Play: Death of a Salesman
Lead Actor in a Musical: Joshua Henry, Ragtime
Lead Actress in a Musical: Caissie Levy, Ragtime
Supporting Actor in a Musical: Andre De Shields, Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Supporting Actress in a Musical: Shoshana Bean, The Lost Boys
Lead Actor in a Play: John Lithgow, Giant
Lead Actress in a Play: Lesley Manville, Oedipus
Featured Actor in a Play: Ruben Santiago-Hudson, Joe Turner's Come and Gone
Featured Actress in a Play: Laurie Metcalf, Death of a Salesman
Director of a Musical: Zhailon Levingston & Bill Rauch, Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Director of a Play: Joe Mantello, Death of a Salesman
Choreography: Schmigadoon!
Original Score: Two Strangers (Carry a Cake Across New York)
Book of a Musical: Schmigadoon!
Orchestrations: Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Scenic Design of a Musical: The Lost Boys
Costume Design of a Musical: Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Lighting Design of a Musical: The Lost Boys
Sound Design of a Musical: Cats: The Jellicle Ball
Scenic Design of a Play: Death of a Salesman
Costume Design of a Play: Fallen Angels
Lighting Design of a Play: Death of a Salesman
Sound Design of a Play: Oedipus
Edited 6/4 - changed Featured Actor in a Play and Scenic Design of a Play
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #18
Posted: 6/3/26 at 9:19pm
blaxx said: "Rentaholic2 said: "This seems like the rare year where there's a genuine two-horse both for Best Musical (Lost Boys and Schmigadoon) and Best Musical Revival (Cats and Ragtime). Schimgadoon and Cats seem to be going in with the momentum, but both races really could go either way.
I was looking back to see when was the last year that this was the case. I think maybe 2012, when Best Musical was a fight to the finish between Once and Newsies. Best Revival went to Porgy & Bess, but if memory serves, a lot of people thought it might go to Follies."
Lost Boys winning would be an accurate representation of the pathetic and sad times Broadway is experiencing with new musicals. The material itself is weaker than Memphis."
Lost Boys is not winning, Schmigadoon is taking Best Musical TONY!
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #19
Posted: 6/3/26 at 10:33pm
I didn't predict this but I think there could be a world where Schmigadoon wins Best Musical and nothing else, which would be unprecedented I believe? (I didn't actually check though...)
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #20
Posted: 6/3/26 at 10:36pm
Mr. Wormwood said: "I didn't predict this but I think there could be a world where Schmigadoon wins Best Musical and nothing else, which would be unprecedented I believe? (I didn't actually check though...)"
Yes - there has never been a show that won Best Musical as its only award.
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #21
Posted: 6/3/26 at 10:45pm
It’s happened for best play before, most recently with VANYA AND SONIA AND MASHA AND SPIKE in 2013.
Can’t see that happening with LIBERATION, though. It takes one of either direction or costume design, as well as its top honor.
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #22
Posted: 6/3/26 at 11:39pm
I still can’t believe Sho is going to win for setting up a dinner table
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #23
Posted: 6/4/26 at 12:06am
WldKingdomHM said: "I still can’t believe Sho is going to win for setting up a dinner table"
I'd love to see you attempt anything she is doing up on that stage.
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #24
Posted: 6/4/26 at 2:02am
AC126748 said: "Mr. Wormwood said: "I didn't predict this but I think there could be a world where Schmigadoon wins Best Musical and nothing else, which would be unprecedented I believe? (I didn't actually check though...)"
Yes - there has never been a show that won Best Musical as its only award."
It will take orchestrations home too.
Final Tony Predictions in All Categories #25
Posted: 6/4/26 at 3:34am
TotallyEffed said: "WldKingdomHM said: "I still can’t believe Sho is going to win for setting up a dinner table"
I'd love to see you attempt anything she is doing up on that stage."
I would love to ! Let’s go to a playground I’ll slide down a slide weeeee. Can you push ?
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