Yeah, I think Esparza will be nominated: it was looking shaky at first, but apparently he's really improved (you tell me).
I wouldn't be surprised if Michael McKean was nominated, given how different his character is from the rest of the group. But it isn't likely.
THE SEAFARER: Jim Norton is the definite front-runner. Conleth Hill might be nominated.
I don't know: in this year of wonderful performances, I think most committee members will feel guilty if they give too many of the Featured Actor spots to these two shows. They'll want to spread the wealth. Which is why I can see both shows only getting one nomination.
"Y'know, I think Bertolt Brecht was rolling in his grave."
-Nellie McKay on the 2006 Broadway production of The Threepenny Opera, in which she played Polly Peachum