The Golden Globes are a TERRIBLE predictor of Oscar wins in the Supporting actor/actress categories. They are often WAY of the mark, with winners in their categories not even scoring an Academy nomination, let alone a parallel win.
The SAG awards, in contrast, have been a pretty good indicator, although they are still a relatively new award. Their track record for matching "Oscar" is MUCH better than the Globes. This makes sense when you think about it, because SAG actors make up the largest voting body of the "select" members in the Academy. Actors opinions count the most for all Oscars, in other words. That's just the way they're set up. (They also have FOUR separate acting awards, more than any other professional field, so that would be why.)
And the Chicago Film critics awards, as flattering and lovely as they are, mean NOTHING when it comes to matching the Academy Awards. Check out their history, and you'll see what I mean.
"Jaws is the Citizen Kane of movies."
blocked: logan2, Diamonds3, Hamilton22
Updated On: 12/28/06 at 07:58 PM