The real story is the inevitability of major snubs this year, since there are more than 5 potential nominees in all of the acting categories! (:
There are 14 plausible lead actor in a play nominees; 11 lead actresses. I'm convinced that we'll be discussing major major snubs on the 13th!
The featured actress in a musical category is so crowded that it is inevitable that truly deserving nominees will be left off the list - fasten your seat belts, it's going to be a bumpy morning!!
WBaF- I completely agree with you on all those predictions. Too bad that GLORY DAYS wont be eligible...I would go for THE LITTLE MERMAID for a nod at Best Score, in place of GD.
The real story is the inevitability of major snubs this year, since there are more than 5 potential nominees in all of the acting categories! (:
There are 14 plausible lead actor in a play nominees; 11 lead actresses. I'm convinced that we'll be discussing major major snubs on the 13th!
The featured actress in a musical category is so crowded that it is inevitable that truly deserving nominees will be left off the list - fasten your seat belts, it's going to be a bumpy morning!!
See my first post for my revised final list of predictions.
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
If YOUNG FRANK gets a score nom I will faint. LITTLE MERMAID should get it over Mel's terrible score. and the ruling for Laurents is just baffling. I know you all love the production but the man has directed it three times on Broadway. That should throw that ruling right out the window, everytime Yul Brynner played the King, he should have been nominated? Read THE MAKING OF GYPSY and you will see Laurents made significant changes each time he directed it and thought they were definitive.
I agree with WannaBe's original musical director choices but Laurents will probably be included with the new ruling.
"Oh look at the time, three more intelligent plays just closed and THE ADDAMS FAMILY made another million dollars" -Jackie Hoffman, Broadway.com Audience Awards
IF Mermaid gets any nominations, and that's a big IF, the only ones it may have a chance at are score, maybe a generous feat. actress nom for Sherie Rene Scott, and lighting (which I think has the best chance, since it was the only thing that looked halfway decent about the show).
I completely agree. I don't think Ashley will get a nomination...and I really hope Dan Knechgtes doesn't get a nomination for XANADU's choreography. It's really nothing worth nominating. YOUNG FRANKENSTEIN deserves the nod over XANADU for choreography.
I agree with most of the nominations, however, I think there might be more nods for Top Girls, which may or should bump out Cyrano as it is a terrific revival and the women are fabulous, especially Plimpton and Marvel. I think Xanadu will not be bumped, if anything does it might be Passing Strange. But I guess we will find out Tuesday.
"Love the Art in Yourself. Not Yourself in the Art." -- Stanislavski
As of right now, these are my predix (just musical categories; alternate nominees in parentheses; probable winners in caps):
Best Musical A Catered Affair IN THE HEIGHTS Passing Strange Xanadu (Cry-Baby)
Best Revival of a Musical Grease Gypsy SOUTH PACIFIC Sunday in the Park with George
Best Lead Actor in a Musical Daniel Evans, Sunday in the Park with George Cheyenne Jackson, Xanadu LIN-MANUEL MIRANDA, IN THE HEIGHTS Paulo Szot, South Pacific Tom Wopat, A Catered Affair (Stew, Passing Strange)
Best Lead Actress in a Musical Kerry Butler, Xanadu PATTI LUPONE, GYPSY Kelli O'Hara, South Pacific Faith Prince, A Catered Affair Jenna Russell, Sunday in the Park with George (Mandy Gonzalez, In the Heights)
Best Featured Actor in a Musical Daniel Breaker, Passing Strange Danny Burstein, South Pacific ROBIN DE JESUS, IN THE HEIGHTS Christopher Fitzgerald, Young Frankenstein Boyd Gaines, Gypsy (Matthew Morrison, South Pacific)
Best Featured Actress in a Musical LAURA BENANTI, GYPSY Andrea Burns, In the Heights Olga Merediz, In the Heights Sherie Rene Scott, The Little Mermaid Mary Testa, Xanadu (Jackie Hoffman, Xanadu, but maybe Sutton Foster because, after all, she is Sutton Foster)
Best Original Score A Catered Affair Cry-Baby IN THE HEIGHTS Passing Strange (Young Frankenstein)
Best Book of a Musical A Catered Affair In the Heights Passing Strange XANADU (Cry-Baby or Young Frankenstein)
Best Direction of a Musical SAM BUNTROCK, SUNDAY IN THE PARK WITH GEORGE Thomas Kail, In the Heights Arthur Laurents, Gypsy Bartlett Sher, South Pacific (Christopher Ashley, Xanadu)
Best Choreography of a Musical Rob Ashford, Cry-Baby ANDY BLANKENBUEHLER, IN THE HEIGHTS Christopher Gattelli, South Pacific Susan Stroman, Young Frankenstein (Dan Knechtges, Xanadu)
Best Orchestrations of a Musical A Catered Affair IN THE HEIGHTS Passing Strange Sunday in the Park with George (South Pacific)
Best Scenic Design of a Musical In the Heights South Pacific SUNDAY IN THE PARK WITH GEORGE Young Frankenstein (A Catered Affair)
Best Costume Design of a Musical A Catered Affair In the Heights South Pacific SUNDAY IN THE PARK WITH GEORGE (Cry-Baby)
Best Lighting Design of a Musical In the Heights PASSING STRANGE The Little Mermaid Young Frankenstein (South Pacific)
Best Sound Design of a Musical IN THE HEIGHTS Passing Strange South Pacific Sunday in the Park with George (Gypsy)
All-in-all: In the Heights: 7 wins Sunday in the Park with George: 3 wins Gypsy: 2 wins South Pacific: 2 wins Xanadu: 1 win
I know that people have been trying to hate on In the Heights on this board, but they are the same people who hated on Spring Awakening and were so sure that Grey Gardens would win everything (Passing Strange this year). The Tonys this year are gonna be all about In the Heights.
Also, the Lortel Awards. How can Passing Strange be snubbed by them, but win several Tonys? Probably won't happen. In the Heights forced a tie for Best Musical last year, right? A tie with not just any musical, but a tie with the same show that won 8 Tony Awards last year, Spring Awaknening. This process doesn't seem as complicated as some people want it to be.
I have only seen Mandy nominated (Predictions) once on the boards, She will be nominated. In the Playbill article of who is lead or whatever she was put in as the lead. So I have a feeling if they went through the trouble of finding the lead she will be nominated, she has no chance of winning but she will get the nom!
I think that this year's MUSICAL awards may be very spread out. I just don't think that there is any ONE show that has been such a standout that it will dominate the evening. And, frankly, I'm okay with the TONYS sharing the love.
Laughter is much more important than applause. Applause is almost a duty. Laughter is a reward.
Carol Channing
Drunk Chita Rivera, I would love to see Mandy Gonzalez get a nomination. But I just don't think one of the initial five is going to be bumped out to include Gonzalez.
Who do you see getting bumped?
"Winning a Tony this year is like winning Best Attendance in third grade: no one will care but the winner and their mom."
-Kad
"I have also met him in person, and I find him to be quite funny actually. Arrogant and often misinformed, but still funny."
-bjh2114 (on Michael Riedel)
