Post Your Final 2018 Tony Nomination Predictions!- Page 2

[Lindsay is a goddess]

Posted: 4/27/18 at 10:53pm

I’m frankly surprised anyone is still predicting Renée Fleming getting nominated. All accounts of her performance were that she sang beautifully and didn’t do much else. I’m a crowded category like this one, that won’t be enough. Plus Lindsay Mendez pretty much owns the CAROUSEL vote.

As for MEAN GIRLS, I could see Park, Rockwell, and Weed all getting nominated, while the other two noms could go to Lindsay Mendez and Lea Salonga/Kenita Miller/Diana Rigg.

[Robbie2]

Posted: 4/27/18 at 11:12pm

BEST FEATURED ACTOR MUSICAL

Norbert Leo Butz, My Fair Lady

Grey Henson, Mean Girls

Gavin Lee, SpongeBob SquarePants

Ari'el Stachel, The Band's Visit

Tony Yazbeck, Prince of Broadway

 

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS MUSICAL

Lindsay Mendez, Carousel

Kenita R. Miller or Lea Salonga, Once on This Island

Ashley Park, Mean Girls

Diana Rigg, My Fair Lady

Kate Rockwell, Mean Girls

[Robbie2]

Posted: 4/27/18 at 11:30pm

BEST ACTRESS MUSICAL

Lauren Ambrose, My Fair Lady

Hailey Kilgore, Once On This Island

Katrina Lenk, The Band's Visit

Taylor Louderman, Mean Girls

Patti Murin, Frozen

 

BEST ACTOR MUSICAL

Harry Hadden-Paton, My Fair Lady

Joshua Henry, Carousel

Tony Shalhoub, The Band's Visit

Ethan Slater, SpongeBob SquarePants

***possibly only 4 nominations or

5th spot _________?__________

[Lindsay is a goddess]

Posted: 4/27/18 at 11:51pm

There will only be four nominees for Leading Actor. With less than seven eligible candidates, they’re only obligated to nominate four.

[TheSassySam]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 8:49am

Best Musical 

• The Band's Visit
• Mean Girls
• Frozen
• SpongeBob Squarepants

 

Best Revival 

• My Fair Lady
• Carousel
• Once on this Island 

 

Best Play 

• Harry Potter
• Farinelli and the King 
• Junk
• Latin History for Morons
• The Children

 

Best Revival of a Play

• Angels in America
• The Iceman Cometh
• Three Tall Women
• Saint Joan
• Lobby Hero

 

Best Actor in a Musical 

• Tony Shaloub, The Band’s Visit 
• Ethan Slater, Spongebob
• Joshua Henry, Carousel 
• Harry Hadden-Paton, My Fair Lady

 

Best Actress in a Musical 

• Lauren Ambrose, My Fair Lady
• Katrina Lenk, The Band’s Visit
• Hailey Kilgore, Once on this Island
• Jessie Mueller, Carousel
• Taylor Louderman, Mean Girls

 

Best Featured Actor in a Musical 

• Norbert Leo Butz, My Fair Lady
• Gavin Lee, Spongebob
• Ari’el Stachel, The Band’s Visit
• Alex Newell, Once on this Island
• Grey Henson, Mean Girls 

 

Best Featured Actress in a Musical 

• Diana Rigg, My Fair Lady 
• Lindsay Mendez, Carousel
• Ashley Park, Mean Girls
• Lilli Cooper, Spongebob
• Lea Salonga, Once on this Island

 

Best Actor in a Play

• Andrew Garfield, Angels in America
• Mark Rylance, Farinelli and the King
• Denzel Washington, The Iceman Cometh
• Joshua Jackson, Children of a Lesser God
• Steven Pasquale, Junk

 

Best Actress in a Play

• Glenda Jackson, Three Tall Women
• Condola Rashad, Saint Joan
• Amy Schumer, Meteor Shower
• Lauren, Children of a Lesser God

 

Featured Actor in a Play 

• Colm Meaney, The Iceman Cometh 
• Nathan Lane, Angels in America
• James McArdle, Angels in America
• Michael Cera, Lobby Hero
• Sam Clemmett, Harry Potter

 

Featured Actress in a Play

• Laurie Metcalfe, Three Tall Women
• Denise Gough, Angels in America
• Alison Pill, Three Tall Women
• Laura Benanti, Meteor Shower
• Susan Brown, Angels in America

Updated On: 4/28/18 at 08:49 AM

[Wayman_Wong]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 1:36pm

Kad: You really know your stuff, but I'm curious about your prediction of Annis and Findlay in ''The Children'' for Leading Actress. They're both billed below the title in the Playbill, and I can't find a Tony eligibility ruling that bumps them up to Leading. Do you know if MTC petitioned for them, and was it granted?

I also ask because yesterday, the Tony rulings seemed to make it clear that if there were 9 contenders in a category, they could be 5 nominees. So far, I only count 8 in Best Actress in a Play: Garofalo, Jackson, McGovern, Rashad, Ridloff, Schumer, Taylor, Thurman. If Annis and Findlay were OK'd, that makes 10.

Updated On: 4/28/18 at 01:36 PM

[JBroadway]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 1:39pm

I believe all three actors from The Children are featured. I think they could have made an argument for Annis being leading, but it seems that didn't happen. In another year I think all 3 of them could have easily picked up nominations, but between Angels, Potter, and Three Tall Women, I think the category might be too crowded for them to get in, which is a shame. 

[Wayman_Wong]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 1:42pm

JBroadway, so will there will only be 4 nominees for Best Actress, since they didn't make the requisite 9 candidates? 

Updated On: 4/28/18 at 01:42 PM

[JBroadway]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 1:55pm

Wayman_Wong said: "JBroadway, so will there will only be 4 nominees for Best Actress, since they didn't make the requisite 9 candidates?"

 

I think so! Although I'm hesitant to say "yes" because I feel like I keep making incorrect statements about the number of candidates in each category, because I forget about one show or another. 

[MadsonMelo]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 2:24pm

Olivia Wilde - 1984

Amy Schumer - Meteor Shower

Uma Thurman - The Parisian Woman

Lauren Riddloff - Children of a Lesser God

Condola Rashad - Saint Joan

Glenda Jackson - Three Tall Women

Janeane Garafalo - Marvin's Room

Lili Taylor - Marvin's Room

Elizabeth McGovern - Time and Conways

There's exactly 9 contenders, so 5 nominees? I don't know, but I believe Wilde is lead.

[JBroadway]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 2:41pm

No one was above the title in 1984, and it seems only Sturridge was bumped up to lead. So Olivia Wilde will be in featured. So that would make it 8 candidates, and only 4 nominees. 

[MadsonMelo]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 3:07pm

Well, I assume it's anyone's game for that final slot. I'm torn between Schumer and Taylor.

[JudyDenmark]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 3:13pm

Here's mine. As always, it's the featured actor/actress categories that are the hardest to predict. I'm expecting at least one out-of-left-field surprise. Like, watch someone like Jai'len Christine Li Josey pop up unexpectedly. (I don't think I'd argue with that!)

BEST MUSICAL
The Band's Visit*
Frozen
Mean Girls
SpongeBob SquarePants

BEST REVIVAL OF A MUSICAL
Carousel
My Fair Lady
Once on This Island*

BEST PLAY
1984
The Children
Farinelli and the King
Harry Potter and the Cursed Child*
Junk

BEST REVIVAL OF A PLAY
Angels in America*
Lobby Hero
The Iceman Cometh
Three Tall Women
Travesties

BEST ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Harry Hadden-Paton, My Fair Lady*
Joshua Henry, Carousel
Tony Shalhoub, The Band's Visit
Ethan Slater, SpongeBob SquarePants

BEST ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Lauren Ambrose, My Fair Lady
Hailey Kilgore, Once on This Island
Katrina Lenk, The Band's Visit*
Taylor Louderman, Mean Girls
Patti Murin, Frozen

BEST ACTOR IN A PLAY
Andrew Garfield, Angels in America*
Tom Hollander, Travesties
Jamie Parker, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Mark Rylance, Farinelli and the King
Denzel Washington, The Iceman Cometh

BEST ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Glenda Jackson, Three Tall Women*
Condola Rashad, Saint Joan
Lauren Ridloff, Children of a Lesser God
Lili Taylor, Marvin’s Room

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A MUSICAL
Norbert Leo Butz, My Fair Lady*
Grey Henson, Mean Girls
Gavin Lee, SpongeBob SquarePants
Alex Newell, Once On This Island
Ari'el Stachel, The Band's Visit

(In my dream world, Phillip Boykin or Etai Benson sneaks in there in place of Newell and/or Henson... I actually wouldn’t be shocked if there was a sixth in this category this year. Too many solid options.)

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A MUSICAL
Lindsay Mendez, Carousel
Kenita R. Miller, Once On This Island*
Ashley Park, Mean Girls
Kate Rockwell, Mean Girls
Barrett Wilbur Weed, Mean Girls

...With maybe Diana Rigg in place of one of the Mean Girls 

BEST FEATURED ACTOR IN A PLAY
Anthony Boyle, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Nathan Lane, Angels in America*
James McArdle, Angels in America
Seth Numrich, Travesties
Nathan Stewart-Jarrett, Angels in America

BEST FEATURED ACTRESS IN A PLAY
Laura Benanti, Meteor Shower
Noma Dumezweni, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Denise Gough, Angels in America*
Laurie Metcalf, Three Tall Women
Alison Pill, Three Tall Women 

BEST DIRECTION OF A MUSICAL
Michael Arden, Once on This Island
David Cromer, The Band's Visit*
Casey Nicholaw, Mean Girls
Tina Landau, SpongeBob SquarePants
Bartlett Sher, My Fair Lady

BEST DIRECTION OF A PLAY
Marianne Elliott, Angels in America*
James Macdonald, The Children
Joe Mantello, Three Tall Women
Patrick Marber, Travesties
John Tiffany, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child

BEST BOOK OF A MUSICAL
Tina Fey, Mean Girls
Kyle Jarrow, SpongeBob SquarePants
Jennifer Lee, Frozen
Itamar Moses, The Band's Visit*

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Nell Benjamin and Jeff Richmond, Mean Girls
Robert Lopez and Kristen Anderson-Lopez, Frozen
David Yazbek, The Band's Visit*
Various, SpongeBob SquarePants

BEST ORCHESTRATIONS
Imogen Heap, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
AnnMarie Milazzo and Michael Starobin, Once on This Island*
Jamshied Sharifi, The Band's Visit*
Jonathan Tunick, Carousel
Claire van Kampen, Farinelli and the King

(I know Band's Visit is pretty much a lock to win this, but I can't not also pick OOTI since I loved those orchestrations, and I'm so thrilled that they nominated a vocal arranger! Hoping for a tie, though obviously not holding my breath.)

BEST CHOREOGRAPHY
Camille A. Brown, Once on This Island
Christopher Gattelli, SpongeBob SquarePants
Steven Hoggett, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Casey Nicholaw, Mean Girls
Justin Peck, Carousel*

BEST COSTUME DESIGN IN A MUSICAL
Sarah Laux, The Band's Visit
Christopher Oram, Frozen
Clint Ramos, Once on This Island*
David Zinn, SpongeBob SquarePants
Catherine Zuber, My Fair Lady

BEST COSTUME DESIGN IN A PLAY
Lorraine Ebdon-Price, Farinelli and the King*
Nicky Gillibrand, Angels in America
Tim Hatley, Travesties
Katrina Lindsay, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Paloma Young, Time and the Conways

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN IN A MUSICAL
Kevin Adams, SpongeBob SquarePants
Jules Fisher & Peggy Eisenhauer, Once on This Island
Natasha Katz, Frozen
Tyler Micoleau, The Band's Visit*
Kenneth Posner, Mean Girls

BEST LIGHTING DESIGN IN A PLAY
Neil Austin, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child*
Neil Austin, Travesties
Paule Constable, Angels in America
Tim Reid, 1984
Paul Russell, Farinelli and the King

BEST SCENIC DESIGN IN A MUSICAL
Dane Laffrey, Once on This Island*
Christopher Oram, Frozen
Scott Pask, The Band's Visit
Michael Yeargan, My Fair Lady
David Zinn, SpongeBob SquarePants

BEST SCENIC DESIGN IN A PLAY
Miriam Buether, Three Tall Women
Tim Hatley, Travesties
Christine Jones, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child*
Chloe Lamford, 1984
Ian MacNeil, Angels in America

BEST SOUND DESIGN IN A MUSICAL
Kai Harada, The Band's Visit
Peter Hylenski, Frozen
Peter Hylenski, Once on This Island
Walter Trarbach, SpongeBob SquarePants*
Marc Salzberg, My Fair Lady

BEST SOUND DESIGN IN A PLAY
Adam Cork, Travesties
Ian Dickinson, Angels in America
Gareth Fry, Harry Potter and the Cursed Child
Tom Gibbons, 1984*
Darron L. West, Lobby Hero

Updated On: 4/28/18 at 03:13 PM

[GeorgeandDot]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 5:30pm

^I agree with your predictions. I'd love a sixth nominee for Featured actor. I'd love to see John Cariani sneak in there. I also hope to see Kenita R. Miller win. It would such a thrilling surprise.

I have to say though, Tony Shalhoub gave the most memorable lead actor performance of the year for me. Even though his singing is minimal, his acting is phenomenal and his chemistry with Katrina is brilliant. Actually, I would give Tony, Katrina, and John Tonys for the work in The Band's Visit with fearured actress going to Kenita. All three give truly beautiful, heartfelt performances without any of the typical musical theater glitz and glamour.

[Wayman_Wong]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 7:27pm

I wonder if MTC petitioned Findlay or Annis for Leading Actress, and got shot down. As we can see, the Tonys ruled that Tom Sturridge eligible for Leading Actor, but is it possible that ''1984'' also petitioned Olivia Wilde, but that got rejected? We usually only hear about the rulings they granted, not the ones they nixed. 

Updated On: 4/28/18 at 07:27 PM

[CindersGolightly]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 8:25pm

I really don't believe Diana Rigg deserves to be or will be nominated. If she is nominated, I'd have a hard time believing it was for more than just her name. I'd much rather have the three "Mean Girls" ladies snag nominations. Park, Rockwell, and Weed are all much more deserving.

[CurtainPullDowner]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 8:30pm

No way Rigg (or even Salong or Fleming) will be snubbed over 3 Mean Girls unless the nominating committee is filled with teenagers. One mean girl will be enough.

[CindersGolightly]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 8:42pm

Yeah, no, that's not what I was saying. Rigg, though a legend, is not giving a Tony worthy performance. Just my opinion. I also don't think Fleming is giving us anything new with her Nettie. I'd be shocked to see Rigg nominated, though I expect Fleming to be. But I'd much rather see Ashley Park and Barrett Wilbert Weed nominated over two women being nominated solely on their name alone. Again, my opinion, but if Fleming and Rigg were just starting out, their performances wouldn't even be mentioned for possible Tony love.

[MadsonMelo]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 8:59pm

I believe the three Mean Girls' actresses are ahead of Rigg, Fleming and, even, Miller.

[GeorgeandDot]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 9:01pm

I don't know how Renee Fleming was early in previews, but she was a joy to watch when I saw her earlier this month. She just lights up the stage and is one of the few good things about the production. I really would love to see her land a nom. Rigg is a legend, but I didn't feel like she did anything other than deliver about 5 lines and werk some stunning costumes. I still hope and think she'll probably get nominated.

My noms for Featured Actress would be:

Kenita R Miller- Once on this Island
Lindsay Mendez- Carousel
Kate Rockwell- Mean Girls
Renee Fleming- Carousel
Diana Rigg- My Fair Lady

I also think Ashley Park could replace Rockwell.

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 9:02pm

I do think all three Plastics will get nominations (and while I think Louderman and Rockwell are the only two who really deserve them, Park has been getting a lot of love from other nominating committees this season already).

However, I'll eat my hat if Barrett Weed gets a Tony nomination on Tuesday.

[CindersGolightly]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 9:07pm

I don't think Barrett will be nominated either, but I do wish she would be. It seems as though they were pushing her above everyone else for a nomination, and for awhile it looked as though she'd be joining Rockwell, but Ashley Park has been nominated for every single award under the sun at this point. 

I agree, all three of the Plastics will probably be nominated.

[GeorgeandDot]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 9:09pm

The Mean Girls really are not THAT good. They're just playing bitchy teens in a flat, nasal voice. They're funny and all, but you really don't need to nominate all of them. It's not like they're all giving complex, virtuosic performances. Choose the standout of the featured actresses (either Rockwell or Park) and nominate Grey Hanson and Louderman.

[BroadwayConcierge]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 9:17pm

Agreed, GeorgeandDot. In a more regularly competitive season, I don't think any of the Mean Girls performers wouldn't even be in the running for a nomination. They are not certainly "Tony-worthy" performances (though I do stand by my opinion that Kate Rockwell's Karen is comedic gold and was the best part of the show). It's just a really sparse season.

[GeorgeandDot]

Posted: 4/28/18 at 9:26pm

I agree, which is why I'm pushing people like Rigg and Fleming as somewhat of a lifetime achievement nomination like Mary Beth Peil last year. I'd rather see them nominated over Weed or Park (I adore), who I feel are giving fine, but not Tony worthy performances.