Jarethan said: "The Mousetrap has been playing in London for something like 68 years. (Note: it is in a much smaller theatre than the enormous Majestic). The Mousetrap is not very good, i.e.,, for those of you who have not seen it, it is really sub-par summer stock. When I first saw it in 1982 or 1983, it was already a for-real tourist attraction, and that was 37 -38 years ago.
IMO there is no question that Phantom is a for-real tourist attraction in NYC. It has been doing steady discounted business for probably the last 15 years or so, and always seems to have quieter periods followed by healthy ones. If it is true that there is no stop clause,then individual weekly grosses don't reallymatter, as long as there are enough strong weeks to make up for the weak ones, which Phantom has had those far. I am thinking that there will be at least a 40th anniversary celebration, probably a 50th, as long as tourism remains healthy.
The one that is even more amazing to me is Lion King. It is doing much better business than Phantom was doing at this point in its run. Beyond some dynamic pricing in slow periods, to the best of my knowledge it has never been on TKTS, I have never received a mailing offering discounted prices, etc. I suspect that it will be with us for at least 20 more years, unless some incredible cataclysm happens. If Phantom ever does close, Lion King may eventually catch up with its run. So, I guess that I expect both of them to outlast me (a healthy 69 year-old).
No one called 2023 or any year at all, but Jarethan came the closest, I suppose, by saying the show would stick around as long as tourism remains healthy. And then the pandemic happened and the critical source of revenue for Phantom of the Opera - international tourists - dried up for a while. That was what struck me when I saw it last in 2017 and when I ever walked past the Majestic, that it was a show that relied to a large extent on overseas visitors to New York City who associated the show with Broadway - and didn't really need to understand English to enjoy.
It ran in San Francisco for five years in the 1990s, which seem kind of unbelievable too.
Because Phantom never closed and was simply regarded as an institution, it never had much of a critical reassessment either. It was just always there - and is the only Broadway show I ever saw twice in New York City, albeit 26 years apart
And now, as Jarethan noted three years ago, it's The Lion King that seems invulnerable - even more of a powerhouse than Phantom at the same stage of its run.
Updated On: 4/17/23 at 01:46 AM