Show Closings - Predictions?? — Page 3

Um...may I question:
Passing Strange - Winter 2008 (this will not do well at the Tonys, it won't be able to stay)
In the Heights - Spring 2009 (Small show, not a HUGE fanbase, 1 year run, not that bad)
The Little Mermaid - Fall 2009 (Disney recognizes its horror, they'll be getting the Lunt-Fontanne ready for another Disneyflop)
Legally Blonde - February 2010 (almost 3 years, not bad at all, but the next Elle will most likely close it, unless Becky Gulsvig gets it and closes it)
Mary Poppins - Summer 2010 (Not Disney's best, heck anything after Aida wasn't Disney's best, but it will take a major dip over 2009 and it will close in summer 2010)
(Possibly) The Lion King
(Possibly) Mamma Mia! - I have a feeling that they're going to want to close on their 10th anniversary.
I have a feeling that Wicked will celebrate 20 years.

? Little Mermaid makes almost $1 million a week. No closing notice yet.

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In other words, Rent was supposed to close the other day.

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Xanadu 2 years!?! Really, Xanadu been doing terrible since around it's 8th month, if it doesn't score big with Tonys and their gross picks up I can't see it lasting even 6 more months.

Let's predict how old musicaltheatrefan3 is.

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In the range of 12-14.

5.

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I should be in bed now too, I'm 16.

Updated On: 6/3/08 at 11:11 PM

Yeah, no offense (or is there?) but saying all of these shows ae closing so soon is kindda depressing.

So soon? Wicked running 20 years, Gypsy having its longest run ever and shows selling at 60% lasting until 2010 is too soon?

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You guys are being too generous with his age.

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Everything that is open right now will close the day after the tony awards. That's how it works, right? Shows are only open for one season, then replaced with new shows that compete for Tonys, right? The Tonys are the be all, end all!

LOOK!

MUSICALTHEATREFAN ISN'T TALL ENOUGH TO POST ON THE MESSAGE BOARD.

Why is everyone on here so mean to me?

Because you are trying to pass yourself off as some sort of expert when you obviously do not know what you are talking about.

Have you looked at the grosses? If PASSING STRANGE doesn't do well at the Tonys it will quickly shutter. Likewise XANADU and CRY BABY.

GYPSY with Patti has already been announced for London in the spring of 2009. SOUTH PACIFIC is the biggest hit of the season and will likely be playing for several seasons to come.


Also, to be fully accurate you need to know the weekly break-even for each show.

Idle speculation such as this is just a waste of everyone's time.

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I agree this kid is making dumbass comments but is the idea of Wicked running that long so farfetched? I for one hope it doesnt happen but its a spectacle, and the tourists love it. Its something mainstream they know and like Phantom it could run for 20 years. Though the reason I find it stupid this kid predicts it is his avatar is the poster for the show. Well and that everything else according to him is closing by 2010. I somehow think though that his idea of Wicked lasting for a while isnt so out there that it couldnt happen.

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