I preface this by admitting ignorance of the mysterious dynamics of show business on Broadway. I also don't know how much business Mandy Patinkin will bring in during what seems like an awfully brief run as Pierre, but that won't stop me...
- Great Comet was always going to enter a dangerous time once Josh Groban left in early July and then much of the original cast leaves this fall. The show didn't win any major Tony awards, and its only "win" that evening as for the best performance on the telecast. But the show was not a runaway hit even with Groban. Getting excellent seats was easy a week before the show when I went in April. It was available on TKTS if I had wanted to go that route.
- Okieriete Onaodowan was never going to sell many tickets. Yes, he was part of the original cast of Hamilton, which certainly made him more familiar to many people, but I agree with Jarethan that he's simply not enough of a name to inspire many people to attend who wouldn't have gone anyway. Not zero people, certainly, but not enough when he was following a major recording star with a big following. It didn't matter if he was terrific, as many people say he's been. If the producers were counting on Oak to bring in Groban numbers, that seems quite stupid.
- The show, for some reasons that are obvious and others that are less clear to me, is expensive. I gather it's not losing money yet, or one of you would have mentioned it, but a $900K week - seemingly healthy - is actually ominous because that's happening during the summer. By the fall, with other shows opening and the weather getting colder, things could get awfully grim. Best case, the show is able to limp along, taking years to recoup, unless something changes to bring in more people. Is this correct? It seems that the producers believe so.
- The Mandy Patinkin move feels like a desperate ploy. I knows he has an impressive Broadway pedigree, and is more famous to average people now than he was then due to success in films and television. But what are the producers hoping for? Best case, they'll get numbers comparable to the end of Groban's run. (I doubt it.) But they'll have to pay him, and pay Oak for not showing up, and it will be over before it starts. Labor Day is coming, and who will play Pierre then?
- Yes, I agree that most people will overlook the fact that Patinkin is much too old to play Pierre. The character's age is a bit murky in the musical, and he's often removed from the others. I don't know whether he can play the piano, and assume he can't play the accordion, but that can just be ignored. Patinkin ought to be able to sing the part, and that will be good enough for many people who want to see him.
- The bad feelings about Oak getting dumped isn't that a black actor was replaced by a white actor. It was that the black actor was ousted, three weeks early, from a job he seemed to be handling well during his two weeks on the job. It's show business, but it's not irrelevant when black Broadway stars express outrage at how things were handled. It makes the Great Comet producers look bad, creating a public relations problem. That may not be fair, especially for a diverse show that features a black lead actress in an adaptation of War and Peace, but life isn't fair - especially when the producer's public statements are disingenuous at best. (I agree with dramarama611 that this tempest won't affect future casting decisions.)
- What's clear at this point is that Great Comet has a very doubtful future unless they bring in names big enough to draw people to the show who have resisted it until now. Tourists will want to see the best new musical, Dear Evan Hansen, or Bette Midler in Hello, Dolly, long-running shows for families, or new, adult-oriented musicials like The Band's Visit. I loved Comet, and would see it multiple times if I lived near New York City, but there apparently aren't enough people like me. The musical has a loyal following, of course, but not enough of one without awards, stars, or a large fan base. And soon enough, the original cast will start drifting away to other projects as contracts expire, casting further doubt on the show's viability. Won't that also make it difficult to attract those "big stars" the producers seem to need? Who wants to join a dying show?
Updated On: 7/26/17 at 09:21 PM