Michael Musto's Tony Predictions — Page 4

Those were the only predictions Musto made in that patricular column:
Last week's column

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As much as I think I'd like Spring Awakening, I don't think it will get really any nominations as far as acting. And there's no way it's the next Rent. Rent is something totally different. Rent deals with 20somethings living life, whereas Spring Awakening is just a story about teens "coming of age." Just because it has rock music in it doesn't mean its the next Rent.

Hon, you haven't seen SPRING AWAKENING.

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The "race" is really to see who is getting nominated. Ebersole should have this award wrapped up by now. If she doesn't win, well, then the problems the Tonys have are much worse than I thought.

Of the nominees, I would say the one with the greatest potential to be bounced in favor of someone else is Donna Murphy. I could see her spot going to either Laura Bell Bundy, Stephanie Block, or even Ashley Brown. If Pirate Queen is a complete disaster, they may shut it out entirely, despite Block's apparently solid performance. If Legally Blonde is a hit (which it has an outside of becoming), Bundy could ride that wave to a nomination. Otherwise, I think Murphy gets nominated.

As long as Ebersole wins, I don't care who the other nominees are.

For anyone who thinks Ashley Brown, Laura Bell Bundy, or Stephanie J. Block will be nominated, I'd really like to know who you think is going to be eliminated (out of Ebersole, Chenoweth, McDonald, Monk, and Murphy).

And it would be WONDERFUL if John Gallagher Jr. got a nomination for Spring Awakening. He reaaallllllly deserves one.

Sorry if this has been answered elsewhere, but do we know (or have a guess) if Brian D'Arcy James and Marc Kudisch will be considered leading or featured?

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The only reason people are drawing comparisons between Monk and Merman is because the sub-plot involving Monk's character in Curtains has to do with a mother-daughter relationship somewhat reminiscent of Gypsy.
As I've said before, Monk's role is not a leading role in the way Ebersole, Brown, Bock, Bundy, Murphy, Chenoweth, and McDonald are. That is mainly because Curtains is an ensemble-driven piece much in the same way The Drowsy Chaperone is (not to start drawing comparisons between the two shows). However, within that ensemble, Debra Monk definitely provides a great performance and comes close to stopping the show with a couple of numbers, and she truly is the queen of one-liners (the afternoon I saw the show, the house burst out in laughter at her first line). So she definitely deserves a nomination.
I am surprised so many people are doubting Donna Murphy's chances. This is the woman who has been nominated for every single leading role she has played on Broadway and has won twice (many agree that it was her health problems that stopped her from winning the third time, not gonna beat a dead horse though). I'm also ignoring the other times she has been nominated for Drama Desk Awards for her Off-Broadway performances and the fact she did her first Broadway show when she was a sophomore at Tisch. Plus, she will be directed by Hal Prince. Seeing Murphy perform live on stage is a master class (Ashley Brown should head to the Biltmore soon and learn a few things or two). I have absolute trust that Murphy will--as usual--give a splendid performance and will most likely pick up a Tony nod along the way.

Just an fyi it will be between Christine Ebersole and Chenoweth.
IF Ebersole loses the World is messed up!

Updated On: 11/28/06 at 10:57 PM

I would like Lea Michele to get a nomination but it is probably not going to happen. Lea IS the female lead in Spring Awakening and will def not be considered for the feature category.Anything Donna Murphy does is amazing and, she will get a nomination. Kristin Chenoweth has done the thee roles in The Apple Tree at Encores and has gotten praise for it. Anyway she is amazing and will get a nomination. I have heard Ebersole is amazing and will get a nod. Audra is Audra. Of course she will get a nod. You can't doubt somebody who already has four Tonys.

Updated On: 11/28/06 at 11:06 PM

Christine needs to win this year. I also hear that Jackie Hoffman is killing everyone in REGRETS ONLY.
IF ONLY I COULD SEE IT. If anyone has a ticket I would gladly buy it. That is the hardest ticket in Town.
Plus, I hear it is a contender for a Drama Desk.
But have I seen it? NO! Do I want to see it YES.
Would I kill for a ticket? YES!

I haven't seen any performance besides Block's, so I really have nothing to base it on, but she was incredible in her role. It is a shame for her that the field is so tightly packed, because in a less heavy year, I think she would be a lock for a nom for sure. I'm still holding out hope that she'll be able to pull it off, somehow, though. She deserves it.

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InfiniteTheaterFrenzy, I will be very surprised if John Gallagher Jr. does not get a nomination. He does some hardcore acting up there, and he has the best voice in the cast. Personally I think he has a great shot at winning.

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This season's musicals are *filled* to the brim with past Tony winners. Regardless of how the nominations pan out, this season is going to be very exciting.

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I love Gallagher. He was terrific in RABBIT HOLE, and absolutely wonderful in SPRING AWAKENING.

He definitely has the edge thus far, but don't be surprised if John McMartin wins the award. It will be his lifetime achievement Tony. Gallagher has a decent chance of being nominated, but I doubt he will win.

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