#26
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:01pm
Block has a good chance of being nominated, even is Pirate Queen flops. Look at Sutton and Little Women.
Michael Musto's Tony Predictions — Page 2
#27
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:04pm
I'm sure it came as a compliment from Musto.
#28
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:07pm
Block has a good chance of being nominated, even is Pirate Queen flops. Look at Sutton and Little Women.
Yes, but Sutton's nomination for LITTLE WOMEN came in a season where there was not much else competition among leading actresses. This season is completely different.
Yes, but Sutton's nomination for LITTLE WOMEN came in a season where there was not much else competition among leading actresses. This season is completely different.
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
Updated On: 11/28/06 at 01:07 PM
#29
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:09pm
The problem with Spring Awakening is that no matter how many people say the theater's been packed, it's playing to the opposite. If it gets great reviews, it has a shot of staying open. If it gets panned (which, with Brantley and Barnes, is likely), then it'll fold quickly. It's a word of mouth show. Look how well Jay Johnson, arguably the best reviewed thing this season (besides Utopia), faired with that.
#30
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:10pm
Johnson's New York Times review was mixed-negative.
Plus, comparing a new rock musical based on an acclaimed play to an odd ball "Special Theatrical Event" is apples vs. cheetos.
Plus, comparing a new rock musical based on an acclaimed play to an odd ball "Special Theatrical Event" is apples vs. cheetos.
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
Updated On: 11/28/06 at 01:10 PM
#31
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:13pm
Foster, I'm sorry, but I completely disagree with you on SPRING AWAKENING. I wish I saw what you did, but I don't. The score is what drives the show...and the show will run until all the theatre queens and angsty teens stop going.
"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy."
-Charlie Manson
#32
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:14pm
They can't even do Spring Awakening in schools. Yes, the topics may be applicable, but what Principal in their right mind would allow it to be produced?
I agree, Munk. The score is phenominal, the rest is just blah.
I agree, Munk. The score is phenominal, the rest is just blah.
Updated On: 11/28/06 at 01:14 PM
#33
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:16pm
They can't do RENT in schools either. It's been quite successful.
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
#34
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:17pm
I hope it gets good reviews, I really do. It's a very original piece, staging-wise. It's just missing a heart, something that only shines through during Spinella's performance of the bizarre funeral sequence.
Updated On: 11/28/06 at 01:17 PM
#35
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:20pm
"Does CURTAINS have the shelf life that SPRING AWAKENING will?"
Unless they've done a lot of work on it since LA the answer is DEFINATELY NO. Though Monk,Pierce and Hibbert were a lot of fun it was a huge waste of talent and money.
Unless they've done a lot of work on it since LA the answer is DEFINATELY NO. Though Monk,Pierce and Hibbert were a lot of fun it was a huge waste of talent and money.
Yes, we do need a third vampire musical.--Little Sally, Gypsy of the Year 2005.
#36
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:22pm
I think the show has plenty of heart. What sucks about it is that there is absolutely (save for maybe .5 of 1 character) no character development whatsoever. You never learn to know any of the characters, let alone care about what happens with them. It's sad because...well, it's always sad when someone so young dies. It would make it more impactful and meaningful if we cared more about them. I just didn't give a ****.
Another problem is the angsty, amateur tone to many of the scenes. The whole "OMG! You get beat! I've never been hit! Look she has welts scene!" is absolutely ridiculous. Are we supposed to feel bad for this girl because she is abused? Yes, it sucks - but I know NOTHING about this girl and can therefore feel NOTHING about the situation. Then there's a song about being sexually abused. Okay, that's great. Touching, tragic, sad. But then what? They completely abandon the story line. IT feels like what they're trying to do is touch on every teen angsty issue to cover the bases. Then they proceed. People die, people are sad, they sing a song about summer. I mean...to steal a rather famous quite...."Frankly my dear, I don't give a damn."
I feel like Brantley will give the show a very dismissive review. That is, if they don't just re-print Isherwood's.
Another problem is the angsty, amateur tone to many of the scenes. The whole "OMG! You get beat! I've never been hit! Look she has welts scene!" is absolutely ridiculous. Are we supposed to feel bad for this girl because she is abused? Yes, it sucks - but I know NOTHING about this girl and can therefore feel NOTHING about the situation. Then there's a song about being sexually abused. Okay, that's great. Touching, tragic, sad. But then what? They completely abandon the story line. IT feels like what they're trying to do is touch on every teen angsty issue to cover the bases. Then they proceed. People die, people are sad, they sing a song about summer. I mean...to steal a rather famous quite...."Frankly my dear, I don't give a damn."
I feel like Brantley will give the show a very dismissive review. That is, if they don't just re-print Isherwood's.
"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy."
-Charlie Manson
#37
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:24pm
Doing something in schools has nothing to do with Tony nominations.
As for Lea Michelle being in lead actress category, see Rita Moreno's speech when she won the Tony for The Ritz. She'll be considered featured.
I expect to Cheno, McDonald, Monk and Murphy to get raves, and they will be the noms. Of the other 3 contenders (Brown, Block and Bundy), only Bundy seems possible to me, if the show is a hit and she is one of the reasons.
As for Lea Michelle being in lead actress category, see Rita Moreno's speech when she won the Tony for The Ritz. She'll be considered featured.
I expect to Cheno, McDonald, Monk and Murphy to get raves, and they will be the noms. Of the other 3 contenders (Brown, Block and Bundy), only Bundy seems possible to me, if the show is a hit and she is one of the reasons.
"Carson has combined his passion for helping children with his love for one of Cincinnati's favorite past times - cornhole - to create a unique and exciting event perfect for a corporate outing, entertaining clients or family fun."
"In Oz, the verb is douchifizzation." PRS
"In Oz, the verb is douchifizzation." PRS
#38
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:26pm
Yeah, I don't see what the school argument has to do with anything.
I don't see the point of discussing Lea Michelle at all. She's fine in a boring role, and deserves no award.
Ebersole will win. I can't wait for that moment.
I don't see the point of discussing Lea Michelle at all. She's fine in a boring role, and deserves no award.
Ebersole will win. I can't wait for that moment.
"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy."
-Charlie Manson
#39
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:30pm
Indeed. This category's race is the nomination itself. And that is saying so much given this group of dazzlingly talented actors.
#40
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:31pm
Why would Monk have been ineligible for Prelude to a Kiss, Pump Boys and Dinettes, and Nick and Nora? If you're in the original cast of a Broadway show, you're eligible, either in leading or featured, even if you're just in the chorus. Monk's roles in all of those shows were larger than Marilyn Cooper's in Woman of the Year.
What I've heard suggests that Monk's role in Curtains should be in featured, where, as of now, it seems she might have a good shot at winning. In leading, let's face it, she wouldn't win.
I would think that everyone in Spring Awakening will be in featured unless the producers request otherwise, which would be foolish. I do think that Jonathan Groff would have a shot at a leading nomination if he were in that category. But he'd be better off in featured, although John Gallagher Jr., might beat him if they're both in that category. As of now, I'd say that Gallagher will be a serious contender in featured, even if Groff is in that category with him.
What I've heard suggests that Monk's role in Curtains should be in featured, where, as of now, it seems she might have a good shot at winning. In leading, let's face it, she wouldn't win.
I would think that everyone in Spring Awakening will be in featured unless the producers request otherwise, which would be foolish. I do think that Jonathan Groff would have a shot at a leading nomination if he were in that category. But he'd be better off in featured, although John Gallagher Jr., might beat him if they're both in that category. As of now, I'd say that Gallagher will be a serious contender in featured, even if Groff is in that category with him.
#41
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:33pm
CURTAINS will have all the shelf life it needs for this season's nominations, and that's all we're discussing in this thread.
Monk likely won't win in Leading, but she is the lead role, so putting her in Featured would be quite unfair to the competition.
Monk likely won't win in Leading, but she is the lead role, so putting her in Featured would be quite unfair to the competition.
Have I ever shown you my Shattered Dreams box? It's in my Disappointment Closet. - Marge Simpson
#42
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:34pm
I think Wilson has supporting all sewn up. All musical actresses have a tough year against Ebersole and Wilson.
"Carson has combined his passion for helping children with his love for one of Cincinnati's favorite past times - cornhole - to create a unique and exciting event perfect for a corporate outing, entertaining clients or family fun."
"In Oz, the verb is douchifizzation." PRS
"In Oz, the verb is douchifizzation." PRS
#43
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:35pm
If you're in the original cast of a Broadway show, you're eligible. Correct. What I'm saying is, someone who plays a small role (or smaller than everyone else) is not likely to be singled out. You don't see the nominations littered with "Chorus boy 17". It just doesn't happen. PUMP BOYS doesn't really lend itself to that, and we all know the story with NICK AND NORA.
The only one from SPRING AWAKENING that has a chance at being nominated is the terrific John Gallagher, Jr.
The only one from SPRING AWAKENING that has a chance at being nominated is the terrific John Gallagher, Jr.
"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy."
-Charlie Manson
#44
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:36pm
Many musicals are yet to open, but thus far, I do agree that Mary Louise Wilson has the award. She deserves it.
"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy."
-Charlie Manson
#45
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:41pm
I don't think we can be too confident about Wilson winning supporting this year, although she certainly gives a deserving performance. Granted, the show has improved since the off-broadway production, but let's not forget that she was up against last year's contenders (I would say a much weaker mix than this year's) at the Drama Desks, since they consider Broadway and Off. And she didn't win. In this much deeper year, it should be even harder for her to pull off a win. I would say she has a decent shot, but definitely not a lock.
#46
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:43pm
And Ziemba has a couple on back-order, so she might cash one of those in.
Have I ever shown you my Shattered Dreams box? It's in my Disappointment Closet. - Marge Simpson
#47
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:43pm
nobodyhome, I agree that Gallagher has a fantastic shot at winning for Featured Actor. He would beat Groff.
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
Updated On: 11/28/06 at 01:43 PM
#48
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:43pm
Doodle JUST said that everyone will have a tough time beating Ebersole...
"If you are going to do something, do it well. And leave something witchy."
-Charlie Manson
#49
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:44pm
I agree that the only person who could beat out any of Musto's predictions is Bundy, and only if Legallly Blonde is exceptionally good and she gets carried along in the wave. The big question mark to me is not Monk, but Donna Murphy. We know very little about LoveMusik. It certainly has the pedigree, but if it ends up being a disaster, Murphy won't be nominated.
"What was the name of that cheese that I like?"
"you can't run away forever...but there's nothing wrong with getting a good head start"
"well I hope and I pray, that maybe someday, you'll walk in the room with my heart"
#50
Posted: 11/28/06 at 1:44pm
Monk's role in NICK & NORA was not large enough to get a nomination, IMO. The only supporting role in that show that *could* have gotten a nomination was Faith Price's role.
I too, hope that Mary Louise Wilson wins the supporting actress Tony next year. She totally deserves it!
I too, hope that Mary Louise Wilson wins the supporting actress Tony next year. She totally deserves it!
Tickets From $59
Tickets From $71
Tickets From $71
Tickets From $95