How About Some VERY Preliminary Tony Predictions: 2011 — Page 2

If Aaron Tveit gets anywhere near the reviews he got for Catch Me when it was out of town, he'll definitely be nominated, and would have to be considered a serious contender to win.

A few possibilities (for the musicals anyway, I know even less about the new plays coming this spring, while at least most of the musicals have either opened or been seen in a prior production):

BEST MUSICAL
The Book of Mormon
Catch Me If You Can
Priscilla, Queen of the Desert
Sister Act

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Anything Goes
How to Succeed in Business Without Really Trying

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
The Book of Mormon – Robert Lopez, Trey Parker & Matt Stone
Bloody Bloody Andrew Jackson – Alex Timbers
Catch Me If You Can – Terrence McNally & Brian Yorkey
Sister Act - Cheri & Bill Steinkellner(/Douglas Carter Beane?)

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
The Book of Mormon – Robert Lopez, Trey Parker & Matt Stone
Catch Me If You Can – Marc Shaiman & Scott Wittman
The Scottsboro Boys – John Kander & Fred Ebb
Sister Act – Alan Menken & Glenn Slater

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Norbert Leo Butz – Catch Me If You Can
Daniel Radcliffe – How to Succeed in Business Without Really Trying
Andrew Rannells - The Book of Mormon
Tony Sheldon – Priscilla, Queen of the Desert
Aaron Tveit – Catch Me If You Can

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A LEADING ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Janet Dacal - Wonderland
Sutton Foster – Anything Goes
Rose Hemingway – How to Succeed in Business Without Really Trying
Donna Murphy – The People in the Picture
Patina Miller – Sister Act

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Nick Adams – Priscilla, Queen of the Desert
Joel Grey – Anything Goes
Christopher J. Hanke – How to Succeeed in Business Without Really Trying
John Larroquette – How to Succeed in Business Without Really Trying
Tom Wopat – Catch Me If You Can

BEST PERFORMANCE BY A FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Laura Benanti – Women on the Verge of a Nervous Breakdown
Kerry Butler – Catch Me If You Can
Nikki M. James - The Book of Mormon
Jessica Stone - Anything Goes
[Mother Superior] - Sister Act

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Rob Ashford – How to Succeed in Business Without Really Trying
Kathleen Marshall – Anything Goes
Jerry Mitchell – Catch Me If You Can
Susan Stroman – The Scottsboro Boys

BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL
Kathleen Marshall – Anything Goes
Casey Nicholaw & Trey Parker – The Book of Mormon
Jack O’Brien – Catch Me If You Can
Jerry Zaks – Sister Act

What's going on with Jerusalem, ontheboards?

I totally agree about Rabe in her category.

Rylance has some things to resolve with getting that production over here. It's a bit of messy legal stuff. He clearly wants to do it, and I'd say the odds are better than 50/50 but it is not a guarantee by any means.

If Rylance comes over and does it, it will be a fascinating race between him and Pacino (unless there's something else bravura out there I'm not considering?)

Rylance was spectacular when I saw him in Jerusalem, but, I don't think that's a very good play personally, and he has a win under his belt just recently, so that could count against (though it shouldn't).

Pacino I think would still have a chance to win even with an (expected) Rylance tour de force. I say that because, it's his presence that's turned Merchant into a ticket selling powerhouse, he has a rich legacy, and it's a bit of a career summation in a way.

Pacino however won't be on stage at the time of presentation I suspect, so that to me tips the scales in Rylance's favor, all other things being fairly equal.

But, to me, this is a 2 man race this season, if Rylance is indeed running in it (for Jerusalem I mean - he would not win for La Bete, though he was smashing).

Swenson has the last bow? Interesting. In London, Bernadette has the last bow, not Tick.

Swenson and Sheldon are definitely leading. Nick Adams could go either way. If the producers are smart, they will petition him to be featured (and not make the same mistake the producers of 9 to 5 made with Megan Hilty).

Also, in response to "I thought about Joshua Henry but is he in the leading category? If so, I figured they'd give it to John first."

John Cullum was ruled featured by the committee last week. (Rather, his name is under the title, and he wasn't promoted to leading.) Joshua Henry will be the only person from Scottsboro Boys eligible in that category.

Smaxie, what you mean "for precedent sake"?

Right. I thought you meant that the Oliviers did that BECAUSE of a precedent. Did you mean that the Tonys will probably do that since the precedent has been set BY the Oliviers?

This is a question, not a comment. I can't believe I'm not sure of this, but----can an actor win "Best Actor in a Musical" if the Musical is up for Best Revival and not Best Musical? I'm pretty sure the answer is yes---because Joel Grey has been listed here as one of the possibilities and "Anything Goes" will be a revival, but...

After seeing BLOODY BLOODY ANDREW JACKSON yesterday and LOVING it...I hope it earns AT LEAST these nominations.

*Best Musical
*Best Actor In A Musical - Benjamin Walker
*Best Featured Actress in a Musical - Kristine Nielsen
*Best Book
*Best Score
*Best Scenic Design (I mean, have you seen the theatre? That is commitment to the theme)

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Kinda bummed you guys don't think Sister Act's gonna get a nod for Best Score. Just sayin'.

The score is bubblegum pop: catchy and fun with some terrible lyrics. If Yazbek doesn't get nominated for Women on the Verge, then Sister Act shouldn't be either. WOTV's score is at least a league better than Sister Act's.

"The score is bubblegum pop: catchy and fun with some terrible lyrics. If Yazbek doesn't get nominated for Women on the Verge, then Sister Act shouldn't be either. WOTV's score is at least a league better than Sister Act's."

This is true.

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